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___________________________________________________________
ORIGINAL POST 11.20.22
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Hello, Buckeye Planet members!

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For every game except the only one that matters.

Week 13
Tuesday, Nov. 22

Ball State at Miami (Ohio) | 7 p.m. | ESPN+
Bowling Green at Ohio | 7 p.m. | ESPNU

Thursday, Nov. 24

Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Alabama State | 3 p.m. | ESPN+
Mississippi State at Ole Miss | 7 p.m. | ESPN

Friday, Nov. 25

Tulane at Cincinnati | 12 p.m.
Baylor at Texas | 12 p.m.
Utah State at Boise State | 12 p.m. | CBS
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan | 12 p.m.
Toledo at Western Michigan | 12 p.m. | ESPNU

Arizona State at Arizona | 3 p.m. | FS1
NC State at North Carolina | 3:30 p.m. | ABC
Arkansas at Missouri | 3:30 p.m. | CBS
New Mexico at Colorado State | 3:30 p.m. | CBSSN
Nebraska at Iowa | 4 p.m. | Big Ten Network
UCLA at Cal | 4:30 p.m. | FOX

Florida at Florida State | 7:30 p.m. | ABC
Wyoming at Fresno State | 10 p.m. | FS1

Saturday, Nov. 26

THE GAME NOON ET ON FOX

Georgia Tech at Georgia | 12 p.m. | ESPN
South Carolina at Clemson | 12 p.m. | ABC
West Virginia at Oklahoma State | 12 p.m. | ESPN2
Army at UMass | 12 p.m. | ESPN+
Mew Mexico State at Liberty | 12 p.m. | ESPN+
Rutgers at Maryland | 12 p.m. | Big Ten Network
Coastal Carolina at James Madison | 12 p.m. | ESPNU
Old Dominion at South Alabama | 12 p.m. | ESPN+
Georgia State at Marshall | 12 p.m. | ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic | 12 p.m. | CBSSN
Elon at Furman (FCS first round) | 12 p.m. | ESPN+
East Carolina at Temple | 1 p.m. | ESPN+
Kent State at Buffalo | 1 p.m. | ESPN+
Akron at Northern Illinois | 1:30 p.m. | ESPN3

Rice at North Texas | 2 p.m. | ESPN+
Grambling vs. Southern (New Orleans) | 2 p.m. | NBC
St. Francis (PA) at Delaware (FCS first round) | 2 p.m. | ESPN+
Fordham at New Hampshire (FCS first round) | 2 p.m. | ESPN+
Davidson at Richmond (FCS first round) | 2 p.m. | ESPN+

Louisville at Kentucky | 3 p.m. | SEC Network
Auburn at Alabama | 3:30 p.m. | CBS
Oregon at Oregon State | 3:30 p.m. | ABC
Minnesota at Wisconsin | 3:30 p.m. | ESPN
Memphis at SMU | 3:30 p.m. | ESPN2
Troy at Arkansas State | 3:30 p.m. | ESPNU
Wake Forest at Duke | 3:30 p.m. | ACC Network
Illinois at Northwestern | 3:30 p.m. | Big Ten Network
Purdue at Indiana | 3:30 p.m. | Big Ten Network
Hawai'i at San Jose State | 3:30 p.m. | Spectrum Sports PPV
UAB at Louisiana Tech | 3:30 p.m. | CBSSN
UTEP at UTSA | 3:30 p.m. | Stadium
Iowa State at TCU | 4 p.m. | FOX
Michigan State at Penn State | 4 p.m. | FS1
Utah at Colorado | 4 p.m. | Pac-12 Network
North Dakota at Weber State (FCS first round) | 4 p.m. | ESPN+

Southern Miss at UL Monroe | 5 p.m. | ESPN+
Louisiana at Texas State | 5 p.m. | ESPN+
Gardner-Webb at Eastern Kentucky (FCS first round) | 5 p.m. | ESPN+
Nevada at UNLV | 6 p.m. | Mountain West Network
Appalachian State at Georgia Southern | 6 p.m. | ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at FIU | 6 p.m. | ESPN3

LSU at Texas A&M | 7 p.m. | ESPN
UCF at South Florida | 7 p.m. | ESPN2
Idaho at Southeastern Louisiana (FCS first round) | 7 p.m. | ESPN+
Tennessee at Vanderbilt | 7:30 p.m. | SEC Network
Notre Dame at USC | 7:30 p.m. | ABC
Oklahoma at Texas Tech | 7:30 p.m. | FS1
Syracuse at Boston College | 7:30 p.m. | ESPN3
Tulsa at Houston | 7:30 p.m. | ESPNU
Kansas at Kansas State | 8 p.m. | FOX
Pitt at Miami (Fla.) | 8 p.m. | ACC Network

Air Force at San Diego State | 9 p.m. | CBSSN
Southeast Missouri State at Montana (FCS first round) | 10 p.m. | ESPN2
Washington at Washington State | 10:30 p.m. | ESPN
BYU at Stanford | 11 p.m. | FS1

Virginia at Virginia Tech -- Canceled

For every game except the only one that matters.


Week 13
Tuesday, Nov. 22

Ball State at Miami (Ohio) | 7 p.m. | ESPN+
Bowling Green at Ohio | 7 p.m. | ESPNU

Thursday, Nov. 24

Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Alabama State | 3 p.m. | ESPN+
Mississippi State at Ole Miss | 7 p.m. | ESPN

Friday, Nov. 25

Tulane at Cincinnati | 12 p.m.
Baylor at Texas | 12 p.m.
Utah State at Boise State | 12 p.m. | CBS
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan | 12 p.m.
Toledo at Western Michigan | 12 p.m. | ESPNU

Arizona State at Arizona | 3 p.m. | FS1
NC State at North Carolina | 3:30 p.m. | ABC
Arkansas at Missouri | 3:30 p.m. | CBS
New Mexico at Colorado State | 3:30 p.m. | CBSSN
Nebraska at Iowa | 4 p.m. | Big Ten Network
UCLA at Cal | 4:30 p.m. | FOX

Florida at Florida State | 7:30 p.m. | ABC
Wyoming at Fresno State | 10 p.m. | FS1

Saturday, Nov. 26

THE GAME NOON ET ON FOX

Georgia Tech at Georgia | 12 p.m. | ESPN
South Carolina at Clemson | 12 p.m. | ABC
West Virginia at Oklahoma State | 12 p.m. | ESPN2
Army at UMass | 12 p.m. | ESPN+
Mew Mexico State at Liberty | 12 p.m. | ESPN+
Rutgers at Maryland | 12 p.m. | Big Ten Network
Coastal Carolina at James Madison | 12 p.m. | ESPNU
Old Dominion at South Alabama | 12 p.m. | ESPN+
Georgia State at Marshall | 12 p.m. | ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic | 12 p.m. | CBSSN
East Carolina at Temple | 1 p.m. | ESPN+
Kent State at Buffalo | 1 p.m. | ESPN+
Akron at Northern Illinois | 1:30 p.m. | ESPN3
Rice at North Texas | 2 p.m. | ESPN+
Grambling vs. Southern (New Orleans) | 2 p.m. | NBC

Louisville at Kentucky | 3 p.m. | SEC Network
Troy at Arkansas State | 3 p.m. | ESPN+
Wake Forest at Duke | 3:30 p.m.
Hawai'i at San Jose State | 3:30 p.m.
UAB at Louisiana Tech | 3:30 p.m. | CBSSN
UTEP at UTSA | 3:30 p.m.
Iowa State at TCU | 4 p.m.
Southern Miss at UL Monroe | 5 p.m. | ESPN+
Louisiana at Texas State | 5 p.m. | ESPN+

Nevada at UNLV | 6 p.m.
Appalachian State at Georgia Southern | 6 p.m. | ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at FIU | 6 p.m. | ESPN3
LSU at Texas A&M | 7 p.m. | ESPN
Tennessee at Vanderbilt | 7:30 p.m. | SEC Network
Notre Dame at USC | 7:30 p.m. | ABC
Syracuse at Boston College | 7:30 p.m. | ESPN3
Pitt at Miami (Fla.) | 8 p.m. | ACC Network
Air Force at San Diego State | 9 p.m. | CBSSN

Auburn at Alabama
Utah at Colorado
Michigan State at Penn State
Oregon at Oregon State
Kansas at Kansas State
Washington at Washington State
UCF at South Florida
BYU at Stanford
Oklahoma at Texas Tech
Illinois at Northwestern
Minnesota at Wisconsin
Purdue at Indiana
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Memphis at SMU
Tulsa at Houston

Maryland Recap (2022)

#2 Ohio State had a bad day yesterday, needing a last-second defensive score to secure a shaky 43-30 victory against an unranked Maryland team that was trying to recover from blow out losses in its two previous games (23-10 to Wisconsin; 30-0 to Penn State). Now for some perspective....

• #1 Georgia looked offensively challenged in a 16-6 win over unranked Kentucky (6-5 overall, 3-5 in conference, same as Maryland).
• #3 scUM needed a last-second field goal to beat unranked Illinois, 19-17, and also lost Heisman hopeful Blake Corum to an injury.
• #4 TCU needed a last-second field goal to beat unranked Baylor, 29-28.
• #5 Tennessee got blown out by unranked South Carolina, 63-38, and also lost Heisman hopeful Hendon Hooker to an injury.
• #13 North Carolina lost to unranked Georgia Tech, 21-17; Heisman pretender Drake Maye was awful and choked on the potential game-winning drive.
• #14 Ole Miss lost to unranked Arkansas, 42-27.
• #20 UCF (LOL at that ranking) lost to unranked Navy, 17-14.
• #22 Oklahoma State (another LOL) lost to unranked Oklahoma, 28-13.
• #24 NC State lost to unranked Louisville, 25-10.
• Miami is still not back after getting blown out by Clemson, 40-10, and falling below .500 on the season (5-6 overall, 3-4 in conference).
• And finally, Virginia cancelled its game because three of their players were murdered by a former teammate.

So a 13-point victory on the road against a motivated opponent in a trap game before Rivalry Week wasn't such a bad result after all.

1. Not such a bad result, but still pretty damned ugly to watch at times. And much of that ugliness emanated from quarterback C.J. Stroud, who did nothing to promote his Heisman chances except to avoid getting injured. Stroud was 18/30 (.600) for 241 yards, a TD, and no INTs, but was clearly outplayed by his counterpart, Taulia Tagovailoa (26/36, 293 yards, 2 TDs, no INTs). It is becoming apparent that Stroud gets rattled easily, both by pressure from opposing defenses and from November weather (and also maybe from Heisman hype and playoff talk).

2. In addition, Stroud is simply not a dynamic player. Watch Caleb Williams or Spencer Rattler (or remember Troy Smith) if you want to see for yourself what I'm talking about.

3. Running back TreVeyon Henderson had a great start to the game, scoring on a 31-yard swing pass on the opening drive. Henderson apparently re-injured his foot during that play (or maybe during the ensuing touchdown celebration) and after a few ineffective series was replaced by Dallan Hayden, who had 27 carries for 146 yards (5.4 average) and 3 touchdowns.

4. The Silver Bullets are not back. The Buckeye defense surrendered 28 points (the special teams gave up the other 2) and 402 total yards to a Terrapin squad that had managed just 10 points and 323 total yards in their two previous games COMBINED; the Terps averaged 5.9 yards per play, which was more than double their average from their two prior games (2.6 combined; Penn State held them to 2.2 per play); they had 22 first downs after a combined 20 in their two previous games; they had long gains of 25, 25, 26, 27, 34, 36, and 49 yards against the Buckeyes after managing only two plays of 20+ yards in their previous two games (they had a 21-yard play in each game); and finally, they were 7/15 (.467) on 3rd and 4th down after going 10/38 (.263) against Wisconsin and Penn State. Maryland used fakes and misdirection on nearly every play and as a result the Buckeye defense was generally a step too slow or out of position.

5. Although the defense generally played poorly, a few individuals had excellent performances. Defensive end Zach Harrison had back-to-back sacks on Maryland's "final" drive (for some reason the Terps did run one play with 5 seconds left on the clock, down 13 points, and with their starting QB out injured), the second of which resulted in a fumble that was scooped and scored by Steele Chambers. Tommy Eichenberg quietly had 13 tackles (10 solo, one TFL). After having issues earlier in the season, Cameron Brown displayed textbook coverage on a deep route and almost came up with an interception (he was credited with a PBU).

6. For the second week in a row, Lathan Ransom (also 7 tackles, TFL, PBU) blocked a punt that was recovered by Xavier Johnson (also a key 46-yard kick return) and turned into a touchdown by the offense two plays later. Place kicker Noah Ruggles connected on all three field goal attempts, including two long ones (45 and 47 yards), but had an extra point blocked and returned by Maryland for a defensive two-point conversion.

7. Yesterday's game was one of the most highly penalized in recent memory, with Ohio State incurring 11 infractions for 97 yards, and Maryland racking up 10 for 97 yards.

8. The teams nearly split the time of possession, with Ohio State holding a narrow 30:15 to 29:45 advantage.

9. Time to turn the page because it's Xichigan Week.

special teams special teams special teams

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Go Buckeyes

New thread....just traded kyle farmer to Minn for a prospect

I don't follow as closely as I once did as I've been jaded straight into apathy. Here's the 2023 thread.

Enjoy Tito while we still have him because I strongly suspect it goes to shit when he retires. Love that guy.

There's always next year...meaning 2024.

BUCKEYES OPEN MAUI INVITATIONAL VS. SAN DIEGO STATE ON NOV. 21

The Maui Jim Maui Invitational revealed the official 2022 Tournament bracket on Monday. Ohio State will open the tournament against San Diego State on Nov. 21 at 9 p.m. ET. The game will be televised on ESPNU.

The Buckeyes will be the third game of the opening day. Texas Tech and Creighton will play in the first game and Louisville and Arkansas will play in the second game. Ohio State will take on either Cincinnati or Arizona on day two as the Bearcats and Wildcats will meet in the final opening round game.

This will be Ohio State’s fourth appearance in the Maui Invitational and its first since 2003. The Buckeyes also participated in the 1993 and 1988 tournaments. The 2022 event will be played at the Lahaina Civic Center on the Island of Maui, Hawaii on Nov. 21-23.

This will also be the fourth meeting all-time between Ohio State and San Diego State. The teams split a home-and-home series in 1996 and 1997 with each team winning on its home court. The Aztecs won the most recent meeting (83-61), which also came in the opening round of the 2003 Maui Invitational.

Entire article: https://ohiostatebuckeyes.com/bucke... 2022 event will be,winning on its home court.

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On Wednesday night, Ohio State head coach Chris Holtmann said the Aztecs can “Clearly get to the Final Four” and that facing San Diego State is akin to facing a lineup of “grown men” and he’s not wrong. The Aztecs start one non-senior player — junior guard Lamont Butler. Aside from him, they start:

• Darrion Trammell - fourth-year senior guard
• Nathan Mensa - fifth-year senior center
• Matt Bradley - fifth-year senior guard
• Keshad Johnson - fourth-year senior forward

The Aztecs were picked to win the Mountain West Conference this year in the pre-season media poll, and were also picked to win the MWC in The Field of 68’s Basketball Almanac. They began the season at No. 19 in the AP Poll and have since jumped to No. 17 after wins over BYU and Stanford. More importantly, they have the No. 9 defense in the country right now, allowing 87.6 points per 100 possessions (or .87 points per possession, to simplify things). Last season, they were the No. 2 defensive team in the country.

Over the past several seasons, Brian Dutcher’s teams have created an identity and reputation for being one of the most physical and aggressive teams in the nation when guarding the ball. They led the Mountain West in steals each of the past two seasons, and are averaging over 12 steals per game this year. How will an Ohio State team that’s averaging 15 turnovers per game prevent the Aztecs from pressuring them into 15 or 20 more turnovers Monday night?

“Well, we’ve certainly put a lot of thought into that,” Holtmann said Wednesday evening. “I think we need to simplify the way we’re playing offensively. Listen, I think we’re going to turn the ball over more than we have in the past. When you have this number of new guys and freshmen, and a number of our freshmen are handling the ball. And you also have Justice back, but he has got to take care of the ball better. He’s got to be better in that area. I think that’s an area where we will improve as the year goes on.”

First look at the Maui Invitational’s Opening Night

In the fourth meeting between the schools and the second in the Maui Invitational, Ohio State will be looking to even the series with each team earning a win in their home arenas in 1995 and 1996 and the Aztecs defeating the Buckeyes in 2003. Transfer Jaedon Ledee will get a chance to compete against the university he attended in his freshman year, while Matt Bradley faces off with old Cal teammate Justice Sueing.

Entire article: https://www.eastvillagetimes.com/first-look-at-the-maui-invitationals-opening-night/

Jaedon Ledee has came of the bench and scored 11 vs Cal State Fullerton, 23 vs BYU, and 14 vs Stanford.
https://www.sports-reference.com/cb...n=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-

Just sayin': Ledee is probably no big deal to the Ohio State team as there aren't any current players that were playing in 2018/2019 when Ledee was here.
https://ohiostatebuckeyes.com/sports/m-baskbl/roster/season/2018-19/

247
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HudL




Class: 2023
School: Pierre (SD) T.F. Riggs
Position: QB
Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 185lbs

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IMG Academy (Fort Myers, FL)
Ht: 5'10"
Wt: 172 lbs
Class: 2025 (High School)

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TB from Georgia we just offered.

I’ll study film and get back to you.

Decent offer list but lacking SEC powers.

Seems we are intent on bringing in a a 2023 TB.

Ohio State 2023 football ticket prices announced

The Ohio State University Board of Trustees approved ticket prices for the 2023 football season Thursday.

The 2023 season features home games against Big Ten rivals Penn State, Michigan State, Maryland and Minnesota. For non-conference games, individual ticket prices are as low as $39.

The Department of Athletics continues to offer a stadium price scaling plan that includes six price zones, offering a wide array of options for fans purchasing tickets.

The pricing strategies have received positive feedback from fans and help match pricing to the market. The Ohio State Athletic Council and university administrators recommended the 2023 pricing model.

Season ticket discounts off the aggregate individual game prices for the public, faculty and staff will remain. The student ticket price of $34 per game, continuing in 2023, has not changed since the 2013 season.

Beginning with the 2023 football season, an Ohio Stadium preservation fee of $2 per ticket, per game will be added on top of the ticket price. The funds generated from the fee will be earmarked for ongoing deferred maintenance projects necessary to extend the life of the stadium.

The fee will be used for projects that include restroom upgrades, ongoing concrete repair and sealing, and field-level surface repair and replacement, as well as painting and new directional signage.

The Department of Athletics continues to be one of the largest self‐sustaining athletic programs in the nation. The department supports more than 1,000 student‐athletes on 36 Ohio State teams.

See 2023 price chart: https://news.osu.edu/ohio-state-202...68705303&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter

Numbers can be a good way of comparing football teams, but only if you know what numbers tell you and more importantly, what they don't. Much of what a number can tell you depends on context. At Buckeye Planet, we use differential statistics to compare teams because they have context built into them. Some quick examples before we get started. If you score twice as much as your opponents typically allow and pass for twice as many yards, then your Differential Scoring Offense and you Differential Passing Offense are both 2.0 (twice as good as average). If you allow half as many yards rushing as your opponents gain against everyone else and allow half as many points, then your Differential Rushing Defense and your Differential Scoring Defense are both 0.5 (also twice as good as average). For more complete explanations of the numbers herein and what the categories mean, see Our Glossary. See especially the entry on Differential Scoring Composite (DSC), which is an objective measure which we use to compare teams.

There are some surprises in the numbers this week. The first surprise this week is really only a surprise if you missed the Differential Statistical Analysis (DSA) rundown of the CFP Top 12 last week.
As was explained last week, Ohio State's ranking in DYpC (2nd last week, 1st this week) does not mean that Ohio State doesn't have things to work on. Even though there is a good deal of context baked into these numbers, some important context is missing. Part of that could be explained by the number we call Rigidity, which is an indication of how well you hold up under the pressure of better competition. That number tells the same story this week as it did last week, but other numbers might tell the story better. For example, the Buckeyes gain a first down on 43.24% of running plays on 3rd down with 1 to 3 yards to go. If you're thinking, "that's bad", you're right. That's bad. How bad? 125th in the country bad.

It is worth noting, however, that Ohio State is not the only CFP-Top-Twelve team to rank lower than you might think in short yardage first downs. Everyone seems to think that Michigan is the king of running the ball when the other team knows it's coming, but they are only 17th in this metric (much better than 125th, granted, but surprisingly low for all that). Georgia is 36th, LSU is 42nd, TCU is 55th, Tennessee is 75th, and Alabama is 105th.

This calls into question the importance of short-yardage rushing. The entire Top Twelve fit into the top 45 in DYpC, yet half of the top 8 are ranked 55th or lower in short-yardage rushing. Additionally, 2 of the top 4 in short-yardage rushing are 4-6 teams, and number 6 is Nevada, who is 2-8. So while Ohio State's success rate on short yardage is a concern, and while it prevents us from proclaiming them the best rushing team in FBS, it should be kept in perspective.

Unlike the offensive numbers, one doesn't need to dig as deep to see a cause for concern for Ohio State fans when it comes to rushing defense.
Ohio State's number changed significantly, as did several other teams. For Ohio State though, this might be a cause for concern. The Buckeyes allowed 150 yards on 40 carries to Indiana. That might not seem so bad, until you consider how bad Indiana is. This was the most rushing yards that Indiana gained against an FBS opponent all year. Their previous high against a B1G opponent was 67 yards. This left the Buckeyes with a DRD of 1.939 for the game and a DYpC of 1.648 for the game. These were BY FAR the Buckeyes worst rushing defense numbers on the year, and they follow a game against Northwestern when both numbers were over 1 in spite of Ohio State knowing that Northwestern wouldn't be able to throw the ball in that Nor'easter. The upshot of all of this is that, according to DSA, Ohio State's rushing defense appears to have fallen off the table, and it couldn't have come at much worse of a time. Here's hoping it gets shored up this week.

Some might be thinking, "perhaps the Buckeyes just focused on stopping the pass the last two weeks." Well... obviously that wasn't the case vs Northwestern. But against Indiana the Buckeyes were facing a backup QB not known for his throwing arm and they STILL allowed a Differential Pass Efficiency greater than 1. It is conceivable that this was just another case of an opposing QB playing the best game of his life against Ohio State (see Penn State quarterbacks of the 21st century), but it is still a cause for concern. The Buckeyes fell from 16th to 25th in FBS in Differential Pass Efficiency defense this week. So while the rushing offense (leading the country in DYpC) is, not without reason, a leading topic of discussion on the message board of late; the defense should be considered a cause for concern. (Though as will be seen later, they have been keeping other teams out of the end zone fairly well.)

As with pass defense, pass offense has taken a down turn of late. But CJ is still on top of the world, as has been shown elsewhere. Rather than go over that same ground again, we'll simply observe here that CJ is the only quarterback in the country to have a Differential Passing Efficiency (DPE) above 1.5 (1.535), but that if the Northwestern Nor'easter is removed from consideration, CJ's DPE is 1.643. If we were to give Hendon Hooker a mulligan for the Georgia game (NOT played in a Nor'easter), his DPE improves to 1.549. Almost within a 1/10th of CJ, but that is still the biggest gap between adjacently ranked quarterbacks in FBS. However you slice it, it's CJ and then everyone else.

Having briefly reviewed rushing and passing, this leaves us with the most important stats, scoring offense and scoring defense. As usual, we use the differential version of these. If you're new to The Planet, refer to the Glossary link at the top of the post for a definition and explanation of DSO, DSD, DSC, and other DSA terms.

Several teams made big moves in DSC this week. Some of these came with a concomitant big move in CFP ranking, some didn't. Apart from their changes in DSC and (if applicable) CFP rankings (shown in the table below), the teams had something else in common:
So apart from being the biggest movers in terms of DSC, and therefore in DSC ranking, they all allowed exactly 3 points in Week 11. They are all also ranked lower by the CFP than they are by DSC; in fact the last 3 are unranked in spite of being top 25 in DSC.

This illustrates a couple of things. 1) A good defensive outing will cause more movement in DSC than a good offensive outing (denominator more important than numerator), and 2) the CFP doesn't seem to notice defense.

By the way: Anyone who expected to see Florida State in the top 10 in DSC at this point in the season raise your hand. And Minnesota at 13?

Apart from those things, some of you may have noticed the team at the top of the previous table. Although their DSC ranking didn't move much, moving at all that close to the top is significant, especially if you remember where Ohio State was ranked last week.
Before we get to the elephant in the room, let's first address the small matter of Tennessee passing the Buckeyes in Differential Scoring Offense. This was based entirely on the fact that Tennessee scored 10 more points than Ohio State did in week 11. The teams both scored 28 points in the first half, so the difference was entirely in the 2nd half, when Ohio State was coasting. So Tennessee, who needs style points, kept scoring and Ohio State, who does not need style points, did not. *shocking*

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With that out of the way... yes, TTUN passed Ohio State in DSC this week. And yes, DSC already has a lot of context built into it. But in this case, there is a significant bit of context that numbers won't tell you about.

The Cornhuskers were without their starting QB for the second straight week. This left Sophomore Logan Smothers and Freshman Chubba Purdy as the Nebraska signal callers. While numbers can't tell you that the starter was missing, they can give you a hint as to the size of the drop off.

Casey Thompson's lowest passing efficiency on the year was 128.02; Nebraska's lowest DPE while he was the starter was 0.905. Neither Purdy nor Smothers has managed a PE within 10 points of Thompson's lowest number on the year, and their collective DPE was 0.654 against Minnesota and 0.799 against TTUN.

So while DSA typically provides relevant context by comparing how well you did compared to your opponent's usual performance, DSA compared what Michigan's defense did vs Chubba and Logan with what Nebraska's other opponents did against a much better QB (and Minnesota did better against those backups than Michigan did). The upshot is: In this case the context that DSA added was misleading.

Yes, holding Nebraska to 3 points greatly improved Michigan's DSC. As we saw above, that worked for half a dozen teams this past weekend. The difference is that Michigan's DSC-bump was 100% fraudulent, much like the DSC-hit that the Buckeyes took in the Northwestern Nor'easter was misleading in the other direction.

It's all about context. When you look behind the numbers and find the right context, The Ohio State Buckeyes compare favorably to everyone this side of Athens. And there is a lot of time for the Ohio State defense, still in its first year of a new system, to continue to improve between now and then.

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Twitter: @AveryGach



Class: 2025 (high school)
Position: Offensive Line
School: Franklin (MI) Groves
Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 265 lbs

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Twitter: @MasonShort_



Class: 2025 (high school)
Position: Offensive Line
School: Evans (GA) Evans
Height: 6-foot-6
Weight: 285 lbs

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No more school, Christmas, music programs.

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Twitter: @Treycornist



Class: 2023 (high school)
Position: Running Back
School: Cincinnati (OH) Winton Woods
Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 215 lbs

might be one to watch....

https://t.co/z1Lfc6fF30

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one more cupcake before they head out to Maui.

Eastern Illinois Panthers (0-3) at Ohio State Buckeyes (2-0)

Columbus, Ohio; Wednesday, 7 p.m. EST

BOTTOM LINE: Eastern Illinois heads into the matchup with Ohio State after losing three games in a row.

Ohio State went 13-3 at home last season while going 20-12 overall. The Buckeyes shot 47.1% from the field and 36.5% from 3-point range last season.

Eastern Illinois finished 5-26 overall with a 1-16 record on the road a season ago. The Panthers averaged 56.3 points per game while shooting 39.8% from the field and 32.6% from deep last season.

https://wtop.com/ncaa-basketball/2022/11/eastern-illinois-faces-ohio-state-on-3-game-skid/

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Still undefeated and in the hunt for a berth in the CFPs.

Heisman Race Update

At THIS LINK you will find a previous comparison that shows quite vividly C.J. Stroud's superiority to other top FBS quarterbacks to this point in the season. Below is a continuation of that comparison with an update to the season stats.

HERE you will find a brief glossary of the terms used herein. These terms are also explained within this post, but in future weeks the explanations will be elided. We will simply include links to the glossary.

The Heisman race has been expanded to include a couple of Pac 12 quarterbacks who a certain 4-letter network has been plugging for the Heisman. The only member of the top 8 in Passing Efficiency that is excluded here is Kurtis Rourke of the Ohio Bobcats, as no one is likely to mention his name for the Heisman at any point, though they bring up Caleb Williams (who is ranked below him) with every third breath. The only QB outside of the top 8 that is included here is J.J. McCarthy, who is 18th in passing efficiency according to the NCAA. It is notable that his DPE is higher than that of the most recent media darling, Bo Nix. Passing efficiency shown here might be different than you'll see elsewhere as games against FCS teams have been excluded.

The columns in the following table can be interpreted as follows:

Quarterback: The quarterback to whom the numbers in that row apply. Some of you may have pieced that together for yourselves, or at least remembered it from last week.

PE vs FBS: Pass Efficiency in FBS games only

DPE: Differential Pass Efficiency - Ratio of your PE to your opponents' average PED

Rigidity: A number that indicates how well a quarterback maintains performance against the best competition. Positive numbers indicate better performance against better competition where as negative numbers are indicative of bullies who pad stats against lesser competition. Significant improvements were made to the rigidity calculation this week, making it more accurate (tedious details elided).

Composite PED: All passing stats for all opponents were compiled into one pass efficiency number. Composite PED is where that pass efficiency would land among FBS teams in this week's Pass Efficiency Defense (PED) rankings.

Quarterback	PE vs FBS	QB's DPE	Rigidity	Composite PED
C.J. Stroud	188.159	1.535	11.543	39
Hendon Hooker	178.976	1.497	-4.672	26
Drake Maye	177.658	1.410	69.075	49
Grayson McCall	174.721	1.327	-11.440	76
Caleb Williams	166.415	1.225	-17.007	90
J.J. McCarthy	157.604	1.224	-36.706	63
Max Duggan	163.461	1.209	32.645	89
Bo Nix	169.197	1.201	-38.923	102

This analysis is 100% objective. When other teams are superior, DSA says so (see Georgia's DSC if you doubt it). In this case though, Buckeye Planet stats give us very good reason to believe that the Buckeye Quarterback is the best there is in this sport. No scarlet colored glasses, just raw, unbiased numbers that have a ton of relevant context baked into them. With three weeks left in this contest, we can honestly say "C.J. Stroud for Heisman: Not Because He's a Buckeye; Because He Deserves It"

former Buckeye bballer Jamaal Brown passed away over the weekend/...

NOVEMBER 14, 2022
FORMER CAPTAIN JAMAAL BROWN PASSES AWAY

COLUMBUS, Ohio – Ohio State men’s basketball is saddened by the news that former captain Jamaal Brown has passed away at his home in Texas over the weekend. Brown was 52.

The Arlington, Texas native appeared in 127 games, starting 126 of those games, from 1988-92. A floor leader, Brown averaged 9.0 points per game and scored 1,139 points in his career. He led the Buckeyes to back-to-back Big Ten titles in 1991 and 1992 and served as a team captain during his senior season in 1992. Brown made a team-high 34 three-pointers in 1991 and was second behind Jim Jackson in 1992 with 41 threes.

The Buckeyes made three NCAA Tournament appearances during Brown’s four seasons, including a Sweet 16 appearance in 1991 and an Elite Eight appearance in 1992. Known as the team’s best defender, he typically drew the opposition’s best player. In the NCAA Second Round game against Georgia Tech in 1991, Brown frustrated All-American Kenny Anderson into an 8-for-28 shooting performance which helped the Buckeyes to a 65-61 victory. The highlight of his career was a career-high 29-point effort in leading Ohio State to a 93-85 victory over No. 3 Indiana inside Assembly Hall in January of 1991.

Brown was a communications major who frequently made stops at local elementary schools talking to students about life and basketball and the dangers of drug use. Teammate and fellow captain Tony White described Brown as “a guy who knew how to play the game, didn’t make a whole lot of mistakes, made jump shots, was a physical presence and a great defender.” Brown was from Arlington, Texas and attended Sam Houston High School where he earned All-State honors in both track and basketball. During his senior season, he was the MVP of the Texas All-Star Game and then set the school record by clearing 6-10 in the high jump.

https://ohiostatebuckeyes.com/former-captain-jamaal-brown-passes-away/

OK, this attempts to predict how the committee will rank teams at the end of the year. It does NOT try to predict the outcomes of the remaining games or which scenarios will actually occur. But if you have a scenario in mind that includes all the results, scrolling the numbered list from top down until you find teams that match your results will find what I'm guessing will be the 4 seeds, in order.

I am listing the resumes of each team based on the following criteria: A good win is against an FBS team with no more than 3 losses, a close win is any game within 8 points, overtime games are indicated, and large margins of victory are listed if the opponent is a ‘good’ team as previously defined. Sorry, the # of close wins for UNC messes up my formatting.

The only current 2-loss teams included are LSU and Alabama. The only current 1-loss team excluded is Coastal Carolina.

Team	Remaining games	Good Wins	Losses	Other Close wins
Georgia	@Ky, Ga Tech, LSU	Oregon(+46), Tenn	-	Mizzou
tOSU	@Md, TTUN, CCG	ND, @Penn St	-	-
TTUN	Illini, @ tOSU, no CCG	Penn St	-	Maryland
TCU	@Baylor, Ia St, CCG	Okla St(OT), Kans St	-	@SMU, Kans, @Tex
Tennessee	@S. Car., @Vandy	@LSU(+27), Bama	@Georgia(-14)	@Pitt(OT), Fla
USC	@UCLA, ND, CCG	@Oregon St(+3)	@Utah(-1)	Arizona, Cal
LSU	UAB, @aTm, UGA	Miss(+25), Bama(OT)	FSU(-1), Tenn(-27)	@Aub, @Ark
Clemson	MiaFL, S. Car., @UNC	@Fla St(+6)	@ND(-21)	@Wake(OT), Syr(+6)
Alabama	Austin Peay, Auburn	Ole Miss(+6)	@Tenn(-3), @LSU(OT)	@Tex(+1), aTm(+4)

Team	Remaining games	Good Wins	Losses	Other Close wins
N. Carolina	Ga Tech, NC St, Clemson	@Duke(+3)	ND(-13)	@AppSt(+2), @GaSt(+7), @MiaFL(+3), @Va(+3), @Wake(+2)

I had to avoid scenarios which are extremely unlikely, like Georgia beating LSU but losing to both Ky and Ga Tech, or tOSU winning The Game but losing both at Maryland and in the CCG.

NOTE - most scenarios cannot co-exist, so the first 4 teams and Tennessee are believed to control their own destiny. And UGA is believed to be in the top-4 if they beat Ky and Ga Tech, even if they lose to LSU.

#01. UGA undefeated thru CCG
#02. tOSU undefeated thru CCG
#03. TTUN undefeated thru CCG (mutually exclusive with #02)
#04. TCU undefeated thru CCG
#05. UGA with 1 loss, even if it’s to LSU in CCG (head-to-head over Tenn)
#06. Tenn wins out, no CCG
#07. tOSU 1-loss to Md, wins CCG
#08. TTUN 1-loss to Illini, wins CCG
#09. USC wins out over UCLA, ND, and CCG (possible revenge over Utah)
#10. LSU wins out with CCG over UGA
#11. tOSU with 1-loss and no CCG win
#12. TTUN with 1 loss and no CCG win
#13. Clemson wins out with CCG over UNC
#14. Bama wins out, has 2 losses, no CCG
#15. TCU with a loss but a CCG win
#15. UNC wins out with CCG win over Clemson
#16. TCU with 1 loss in the CCG

Alabama’s can only end up with one good win, over Ole Miss, who has no good wins of their own. They’re toast.

USC need to win out and have TCU lose, I think they’d end up ahead of every 1-loss non conference champion except Tennessee.

I think Georgia is the only team that could pick up a loss and still be reasonably safe to get in.

• Georgia 2026 wide receiver Aaron Gregory: “The game atmosphere from yesterday was great. Nothing like The Ohio State. I had a great visit. I made some great connections with the wide receiver coach Brian Hartline and the safety coach Perry Eliano. They liked my size and potential, future visits are definitely in the works. Great hospitality, enjoyed being able to watch practice and learn from a great group of players and coaches.”

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https://www.elevenwarriors.com/ohio...owing-the-buckeyes-56-14-victory-over-indiana

Sorry if this isn't the right place, but I didn't see.an existing Virginia thread.

Looks like 3 Virginia football players were killed in a shooting by a former player last night/this morning.

Lavel Davis

Devin Chandler

D'Sean Perry