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College Football Playoff (2015-16 Season)

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UpNorth_Buckeye said:
I went a little crazy too on the at large bid potential above. Welcome to the club.

Edit: the one mystery around the B12 and okie St. And Baylor if they win is if they get extra points for being a conference champion. And if so, enough to jump osu?
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If OkState betas OU and Baylor loses I like our chances if we have a win over top 10 scUM
 
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If Mich St loses to Penn St and we handle bizz against scUM, beat Iowa in the Big Champ, I don't see how we'd be left out. In 3 weeks time, we would have lost a game to #9 by 3 points, beat #10 and beat #4. Whole body of work right? Oklahomo would have lost to UNRANKED Texas. There is no way Oklahomo would have a better "body of work" than us.
 
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EidoloN said:
If Mich St loses to Penn St and we handle bizz against scUM, beat Iowa in the Big Champ, I don't see how we'd be left out. In 3 weeks time, we would have lost a game to #9 by 3 points, beat #10 and beat #4. Whole body of work right? Oklahomo would have lost to UNRANKED Texas. There is no way Oklahomo would have a better "body of work" than us.
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Yeah, agree but two different scenarios.

#1 is the holy trinity (beat scUM, MSU loses, beat undefeated Iowa). That equals playoffs, no question.

#2 is the at large route and before seeing OSU at #8 I didn't think it was even possible, forget probable.

second scenario is the one where we need the 3-4 losses I listed above
 
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General question to all:

So the committee is saying "full body of work", and there is SoS rankings and all that. However, is EVERY teams body of work really being looked at?
Once the season ends, is the committee looking at, let's say, Alabama's whole schedule and analyzing the wins and losses now, and not where they were ranked at the time the game was played. Bama beat LSU at #2, but we all see now that they are a 3 loss team and very much non deserving of that ranking. Does that effect the FPI and SoS ranking, or will ESPN and the committee still see it as a "quality" win and show a stat on the show showing a beat ranked team...
 
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EidoloN said:
General question to all:

So the committee is saying "full body of work", and there is SoS rankings and all that. However, is EVERY teams body of work really being looked at?
Once the season ends, is the committee looking at, let's say, Alabama's whole schedule and analyzing the wins and losses now, and not where they were ranked at the time the game was played. Bama beat LSU at #2, but we all see now that they are a 3 loss team and very much non deserving of that ranking. Does that effect the FPI and SoS ranking, or will ESPN and the committee still see it as a "quality" win and show a stat on the show showing a beat ranked team...
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Supposedly they take all that into account. For example. If you beat a great team, but then they lose their heisman caliber qb and three defensive starters to injury later in the season, they give you credit for a good win. However, if you play a team that falls a part for no reason, it's not a great win. That's what that Bill Hancock guy said on a local radio show.
 
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Jake said:
Ugh, we've nothing to gain from playing the Cougars. They, on the other hand...
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Well it would be an interesting dynamic with Herman. I could see them get up for that due to that. But really, if Iowa beats Nebraska, msu beats Iowa, and UM beats osu, the 3 teams going to the big 6 games would be msu, Iowa, and UM. So most likely there's no need to worry about being up for a fake big game if you're not invited to one.
 
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If the most lkkely/expected results happen and everyone goes chalk, I imagine it will be Clemson #1, Bama #2, msu #3 (although there's a very strong argument that msu should be #2, but all that matters is a jersey color), and I think Oklahoma #4. #4 could be ND, but I think it will be Oklahoma. Those are both pretty good games, but that Bama/msu game would be fun to watch.
 
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UpNorth_Buckeye said:
If the most lkkely/expected results happen and everyone goes chalk, I imagine it will be Clemson #1, Bama #2, msu #3 (although there's a very strong argument that msu should be #2, but all that matters is a jersey color), and I think Oklahoma #4. #4 could be ND, but I think it will be Oklahoma. Those are both pretty good games, but that Bama/msu game would be fun to watch.
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All that road chalk isn't winning

#3 through #7 has a high probability of change

Take care of business on Saturday and OSU has a chance. I'm hoping that realization triggers a stay of execution/Scrooge on Christmas morning kind of lift for the team.
 
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