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Teams Ohio State Needs to Lose

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  1. MSU (potential losses: Ole Miss, Alabama)
  2. FSU (potential losses: none)
  3. Auburn (potential losses: UGA, Alabama)
  4. Ole Miss
  5. Oregon (potential losses: none)
  6. Alabama (potential losses: MSU, Auburn)
  7. TCU (potential losses: none)
  8. Sparty (need to beat them and then have them win out)
  9. KSU (potential losses: WVU, Baylor)
  10. Domers (potential losses: ASU, Louisville, USC)
  11. UGA
  12. Arizona
  13. Baylor (potential losses: KSU)
  14. ASU (potential losses: Arizona)
  15. Corn (need them to win until we play them in BCG)
  16. OHIO STATE
  17. Utah
Not as good as last week. Auburn losing was a freebie, but now TCU has a pretty clear shot to the playoffs provided Texas can't pull out a miracle. Oregon's only test is now ASU in the PCG. We'll see what the star chamber has to say, but I'm still assuming that the BIG champion will be the last 1-loss team in. That puts 7 teams in front of us for the four spots. Still need four to pick up 1 (or 2) more losses.
 
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WEll i said beat sparty and then worry about this so...

FSU: I think scUM south has a decent shot this week. There's talent there and FSU has been playing with fire for a while. and I don't think a 1 loss fsu stays in front of osu. and they certainly shouldn't given the ACC is a much worse league than the b1g.
Bama: should have lost last night and i have trouble seeing them getting by both miss state and an allbarn team that will be out for blood with nothing else to play for.
Oregon/ASU winner is in i think. unless dick rod helps his old pals out then asu beat ou.
TCU is probably in unless the committee decides to jump baylor in front of them for head to head. i don't see any way both make it. Frankly TCU might be my #1 team at this point.

Will be interesting to see where they place the bucks this week. Will give us an idea how much they're willing to factor the unexpected loss of braxton right before the season into excusing that VT game. Not that there's really any excuse for it. But at this point i think i'd take this team and coaching staff vs anyone and feel they have a shot.
 
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Assuming the three who don't face a ranked opponent all win out puts Oregon, TCU and FSU in. That means for the last spot, Ohio State needs Alabama, ASU and Baylor to pick up one more loss and MSU to lose twice.

ASU is likely taken out by Oregon in the PAC CG.
KSU needs to take out Baylor--although, I do suspect with TCU in, the committee would bump a 1-loss Ohio State over a 1-loss Baylor.
Alabama and Ole Miss need to beat MSU and then Alabama loses to Auburn.

Now, that would mean that all the SEC teams have at least two losses, so the committee would be faced with the choice of either bumping a two loss SEC team over a one loss conference champion or having a playoff with NO SEC teams in it. I really, really want to see this happen because, regardless of their choice,the shit hits the fan. Then maybe we can get a proper 8 team playoff with homefield for the first round.
 
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BUCKYLE said:
Sometimes the crazy ones are also the stupid ones.
Click to expand...

Ya think?

hqdefault.jpg
 
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Not to go all conspiracy theory (only half serious here)
But given the frequency and dependency of contact it wouldn't surprise me 1 iota if one day a (blood and/or financial) relationship were discovered between "Phyllis from Mulga" and Finebaum's radio show.

Then again, attention whores gonna whore (see Ohio State costume idiots)
 
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The way I see it:

Miss St.
FSU
Oregon/ASU
Bama
----------
TCU
Baylor
Ohio State / Nebraska
Auburn / Ole Miss / Georgia / Missouri (but campaigning will be out of this world if any of these are the second SEC team on the board)


SEC:
Alabama (Miss St, Directional, Auburn)
... lose to both Miss St. and Auburn, removing them from any discussion

Ole Miss (Arky, Miss St.)
... lose to Miss St., removing them from any discussion

Auburn (Georgia, DIAA, Alabama)
... lose to Georgia and beat Bama, removing them from any discussion

Georgia (Auburn, Little Sisters, GTech)
... lose to GTech and beat Auburn, removing them from any discussion
This may be least likely, but I think they're out of it with 2 losses anyway. GTech loss would just be insurance.

Missouri (Aggy, Tenn, Arky)
... win out just for the laughs, lose CCG to remove them from any discussion
Like Georgia, I think they're out anyway...

Miss St. (Bama, Vandy, Miss)
... win out as the only SEC rep

PAC:
Oregon (CU, Oregon St.) ... can't see any way in hell they lose either of those. Both those teams are terrible That just leaves the CCG.
ASU (Oregon St, WA St, Arizona)
... does it matter? Whoever goes to the CCG probably loses to Oregon anyway.
Interesting sidenote - if Arizona beats ASU there is a potential 3-way tie with UCLA. I don't know exact rules, but UCLA defeated the other two... and I imagine that would put them through to get curb-stomped by Oregon again.


Need either both of these to drop a game:
Baylor (OK St, TTech, KState)
TCU (Kansas, Texas, Iowa St.)

or FSU (Miami, BC, Florida) to drop one


I'll be surprsied if Baylor, TCU, FSU, Oregon, and ASU all make it through unscathed (not counting PAC CCG). History says there's a high chance that more than 1 of them blows it.
That just leaves the dilemma of multiple SEC teams... which is a much closer shave since apparently you need 3 losses to get eliminated in the SEC.
 
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When push comes to shove, I'd like to see the committee's rationale for putting a one loss TCU team that can't defend anyone and would have all of one win over a top 25 team, in the playoff over OSU. I wonder if OSU's brand would win out in that one.
 
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The way I see it is there is only one team from each conference in. Winner of asu/ducks will be there baring a miracle. One sec team, which could be miss st or Bama. TCU or Baylor. Nebraska/wisky/us. And Forced Sex Uni. There are scenarios for each of them dropping a game. I think at this point the noles is the team everyone wants to drop but they just keep hanging on the win. If every other conference has a one loss champ (or FSU loses) then we only get in if the committee bumps us over b12 for championship game. Unlikely but possible. There's no room for 2 sec teams this year. And remember. It isn't that the top 4 get in. The committee only does a ranking for the sake of doing it. They use the rankings as a tool, but in the end they select the teams. Teams don't need to break into the top 4 like they had in the past. They just need to make a case for themselves. In the basketball one the 1-4 in last poll don't automatically get 1 seeds.
 
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tsteele316 said:
When push comes to shove, I'd like to see the committee's rationale for putting a one loss TCU team that can't defend anyone and would have all of one win over a top 25 team, in the playoff over OSU. I wonder if OSU's brand would win out in that one.
Click to expand...


That would be a hoot. My neighbor's kids are at TCU. I'm sure I'd never, ever ever ever hear the end of it. That said, that's something to I'd be able to deal with, so bring it.
 
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tsteele316 said:
When push comes to shove, I'd like to see the committee's rationale for putting a one loss TCU team that can't defend anyone and would have all of one win over a top 25 team, in the playoff over OSU. I wonder if OSU's brand would win out in that one.
Click to expand...

I'd be worried if the 2 Big 12 teams were OK and Texas. Brand and eyes on the tv will win out in the end. As I said in the other thread E$PN would be all over Meyer v Mullen for a month leading up to the game.
 
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I think the worst case scenario for us at the moment is Bama beating MSU and both teams winning out. We've yet to see how much weight the committee will give a conference champion, but based on previous history I think it will be tough to edge out any one loss SEC team.

Oregon and ASU look poised for a championship game that will decide a spot. Maybe Rich Rod can help us out and Oregon somehow shits the bed.

TCU has nobody left, but I think Baylor jumps them this week after beating a horribly over ranked Oklahoma team and having the head to head advantage. I still think the Big 12 gets punished for not having a ccg, but I'm getting nervous.

Florida State is in the drivers seat with no tought tests, but it seems like everyone is just waiting to punish them for winning ugly games.

At the end of the season, I'm expecting:
1. Alabama
2. Oregon
3. Mississippi State
4. Ohio State
5. Baylor
6.Florida State

FSU drops a game, Oregon wins out, Bama beats Miss and both win out afterwards. We get in over FSU due to our team obviously being on the uptrend and they're going in the opposite direction. Baylor gets left out because we have a quality win against Nebraska. I'm not confident that we get in over the Big 12 if our opponent is Wisky.

Oh, and Sparty can't give up on their season.
 
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