I could be wrong but I feel like the climate is brewing where there's going to be a avalanche of flips this fall, more than we've ever seen. Just seems like there's a lot of crazy NIL offers going out left and right at the moment that can't possibly all be sustainable. I think the vast majority if not all of the guys we currently have on board are all bought in to what Ohio State is selling, so it feels like there will be little to no flips when it comes to current commits for Ohio State.
The staff definitely deserves the benefit of the doubt at the moment, they seem to know what they are doing and are doing it rather well. I know It is frustrating to keep getting bag swooped on recruits (especially at DE) but in the end I suspect everything will work out fine.
We are still recruiting at a very high level, obviously DL and OL have had their lumps but everywhere else we've done very very well. When it comes to OL the portal has been good to us and we've executed well there. I think we will see the same with DL including this year with Atkinson to supplement for the losses on the HS recruiting trail when needed.
a couple of points from 11W article that had some data in it (for whatever it's worth)
1- The total market of Rev share+ NIL is something like 2.75 Billion. I think that number should make us all pause and hopefully get rid of old ideas of what deals size make sense. There is something like 3 billion dollars at play here (and I will keep point to that number and reminding people that lawyers are going to be lining up to represent kids who are being told by the schools how much of that they are allowed to get).
2-YOY spend has increased 824%. That is an absurd percentage but it tells you something changed quite a bit in a year. Maybe it's more than just front loading contracts to get ready for this rev share rule book for as long as it may last. Point being what you did last year might not be the best strategy for right now, even if it's just a year old.
No one knows anything at this point but we are starting to see data points. Birm saying we are coming in at 25% of the offers some of the se kids are getting, market size, trends. It's going to take one league, a players union and a CBA. There is no way to do half assed professional sports unless you are ready to outspend everyone else.
