Henderson and Munford both injured in the span of 3 plays. Dangerous day to be a Buckeye in the NFL. Sheesh.

Jaxbuck said:

To use the casino analogy a different way; Offense in football is like playing poker. If you have a skill advantage you want to play as many hands as possible. Your skill will win out. BUT in football you have to play defense and that is like having to stop playing poker and go over to play roulette. You can even be the house and get better odds if you have an elite defense but sooner or later, some stupid fucking tourist is going to hit on red 27 and you are going to have to pay.

You want to stay at the poker table as much as you can and stay away from the roulette table in the process.

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I was once in a casino in San Juan, PR and I was only playing red 27 at a roulette table. The damn number actually hit 3 straight times, but this stupid fucking tourist took away his chips after the first hit.

Jaxbuck said:

It goes back to the simple truth of every out come being skill + luck = outcome.

Look at the odds of giving up points. Greater when on defense than on offense, right? The luck element of the outcome is higher than when on offense.

Choosing a path that creates more opportunity for the opponent (defense) is a flawed strategy. It can work out and people think it’s ok, but it was the wrong approach no matter the outcome.

To use the casino analogy a different way; Offense in football is like playing poker. If you have a skill advantage you want to play as many hands as possible. Your skill will win out. BUT in football you have to play defense and that is like having to stop playing poker and go over to play roulette. You can even be the house and get better odds if you have an elite defense but sooner or later, some stupid fucking tourist is going to hit on red 27 and you are going to have to pay.

You want to stay at the poker table as much as you can and stay away from the roulette table in the process.

Click to expand...

But barring special teams scores and turnovers, each team is going to get the same, or very close to the same, number of offensive possessions. So, except situationally (e.g., trying to score with no time left for the opponent's offense at the end of the half or a game), I wouldn't think that tempo matters much. You're going to be on defense for roughly half of the possessions in most games no matter how fast or slow you play. Given that base level of equality, what a team should want to do is whatever maximizes the expected points per possession when on offense and minimizes the expected points per possession when on defense.

IMBSO, where Ohio State has often left meat on the bone in this regard is in poor starting offensive field possession resulting from lousy punt fielding/returning, poor defensive field position resulting from often mediocre punting, and, as great as the defense has been this year, in not forcing many turnovers or causing much "havoc" (e.g., in many circumstances, getting a sack on an opponent's 3d and 12 seems worth a fair amount more to me in terms of expected points on the next offensive possession than giving up 9 yards even if both results get the defense off the field). Of course, forcing "havoc" with blitzes creates risk, which is why being able to get great pressure on the opposing QB with a four man rush is, to me, a huge key to success. I'd also submit that trying harder to block punts might be something worth pursuing.

It used to be worth loving

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Another angle
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The arrogance of DFBIA is hilarious. They think they can lure any coach from any program pretty much to jump ship to them

heisman said:

You can possibly apply that to an individual action or occurrence, but if OSU was the better prepared team in 1996, a slip would have never mattered. Football is like life. If you set goals in life, and execute daily on the steps required to achieve those goals, you’re going to live your best possible life. If you go through life aimlessly, you believe in the boogeyman of luck.

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Shit goes wrong all the time in life no matter how prepared you are, but if you keep grinding you will make your way. Just don't give up and more and more opportunities will come your way

Right now we are down to a 1 and done situation. So there are no do overs left. Luck has cost a ton of the best teams in sports to not win the championship. I still like our odds of going back to back, but bad luck is still out there to fuck that up.

Jaxbuck said:

It’s a cute saying but random variance is random variance.

Springs Slips.

No way it’s smart to give the enemy more chances for that to happen. Play poker with your skill, avoid the roulette table as much as possible.

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You can possibly apply that to an individual action or occurrence, but if OSU was the better prepared team in 1996, a slip would have never mattered. Football is like life. If you set goals in life, and execute daily on the steps required to achieve those goals, you’re going to live your best possible life. If you go through life aimlessly, you believe in the boogeyman of luck.

gracelhink said:

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Feldman was close to finishing a takedown as time ran out. Another 10 seconds or so and I believe he finishes the move against #1 Bastida.

Jaxbuck said:

It was a nuts game.

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I'm kinda surprised we didn't see a Detroit fans pulling a Texas fans at the end of that game

dragurd said:

And two OPI's to stop game winning TD's including on the last play

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It was a nuts game.

heisman said:

Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.

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It’s a cute saying but random variance is random variance.

Springs Slips.

No way it’s smart to give the enemy more chances for that to happen. Play poker with your skill, avoid the roulette table as much as possible.

Jaxbuck said:

It goes back to the simple truth of every out come being skill + luck = outcome.

Look at the odds of giving up points. Greater when on defense than on offense, right? The luck element of the outcome is higher than when on offense.

Choosing a path that creates more opportunity for the opponent (defense) is a flawed strategy. It can work out and people think it’s ok, but it was the wrong approach no matter the outcome.

To use the casino analogy a different way; Offense in football is like playing poker. If you have a skill advantage you want to play as many hands as possible. Your skill will win out. BUT in football you have to play defense and that is like having to stop playing poker and go over to play roulette. You can even be the house and get better odds if you have an elite defense but sooner or later, some stupid fucking tourist is going to hit on red 27 and you are going to have to pay.

You want to stay at the poker table as much as you can and stay away from the roulette table in the process.

Click to expand...

Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.