Biggest stretch of season and they've scored 3 runs in last 25 innings

fAX!

brodybuck21 said:

He's thrown 24 straight scoreless innings vs Cincy

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Is that good?

muffler dragon said:

I had to google "sharp money" to understand this post. Learning what that means, I gotta ask: IF professional or highly successful bettors bet at >10, then why would the line move down? I'm not following at all. Care to enlighten one ignorant of this betting science?

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Because they don’t want more sharp action piling in on it. The fact that they bought it at 10 ot more tells you they think it’s mispriced.

So you move it down now to get all the casual bettors that follow and see OSU as less than 10 points as “easy money” and they come pouring in thinking it’s a bargain.

Lines are all about the books having a “real number” and then using market psychology to get action moving. Balanced action if possible but unbalanced if they think they are getting the best of it.

This line move looks like the books real number told them OSU by 11-14. So they hung it out there just short of 14 to see what the market does and the guys they pay attention to snapped it up hard enough til they dropped it through 10 (a key number in football betting). They kept dropping it to get the right spot where casual money started buying tickets heavy enough to balance the action.

Just a guess of course and it doesn’t mean sharps are always right but, more than likely, someone who does this for a living thought UW by more than 10 was a smart bet. Likewise, this might mean that a whole bunch of average joe bettors bought in thinking OSU laying less than 10 is a good bet.

We shall see

I want to punch every hitter in the face

Fucking losers.

Syracuse

UCLA

I’ve been to 2 OSU vs Washington games at Husky Stadium. Lost one. Won one. When the Huskies are winning, It is much louder than you would think for 70,000 fans. So is Autzen. Probably because they have overhead roofs for half the stadium due to the frequency of rain in the Pacific Northwest.
But neither are as loud as PSU or even Michigan (after the renovations completed in 2019….and with a contender)

Virginia

Jaxbuck said:

It's moved down to -7.5 in most places.

With a big public money team like OSU, opening the spread high and then adjusting down won't help really because most public money bets late. Only the sharps tend to jump on weak lines early.

This one got hammered down. Breaking through 10 is a big tell. The only thing that makes sense at all is they took some serious sharp money north of 10 and moved it down for that reason.

Now, sometimes syndicates will play the game where they hit one side of a number to give that signal of sharp money so the books will move the line down and then they go 2x or more on the better number but again, OSU being such a big public team negates that. That type of thing is usually done (allegedly) on smaller, less liquid market type games.

Could be a lot of noise signaling nothing but a line dropping from -13 to -7.5 is something worth being aware of. I would not feel super comfortable if I held an OSU -13 ticket right now.

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I had to google "sharp money" to understand this post. Learning what that means, I gotta ask: IF professional or highly successful bettors bet at >10, then why would the line move down? I'm not following at all. Care to enlighten one ignorant of this betting science?

Haha he won't score

Told you.

And there it is. Ballgame

Marte just flinging the bat blindly

Both pitchers will dominate.

Greene will do just a little less than Skenes and lose.