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Bracketology and Selection Sunday Discussion

DZ83CK
According to ESPN Giant Killers model, the most likely upset is VCU over UNC. Followed by BYU being knocked off by their 11 (either one), then Tennessee by SMU, and fourth-highest odds upset is Wisconsin-High Point. They don't count 8-9 games as worthy of being called upsets.
www.espn.com

Most probable first-round upsets in the men's 2026 NCAA tournament

Which double-digit seeds have the highest potential to advance to the second round? Here's what ESPN's BPI says.
www.espn.com www.espn.com
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2025-2026 Ohio State Men's Basketball

ScriptOhio
calibuck said:
That's what the Dance is all about. Playing the games. Upsets are legendary. What, #1 Arizona was upset by #16? Historically, some of the biggest upsets have been #12 rising up to smite #5. (nothing scientific, just my fuzzy recollections). Probably why the term "Cinderella Team" was coined. Assuming tOSU beats TCU, going up against #1 Duke will certainly be a challenge. Not enough of a chance for me to bet cash, but if everyone plays their best game, certainly possible. But let's beat TCU first, then scheme the Duke game after.....
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www.ncaa.com

Records for every seed in March Madness from 1985 to 2025

These are the all-time, round-by-round records for every seed in the March Madness men's tournament from 1985 (when the field expanded) to 2025.
www.ncaa.com www.ncaa.com

Records for every seed in March Madness from 1985 to 2025​

The all time seed-vs-seed records in the first round:​

Seed vs. Seed. W-L Pct.
1 vs. 16 158-2 .988
2 vs. 15 149-11 .931
3 vs. 14 137-23 .856
4 vs. 13 127-33 .794
5 vs. 12 103-57 .644
6 vs. 11 98-62 .613
7 vs. 10* 97-62 .610
8 vs. 9 77-83 .481
*The 2021 first round match-up between No. 7 Oregon and No. 10 VCU was considered a no contest due to COVID-19 protocols.
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