jazzman
Hall of Fame
CalvinistBuck;1560570; said:Why I think tOSU will beat Wisconsin:
The Buckeye defense matches up well with the Badger offense. The defense knows what is coming (power running game w/John Clay); and, unlike Minny, they can stop it with greater frequency. Clay may have worn out the Gopher defense by the 4th quarter (a 247-pound back who had 32 carries), but the Buckeye defense has enough quality depth up front to win this battle. Players have commented how this game was extremely physical last year and this game should be likewise. However, the Buckeyes should win the field position battle, and I think the Bucks have better personnel to overcome Coach Bielema's version of "Tresselball."
USC may be the only team the Buckeyes face this regular season that have enough speed on the edge and at LB to keep TP bottled up. tOSU running game will be challenged, but TP should still get some good running opportunities and I expect the draw play to be effective--especially if the tailbacks are able to bounce it outside. As with Minny, the Wisky defense will be susceptible to the short pass and I think TP is improving in this area. In addition, if TP is now operating out of the shotgun exclusively, this week of practice has been especially helpful.
How Wisconsin could win:
Wisky will have to pass the ball in order to score more points than the Buckeyes. Their QB, while new to the starting lineup, is experienced and currently leads the Big Ten in passing efficiency. While his success is largely predicated on the fact that their opponents have been suspect, Tolzien is gaining confidence and the play-action is certainly more effective with a solid running attack (which they have).
Similarly, on defense, the Badgers must limit tOSU ground game and make the Buckeyes rely on their passing game. If they can force TP to rush his throws (a greater possibility if several OL are out because of the flu), less success on third down and turnovers are both possible.
The final score:
Wisconsin had trouble with the Wells/Pryor running combination last season and there is no reason to think that Coach Tressel's current commitment to use TP as a running back (along with Saine/Herron) won't have success on Saturday. The Buckeye defense will not only create ample opportunity for their offense, they will also limit the Badgers to more FGs than TDs.
:osu:Buckeyes - 27
Wisconsin Badgers - 13
John Clay is no home-run threat. He is more of a short yardage guy.....third and manageable and he will move the chains. He is clearly not the quickest....he seems to run with both his arms around the ball.....good for protecting the football, but it clearly slows him down a bit. I think we will resort to gang-tackling with the speed of our defense and will force Tolzien to win it with his arm. As always this is gonna be the typical Big Ten slugging with several big hits. Special teams is gonna be key in this one. Hopefully Pettrey gets it right from <35 yards and our kick-off coverage is better this weekend. I will go with the Buckeyes 23-13....don't think we will be covering the generous spread this week.
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