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2026 College Football Playoffs Discussion (12 Team Format)

ScriptOhio
www.elevenwarriors.com

Ohio State's 2026 Football Schedule Includes Three of the Five Teams With the Best Odds to Win the National Championship

Of the five teams with the best odds to win the national championship in 2026, one is Ohio State and three are teams the Buckeyes will play in the regular season.
www.elevenwarriors.com www.elevenwarriors.com

Ohio State's 2026 Football Schedule Includes Three of the Five Teams With the Best Odds to Win the National Championship​

Oddsmakers agree: Ohio State’s 2026 schedule is a gauntlet.

If the sportsbooks know (and they seem to more times than not), Ohio State’s 2026 schedule will be one of the toughest in college football next fall.

According to consensus odds to win the national championship from DraftKings and FanDuel, the teams with the five best odds to win it all next season include Ohio State (+700) and three of OSU's regular-season opponents: Texas (+700), Indiana (+700) and Oregon (+925).

Notre Dame (+675) is the only team with better odds to win the national championship than Ohio State, Texas and Indiana.

The Buckeyes' schedule also includes USC (35/1) and Michigan (40/1), who are among the top 15 in odds to win it all next season.

Per On3’s composite of nine early preseason rankings from national media outlets, Ohio State – which is ranked as the No. 1 team in the country – is set to face the No. 2 (Indiana), No. 3 (Texas), No. 5 (Oregon), No. 14 (Michigan), No. 15 (USC) and No. 21 (Iowa) teams in 2026, with four of those games coming on the road.

2026 Top-10 National Champion Odds (DraftKings/FanDuel Consensus)
TEAM ODDS
NOTRE DAME +675
OHIO STATE +700
TEXAS +700
INDIANA +700
OREGON +925
GEORGIA +1100
MIAMI (FLORIDA) +1400
LSU +1450
TEXAS TECH +1450
TEXAS A&M +1700
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OC Arthur Smith (Official Thread)

Jaxbuck
So as I watched the Steelers this year I made the comment to my son that while their offense sucked, they had no talent (or very old talent) and I was actually kind of impressed on how they made something out of nothing.

It was all screens, check downs and wheel routes to Gainwell or throws to the two good TE's they had (one broke his arm). Metcalf was almost never open because they had no 2nd or 3rd WR threat.

My point is there are elements of that I was thinking to myself sure would look nice as the changeup to the Ryan Day fastball. Next year we will see if my wish came true or not I guess.

It may be overly simplistic but I'm thinking you take a high gear big time downfield passing attack and give it the lower gear of a solid "short game" and maybe we get past the RZ issues if nothing else.

All in all I don't hate it but I don't know enough to love or hate it so whatever. We win next year he's a fucking genius, lose and he's a bum. That I am sure of.
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OC Arthur Smith (Official Thread)

pnuts34
Buckeye86 said:
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Some interesting points between these two videos, plus some of my own thoughts.

1. Expect the offense under Smith to look a lot like the 2019 offense - heavy zone/stretch run scheme with play action deep shots and boot legs (obviously Sayin is a bit different physically/athletically than Fields, which impacts how much you can or want to do with him running around).
2. Possibly the biggest problem with the Stealers offense this past season was that Rodgers was ineffective throwing the deep ball (plus a lack of threats outside of Metcalf who was just double teamed), which eliminated a major component of how Smith likes to attack a defense.
3.The zone/stretch run scheme puts more stress on a defense deciding between extra defenders covering Smith on one side and covering the stretch run on the other side because there are more possible running lanes that need filled (compared to gap run schemes).
4. It is easier to audible between run plays in a zone/stretch run offense with less pulling from the OL and (theoretically) less things for them to screw up, combined with Sayin in year two, expect him to have more on his plate when it comes to audibles this year.
5. It is without question that Smith has significantly more experience and established effectiveness incorporating TEs and a FB into the offense compared to Hartline, which, based on the portal moves, will continue to be the plan.
6. Day is looking to duplicate the situation he had with Kelly - an OC who can implement effective run game schemes on top of Day’s passing schemes, as well as an experienced guy who can be trusted with game preparation through the week and calling plays on game day. This is basically the opposite of what he had with Hartline last year, and Day made a strong move to correct that.
7. It seems like success on offense will depend on a veteran OL being able to establish an identity and consistent effectiveness zone blocking, with Sayin helping out with effective audibles and stressing the defense down the field (with an emphasis on play action passes).

Seems like a solid plan building on Ohio State’s strengths combined with the expertise of the new OC.

It feels really well thought out with a clear idea of what Day wants that duplicates past successes in 2019 and 2024.
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