jimotis4heisman
Banned
OCBuckWife;1467760; said:I'm interested in why it is that you feel that out of wedlock must also mean single parent? It seems to me that is an erroneous assumption.
The article makes a point of saying
Yes, the other posts in this thread did tend toward the same statement but the article does not state that out of wedlock ipso facto means one parent. It's point is how many parents are deciding that marriage itself is less and less important and/or a popular a state of affairs, so to speak.
so using those two numbers
37%-born to non married mothers
40% (is that 40% of that number?) (14.8% of kids born to unmmaried mothers who are in a "longterm relationship).
maybe if we are discussing tow parents you should shovel in some divorce information.
women married from 1985-1989 57% reached their 15th anniversary
average length of marriage that ends in divorce-8 years
3.5 years median time between divorce and second marriage
52% of men age 25 or older who have ever been divorced, 44% for women
http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/releases/archives/cb08ff-02.pdf
Misreporting on Divorce - Freakonomics Blog - NYTimes.com
First is a clear mistake: ?On average, 43 percent of first marriages end in separation or divorce within 15 years, a federal study shows.? I can only assume that she is citing Census Bureau data, showing that 56.9 percent of women married from 1985 to 1989 had reached their 15th anniversary, and from that, inferring that 43.1 percent had divorced or separated within 15 years of marriage.
n this paper, we re-calculate the equivalent probabilities analyzing only those who had actually been married at least 15 years ago, and find that 33.4 percent of these first marriages ended before their 15th anniversary. Or for those who don?t like our attempted ?fix,? I would suggest referring instead to an earlier census analysis (where this problem didn?t occur), which found that 34.8 percent of first marriages ended before their 15th anniversary.
similar studies with different numbers get different outcomes whether you include women only or both men/women and whether you include end in divorce or include death/other reasons. these do not include separated but married...
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