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I was once in a casino in San Juan, PR and I was only playing red 27 at a roulette table. The damn number actually hit 3 straight times, but this stupid fucking tourist took away his chips after the first hit.To use the casino analogy a different way; Offense in football is like playing poker. If you have a skill advantage you want to play as many hands as possible. Your skill will win out. BUT in football you have to play defense and that is like having to stop playing poker and go over to play roulette. You can even be the house and get better odds if you have an elite defense but sooner or later, some stupid fucking tourist is going to hit on red 27 and you are going to have to pay.
You want to stay at the poker table as much as you can and stay away from the roulette table in the process.

But barring special teams scores and turnovers, each team is going to get the same, or very close to the same, number of offensive possessions. So, except situationally (e.g., trying to score with no time left for the opponent's offense at the end of the half or a game), I wouldn't think that tempo matters much. You're going to be on defense for roughly half of the possessions in most games no matter how fast or slow you play. Given that base level of equality, what a team should want to do is whatever maximizes the expected points per possession when on offense and minimizes the expected points per possession when on defense.It goes back to the simple truth of every out come being skill + luck = outcome.
Look at the odds of giving up points. Greater when on defense than on offense, right? The luck element of the outcome is higher than when on offense.
Choosing a path that creates more opportunity for the opponent (defense) is a flawed strategy. It can work out and people think it’s ok, but it was the wrong approach no matter the outcome.
To use the casino analogy a different way; Offense in football is like playing poker. If you have a skill advantage you want to play as many hands as possible. Your skill will win out. BUT in football you have to play defense and that is like having to stop playing poker and go over to play roulette. You can even be the house and get better odds if you have an elite defense but sooner or later, some stupid fucking tourist is going to hit on red 27 and you are going to have to pay.
You want to stay at the poker table as much as you can and stay away from the roulette table in the process.
Shit goes wrong all the time in life no matter how prepared you are, but if you keep grinding you will make your way. Just don't give up and more and more opportunities will come your wayYou can possibly apply that to an individual action or occurrence, but if OSU was the better prepared team in 1996, a slip would have never mattered. Football is like life. If you set goals in life, and execute daily on the steps required to achieve those goals, you’re going to live your best possible life. If you go through life aimlessly, you believe in the boogeyman of luck.![]()
You can possibly apply that to an individual action or occurrence, but if OSU was the better prepared team in 1996, a slip would have never mattered. Football is like life. If you set goals in life, and execute daily on the steps required to achieve those goals, you’re going to live your best possible life. If you go through life aimlessly, you believe in the boogeyman of luck.It’s a cute saying but random variance is random variance.
Springs Slips.
No way it’s smart to give the enemy more chances for that to happen. Play poker with your skill, avoid the roulette table as much as possible.

Feldman was close to finishing a takedown as time ran out. Another 10 seconds or so and I believe he finishes the move against #1 Bastida.
I'm kinda surprised we didn't see a Detroit fans pulling a Texas fans at the end of that gameIt was a nuts game.
It was a nuts game.And two OPI's to stop game winning TD's including on the last play
It’s a cute saying but random variance is random variance.Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.
Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.It goes back to the simple truth of every out come being skill + luck = outcome.
Look at the odds of giving up points. Greater when on defense than on offense, right? The luck element of the outcome is higher than when on offense.
Choosing a path that creates more opportunity for the opponent (defense) is a flawed strategy. It can work out and people think it’s ok, but it was the wrong approach no matter the outcome.
To use the casino analogy a different way; Offense in football is like playing poker. If you have a skill advantage you want to play as many hands as possible. Your skill will win out. BUT in football you have to play defense and that is like having to stop playing poker and go over to play roulette. You can even be the house and get better odds if you have an elite defense but sooner or later, some stupid fucking tourist is going to hit on red 27 and you are going to have to pay.
You want to stay at the poker table as much as you can and stay away from the roulette table in the process.