Oh, welcome away. I just think it would be hilarious when a troll comes over talking shit and is 100% ignored.Well, BN27, I guess we try to present a welcoming place for fans from other teams for discussion.
I just watched Oklahoma against UTEP. Their offense looked good, but against a really bad defense. Their defense also appeared to have some problems in the secondary, as Ohio State did, early on.
Computers have their limitations, especially as the early ratings are affected by last year, but the Massey ratings are as follows:
Team, ranking, offensive ranking, defensive ranking
Ohio State 5, 20,4
Oklahoma 6, 2, 30
Indiana 68, 61,60
UTEP 153 48, 165
In a head-to-head simulation, Indiana would be expected to beat UTEP 41 -21, with more than 90% probability of winning.
Both Ohio State and Oklahoma exceeded the winning margin of the Massey model by 10 points in their first game.
In a head-to-head simulation, Ohio State would be expected to beat Oklahoma by the home field advantage of 2.5 points, so a close game.
A consideration. The game predictions of the computer models will change in the next few days as they factor in the first games. The models that performed most accurately in the first week (> 90% accuracy) have Ohio State as about a TD favorite. Having watched both games, i would be comfortable with that, but I think that Ohio State's ability to put Mayfield under pressure could increase that margin.
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