Game Thread Ball State at tOSU, Sat. Sept. 5th, 12:30 ET BTN
- 2026 Football Season Capsule
- 905 Replies
The cover is really a bet on Ball State scoring or not as I see it.
-50.5
56.5
Right? The bet is does OSU kick a FG or score that 8th TD/does Ball State find a way to score a TD.
Looking at it probabilistically and not trying to predict exact outcomes I'd say the odds are a lot better that OSU can score 8 or more than they are that Ball State scores 1.
I do mostly agree with this. The problem is you just never know what's going to happen when hyopthetically the deep bench is in later in the 4th quarter of a 56-0 type game though. That's where Ball State might be able to pick up a cheap TD to beat the spread.
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