An update after the late games on Saturday.
8 teams are locked in.
tOSU and Indiana, winner obviously the #1 seed
Oregon, Ole Miss, aTm, and Oklahoma, all done playing
UGA and Texas Tech, both in top-4 now and are in even if they lose their CCG
2 more spots have to go to the the highest ranked winners of these 3 CCGs: ACC (UVA/Duke), AAC (N. Texas at Tulane), and Sun Belt (Troy at James Madison). So if Duke and James Madison both win, the ACC will likely get ZERO teams in.
That’s 10 spots, leaving 2 spots for these teams:
Bama - beat UGA in the CCG and it’s an auto-bid. Lose and it’s a debate/beauty/brand name contest
BYU - beat Texas Tech in the CCG and it’s an auto-bid and the Big-12 gets 2 teams. Lose and they’ll get dumped for losing the extra game, which is the same reason that Bama won’t be dumped
ND - I think they need a BYU loss, else their fans will scream about the lower ranked CCG winners getting it (you hate to see it)
Miami - they need BYU to lose and the head-to-head argument with ND to be a key factor
Vandy and Texas won‘t be in the top-10 and won’t have a chance.
I‘m rooting big-time for Duke, BYU, and James Madison so the ACC/ND semi-marriage gets completely left out.