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2026 tOSU Offense Discussion

Jaxbuck
Some context using FEI
Year FEI Offense rank
2019​
0.91​
3​
2020​
0.82​
4​
2021​
0.92​
1​
2022​
0.8​
4​
2023​
0.37​
14​
2024​
0.81​
1​
2025​
0.65​
9​

We just saw the 2nd worst offense, by efficiency, of the Ryan Day era.

Now let's look two more degrees outward for a minute
Year FEI Offense rank plays per game points per game
2019​
0.91​
3​
78.6​
46.9​
2020​
0.82​
4​
73.9​
41​
2021​
0.92​
1​
71.7​
45.7​
2022​
0.8​
4​
68.3​
44.2​
2023​
0.37​
14​
66​
30.2​
2024​
0.81​
1​
62.8​
35.7​
2025​
0.65​
9​
64​
30.6​
That would seem to support the idea that go fast--> more plays--> more points-->best way to win but again, that's if offense was linear. It is not. When you go fast on offense, it has an effect on the defense.

Year FEI Offense rank plays per game points per game DFEI rank
2019​
0.91​
3​
78.6​
46.9​
0.78​
2​
2020​
0.82​
4​
73.9​
41​
0.16​
45​
2021​
0.92​
1​
71.7​
45.7​
0.27​
33​
2022​
0.8​
4​
68.3​
44.2​
0.53​
12​
2023​
0.37​
14​
66​
30.2​
0.83​
2​
2024​
0.81​
1​
62.8​
35.7​
0.83​
1​
2025​
0.65​
9​
64​
30.6​
1.06​
1​
The last two columns are Defensive FEI from the same source.

Given a sample of 7 and the obvious limitations of that it seems to me that Day is intentionally slowing down from his early days (and he commented on this, so not much of a guess) because other than the outlier generational 2019 team, he feels going faster on offense hurt his defense.

Now here is where the small sample size comes in. Two of his worst offensive teams were 2 of the past 3 years after he slowed down. They were also his worst QB (McCord) and his rFreshman QB Sayin with his OL and RB downgrades from 2024.

So it's pretty clear and everyone has touched on it to some point-if you are going to slow down and be efficient, you will score less but probably increase your overall odds of winning. However, the trade off is that you have to execute to a high standard and if you added another column of QB by name for those years I think its simply comes down to that. His offense goes as his QB goes no matter the skill player talent.

QB is the constraint. Other positions will impact that obviously but CFB is getting closer to the NFL game where QB is the preeminent position.

Fields, Stroud, Howard > McCord and Sayin (so far).
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2026 scUM Shenanigans, Arguments, Arrogant Twatwaffles, Emasculated Cucks, Feckless Marmots, Dirty Cheaters "Mid"chigan

buckeyemania11
I think things may be worse than even they look right now for them. Boob Salsa's message to the people this morning was basically "yes Michigan is currently behind the ball on the portal right now but don't panic because there's definitely a plan" which likely means they didn't see some of these coming and are scrambling for solutions.
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2026 tOSU Offense Discussion

TampaBuckeyes
Jaxbuck said:
so if it's tempo and not execution why did it stop working? You think Day intentionally slowed it back down so he wouldn't score?

Look, I know people are frustrated but the tempo thing is confusing approach with result.

The single highest correlation to scoring is efficiency (something in the .70 range). Plays per game has a correlation of something in the .20's.
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Personally I think they didn’t run tempo more because the couldn’t. The offensive players aren’t practiced enough for it, but more importantly I don’t think the coaching staff has the ability to do that consistently in a game. It requires a lot of cogs working well together and we had just flipped the offensive coaching on its head, flipping who is in the box and who is calling the plays.
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2026 scUM Shenanigans, Arguments, Arrogant Twatwaffles, Emasculated Cucks, Feckless Marmots, Dirty Cheaters "Mid"chigan

buckeyemania11
gmen6981 said:
A smidgen of self awareness and a lot of religious hate creeping in over at MGoBlow.

View attachment 82635
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Theres still a large amount of them who think a flood of coaches and players from programs who's peak years have been 10 win seasons in the Big 12/Pac 12 with much more 8ish win type seasons in-between are going to come to the B1G and suddenly become annual national contenders which is peak DFBIA hopium
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2025 College Football Playoffs Discussion (12 Team Format)

ORD_Buckeye
dragurd said:
Yep a more experienced Sayin wins that game even with our weaknesses but it happens
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He needs to learn to make his decision and get the ball off. If that means a lower completion percentage and a few more picks, that's preferable to 5 sacks every time we play a team with a strong DL.
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2026 tOSU Offense Discussion

Jaxbuck
lvbuckeye said:
Except for in the second half against the Canes when the Buckeyes HAD to use tempo, it freaking worked and Bain and Messidor were both on the sideline sucking wind.

No one is saying to go 2013 Oregon Ducks Ludicrous Speed, but damn. At least *try* to put the defense back on its heels.
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so if it's tempo and not execution why did it stop working? You think Day intentionally slowed it back down so he wouldn't score?

Look, I know people are frustrated but the tempo thing is confusing approach with result.

The single highest correlation to scoring is efficiency (something in the .70 range). Plays per game has a correlation of something in the .20's.
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What really matters.....

BB73
Mike80 said:
I'm writing this right now because I don't know if I'll have time later.

Yeah it sucks they lost. Really sucks.

But you know what? It's just a game. And a silly game at that.

You know what isn't silly? Having the people around you that you love in danger or shaken up because they were in danger.

At 10:05PM tonight, my girlfriend, one of the toughest people I know AND a nurse at that, calls me in tears because she's having chest pains and cannot breathe. The only person with her is her 11 year son - scared of his wits but able to talk with me. I was able to step him through getting stuff together like phone chargers, calling his grandma, calling the squad, etc. I want to say - I've been dating her for nearly 3 years now and seen her slip and fall, trip over dogs, bang her head on a door and never not once has she been in more pain that what I saw on the Facetime. It's damned scary seeing that and super frustrating when you can't do anything about it.

AT approximately 1010PM tonight, my daughter slid into a ditch in the snow because Licking County doesn't know how to plow a fuckin road, and is stuck there. She JUST an I mean JUST missed a telephone pole. That ditch is way too steep to put her out right now with anything less than a snow plow. She was distraught and his tears - its her first ever wreck or situation like this as a driver. I was able to talk to her, calm her down a bit, have her call 9-1-1 and then call me back.

What really matters? Does anyone think a stupid game matters here!?

My daughter is ok that's what matters. No injuries, just shaken up a bit. The car isn't damaged, it's just in the ditch. We'll figure that out tomorrow.

My girlfriend is currently on her way to the hospital in Jackson. The EMT ruled out a heart attack, but we'll see what's going on there. I do appreciate any thoughts or prayers for her. She's wonderful and has brought me back from my divorce in ways I didn't think I needed but absolutely had to have. That's what matters. I'm likely taking a drive down to Jackson or Chillicothe at some point in the next few hours. Being there is what will matter.

At the end of the day it's the people around us that matter. Football is just a game. It's not life.

Happy New Year everyone.
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Just saw this. For those who didn’t notice, he shared this stuff with us less than an hour of it happening. That’s what this site means to many of us.

I hope the ladies in your life are doing better.

But it’s still extremely important that we beat those pricks from up north a few weeks ago!
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