BB73 said:

Guaranteed - Group of 5 highest ranked, ACC Champ, BiG XII Champ

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This PROBABLY won't make a difference, but it might:
Doesn't the G5 "highest ranked" team need to be the "highest ranked champion" of a G5 conference?

Time to bump this thread as the CFP rankings make their debut on Tuesday.

Things are starting to get a little clearer.

Notre Dame - lost at Miami and hosting aTm early, only good win is USC, host Navy and play at Pitt. If they win out, could be in a beauty contest against a 2-loss SEC team.

Group of 5 (1 and only 1 spot): MAC and Conference USA have no 1-loss teams and are virtually eliminated.

- AAC - Navy, North Texas and Memphis all have 1 conference loss. Navy plays at ND and at Memphis. Expect North Texas and Memphis to play in the CCG and the winner should get the CFB bid if they still only have 1 loss

- San Diego St is the only 1-loss team, They host Boise, play at New Mexico, plus a CCG. They need to win out.

- Sun Belt - James Madison is the only 1-loss team. They need to win out and be the only 1-loss team in the Group-of-5.

ACC: Virginia has an official non-conference loss (yes, I know) to NC State, and has a good chance to make the CCG at 11-1

Ga Tech (1 conf loss) hosts Pitt and UGA

Louisville (1 conf loss to Va) beat Miami and Pitt, has to play at SMU

Pitt (1 conf loss to L’ville, 1 to WVU) plays at GT, hosts ND and Miami

Duke and SMU both have 1 conference loss and 3 overall losses.

Unless they get two 11-1 teams into the CCG, I don‘t see them getting 2 teams unless GT beats UGA.

BIG XII: BYU is undefeated and plays at Texas Tech this week, and at Cincy

Texas Tech has a loss to Arizona St, a win at Utah and hosts BYU

Cincy (1 conf loss at Utah, loss to Nebraska) hosts BYU with a chance to make the CCG

All others have 2 or more conference losses. I think their best shot at 2 teams is if TTech and BYU split their scheduled game and a CCG matchup.

B1G: tOSU just needs to avoid a total collapse to get in. Winning out gets the #1 seed.

Indiana’s 3 remaining teams are a combined 0-16 in conference games. They will be in the too-2 when they play in the CCG.

Oregon (home loss to Indy) plays at Iowa, hosts Minny and USC and finishes at Washington. They can only afford 1 more loss.

USC, Iowa, and TTUN all have 1 conference loss and 2 total losses, and need to win out to be considered for the CFP.

Washington lost to tOSU and at TTUN, but if they win out the final game against Oregon could get them into the CFP.

SEC: aTm is the only unbeaten, they beat ND early, and they play at Mizzou and at Texas.

Bama’s loss is to 4-4 FSU, they win at UGA and Mizzou, beat Vandy and Tenn, still to host LSU and Oklahoma. Should be in the CCG and the CFP.

Ole Miss lost at UGA and won at Oklahoma. Should win out, hosting Florida and going to Miss St, Would finish 11-1 and would probably miss the CCG but easily make the CFP.

UGA lost to Bama and won at Tenn and at home against Ole Miss. Still host Texas and play at Ga Tech. Will probably miss the CCG but at 10-2 would likely make the CFP.

Texas lost at tOSU and at Florida. Need to win out with at UGA and hosting aTm, which would likely put them into CCG. A third loss in the CCG would likely not knock them out of the CFP.

Oklahoma lost vs Texas and at Ole Miss. Need to win at Bama and then against Mizzou and LSU to finish 10-2.

Vandy beat Mizzou, lost at Texas and at Bama. If they win out including at Tennessee, they’d be the least impressive 10-2 SEC team.

Mizzou lost to Bama and at Vandy, don’t have an impressive win yet, but play at Oklahoma and host aTm and could get considered by winning out.

12 spots:

Guaranteed - Group of 5 highest ranked, ACC Champ, BiG XII Champ

Highly likely: tOSU, Indiana, aTm, Bama

Probable: Oregon, Ole Miss, Notre Dame

Last 2 spots: Lots of possibilities, with Georgia being the most likely, along with a team getting its second loss in a CCG in the ACC or Big XII

BB73 said:

That’s the nightmare scenario for ESPN, but it’s looking more likely every week.

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No doubt. I happened to notice yesterday that when running the score ticker for PSU-OSU, they listed a couple of PSU stats, (including the irrelevant number of career TDs for Singleton) and no OSU stats at despite (due to?) Sayin’s, Smith’s, and Tate’s brilliant stat lines.

Zippercat said:

I think you’re looking at it too narrowly. Yes, there clearly is a shortage of NCAA head coaches good enough to win a championship. Remember that many of the championships over the past couple decades were won by guys who are no longer coaching, such as Sabin, Myer and Orgeron. (I’m too lazy to look it up, but maybe even the majority of championship coaches in the 21st century are no longer on the sidelines?)

But the shortage doesn’t stop with championship head coaches. There’s also a critical shortage of little known, almost behind the scenes guys who can, wholly on their own without head coach knowledge or guidance, create cheating schemes to win games and championships. Those guys work cheap and can keep the cost of head coaches more reasonable…..if a program is sleazy or lucky enough to find one!

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Saban, Meyer, Orgeron lol

BB73 said:

That’s the nightmare scenario for ESPN, but it’s looking more likely every week.

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And obviously will have to beat the cheaters/look decent doing it.

Fungo Squiggly said:

And they STILL put up almost 500 yards of offense against a top-25 defense. If they can get the o-line playing better, watch the fuck out.

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FWIW, to my uneducated naked eye they seemed to miss far fewer blocks in the second half.

Awesome, thank you!!

TampaBuckeyes said:

Game was in Jacksonville.

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Sarcasm it’s what’s for SEC….rivalry amirite

Shiiiiit.

[golly]

That Mario Cristobal... Building a fuckin MONSTER.... Amirite?

And the Sooners had 11 penalties for 104 yards while Tennessee was able to save their condiment bottles for a later game, incurring only 3 flags for 25 yards.

GeorgiaBuck2 said:

The winner of the Big 10 Title game will win the Heisman.

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That’s the nightmare scenario for ESPN, but it’s looking more likely every week.

BB73 said:

Latest odds from FanDuel show the new favorite:

Julian Sayin (Ohio State) +200
Fernando Mendoza (Indiana) +230
Ty Simpson (Alabama) +340
Marcel Reed (Texas A&M) +650
Gunner Stockton (Georgia) +1800
Diego Pavia (Vanderbilt) +3000

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The winner of the Big 10 Title game will win the Heisman.

TampaBuckeyes said:

How do football coaches keep failing upward to the tune of tens of millions of dollars? Are there not enough of them that they just keep getting recycled around? College coaching is a cesspool designed to steal money from the universities.

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I think you’re looking at it too narrowly. Yes, there clearly is a shortage of NCAA head coaches good enough to win a championship. Remember that many of the championships over the past couple decades were won by guys who are no longer coaching, such as Sabin, Myer and Orgeron. (I’m too lazy to look it up, but maybe even the majority of championship coaches in the 21st century are no longer on the sidelines?)

But the shortage doesn’t stop with championship head coaches. There’s also a critical shortage of little known, almost behind the scenes guys who can, wholly on their own without head coach knowledge or guidance, create cheating schemes to win games and championships. Those guys work cheap and can keep the cost of head coaches more reasonable…..if a program is sleazy or lucky enough to find one!

pnuts34 said:

Login to view embedded media It’s so obvious what Cignetti is doing. Leave in the starters late in games to stat pad against the weak teams they’ve Been playing. Sayin could have well over 3000yds and close to 300tds already if Day kept the starters in and Continued to run the offense fully and not just try and finish games. But Cignetti is playing for style points because IU is seen as a joke. 50+pts against UCLA and Purdue will have the country thinking they’re better than OSU when OSU is happy to beat them both 35-7, and never get in any real trouble.

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300 tds would be quite the feat.

Oklahoma ran the ball at will, mediocre passing game, sacked Tennessee 5 times, 4/4 on field goals. Tennessee threw the ball at will but had two picks, could not run the ball, sacked Oklahoma 3 times, 2/3 on field goals.