2010 Chaos theory has two parts. First, we want to see teams lose which are ahead of the Bucks in any of the Harris, Coaches' and the computers, which is, uh, a lot of teams. :( This helps first and foremost as a Rose Bowl tiebreaker in the B10, plus makes it possible to sneak into the MNC game. Let's leave the comments as to whether that's even a good idea or not to some other thread.
Second, we want to see any teams tied or ahead in the Big Ten standings lose, since no matter what the BCS standings are, the Big Ten champ goes to the Rose Bowl.
Chaos this week:
UCLA 3-3 at Oregon 6-0 (BCS #2): Root for the Bruins, though not a high priority. The Oregon love fest is in full bloom, and even with a loss, they might not fall below OSU in the human polls.
Purdue 4-2 at OSU 6-1 (BCS #10): Convincing win needed to demonstrate that the wheels didn't come off in Madison and that this team is back on track. This game can help establish in voters' minds whether last week was an aberration or start of a pattern. Root for three to four score blowout. Despite being 4-2, Purdue isn't worth much to the computers, so all we can do out of this is impress the humans.
MSU 7-0 (BCS #7) at Northwestern 5-1: Wear purple underwear or something, because this week you're a fan of the Fighting Fitzgeralds. Sorry. A win for the Wildcats dumps the one team we need to see lose, for obvious reasons. This bumps us in the BCS and puts us back into a first place tie in the conference. This is tied for being the second most important game to us this week.
Wisconsin 6-1 (BCS #13) at Iowa 5-1 (BCS #15): The other second most important game this week, and we definitely want an Iowa win. Wisconsin is certainly ahead of OSU on some poll ballots and in some computers, and is tied in conference standings, leading the tiebreaker due to head-to-head. Just as with MSU, we need them to lose, because we don't control our own destiny at this point. Plus a win for Iowa makes them a more impressive opponent down the road, and the Buckeyes will need a quality opponent/win toward the end of the year to move up in the polls and possibly pass an unbeaten non-AQ school.
LSU 7-0 (BCS #6) at Auburn 7-0 (BCS #4): LSU has limped into sixth with a whimper. We want an Auburn blowout to drop the yellow-clad Tigers below us in the BCS. Because Auburn is getting lots of media love, it's another team like Oregon which might not drop below OSU with a loss this week. LSU will, especially if they get hammered. This is probably our highest interest non-conference game this week.
Oklahoma 6-0 (BCS #1) at Missouri 6-0 (BCS #11): Tough call, because a Missouri win would leapfrog them past OSU in the BCS and might not drop Oklahoma below #10. If the chips fall right, we could see OSU get up to 7th in the BCS this week, but an Oklahoma loss would probably wreck that. My take is see Missouri lose, eliminating them from the picture, and hope for a late loss (B12 CCG?) for OU.
Utah, TCU and Boise: Boise plays BYE, which isn't any different from the rest of their schedule. Utah plays Colorado State and TCU plays Air Force. Both are at home. Obviously, we're rooting for lightning to strike in one of those games, as any loss by the non-BCS schools drops them from the running completely. Air Force has a chance, CSU probably does not. These are high rooting interest for us, at least until the visiting team goes down by three TDs seven minutes into the first quarter.
Previous OSU opponents Miami, Marshall, EMU, Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin: All are pretty much worthless, though you can try rooting for Miami-ACC against UNC if your stomach can take it. UI and IU play each other, so that's a wash, we need a Wisconsin loss, Marshall is going to get clobbered by ECU, EMU is at Virginia and OU is at Miami-MAC. Expect no help at all here.
I'm not even going to bother with Alabama at Tennecheat. Words like "plunger", "prison", and "ape" apply here. An Alabama loss would be great. So would being able to sweat lollipops, neither of which is terribly likely.
Any upward movement in the BCS this week is a bonus. Being #10 is a gift, and there are some very good teams knocking at the door between #11-15. Getting solidly into the top ten where we can take advantage of any stumbles is critical. Right now, we're too far back to benefit from the top 4 losing, IMO. Moving up to 7 or 8, and ideally leapfrogging Utah would position things well for November, as would a loss either by MSU or Wisky. At that point, it's a whole new season and we can put last weeks game down as a "teachable moment" and move on.