I don't know about that. If MSU wins and Iowa loses, MSU is in and we move up to 7th at worst. TCU wins and we're at 6th. ND gets whipped by Stanford and we're 5th.
After we smash michigan on Saturday we'll be the best 1 loss teams with Oklahoma, Alabama and MSU. Clemson is probably going to be undefeated but you just never really know when that upset bug is going to bite them as well - it's bitten everyone else! Oklahoma State has a legitimate shot in Bedlam this week. Don't count out an upset vs Bama either (God would that make me a very happy person!!)
First things first, beat michigan by at least 2 scores. Very well could see 2 BiG schools in the final 4 this season which would make heads explode and I'd love it.
The 3 things that have to happen at minimum are: OSU smash michigan. TCU beats Baylor. Stanford beats ND. The rest leaves the door open to judgement and we might just jump MSU or Iowa after the BigCG.