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LGHL You’re Nuts: ‘What If’ Urban Meyer kept coaching at Ohio State?

You’re Nuts: ‘What If’ Urban Meyer kept coaching at Ohio State?
Josh Dooley
via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here


COLLEGE FOOTBALL: DEC 19 Big Ten Championship Game - Northwestern v Ohio State

Photo by Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Where would the Buckeyes be now?

Everybody knows that one of the best parts of being a sports fan is debating and dissecting the most (and least) important questions in the sporting world with your friends. So, we’re bringing that to the pages of LGHL with our favorite head-to-head column: You’re Nuts.

In You’re Nuts, two LGHL staff members will take differing sides of one question and argue their opinions passionately. Then, in the end, it’s up to you to determine who’s right and who’s nuts.

This week’s topic: What If Urban Meyer kept coaching at Ohio State?


Josh’s Take


Since taking over on a full-time basis in 2019, Ryan Day is 53-8 as the head football coach of the Ohio State Buckeyes. He has guided his team(s) to three College Football Playoff appearances in five seasons, won a Sugar Bowl and a Rose Bowl, and boasts one of college football’s best winning percentages against ranked opponents (among active coaches). So by most measures, Day has been very, very, very successful in Columbus. He also seems to be a genuinely good dude, for whatever that’s worth.

But thanks to Day’s record against Michigan, as well as his lack of championships – B1G or otherwise – he is also viewed by some as a coach who inherited a great program and has since failed to meet the standard and/or expectations. Whether this is true or not, I don’t really know. I mean, Ohio State has won two national titles since 1970, so the whole championship or bust thing is... You know what? I’m not doing this. Getting back to my intro...

Day’s predecessor, Urban Meyer, compiled a ridiculous 83-9 record in Columbus, arguably raising the “standard” (eye roll) and establishing OSU as one of the top two, three, four programs in all of CFB. Which is still the case today. The latter took things to another level with his dominance of TTUN – and by default the B1G – as well as his postseason success. Meyer went 5-2 in bowls with the Buckeyes, obviously highlighted by winning the first CFP in 2014/15.

What’s the point of this little history lesson? Only to recap the past decade or so and remind those with amnesia and/or total memory loss that Meyer eventually passed the torch to Day, leading us to where we are now... Now, as in the second week of June, otherwise known as What If week here at LGHL.

Embracing said theme, Gene and I decided to try and imagine what would have happened if Meyer had continued coaching (Ohio State) after the 2018 season. What if he never passed the sticks to Day when he did?

In my mind, one of two things happens: 1) Meyer coaches through the pandemic and then handpicks Day as his successor prior to the 2021 season. Or 2) Meyer coaches through the 2022 season, Day leaves post-pandemic, and Luke Fickell gets the OSU job prior to 2023. Either way, I just don’t see any scenario in which Meyer is still coaching football – at any level – in 2024.

Those are the macros, and here are micro What Ifs... Or something like that:

If Day takes over prior to the 2021 season, I think everything is pretty much the same as it is today. At least for him and the Buckeyes. But I also think that Meyer would have won another national title in ’19 or ’20, giving him and the Ohio State program a bit of a boost reputation-wise. Other than that, not much changes here.

If Meyer continues coaching through 2022, I think Day follows Justin Fields to the NFL as the offensive coordinator of the Chicago Bears. In Chicago, Day and Fields produce fireworks, eventually leading to an NFL HC gig for Day and a big second contract for Fields.

As a result (of above), Fickell returns home and takes his dream job coaching OSU prior to the 2023 season. Not sure how Fick would fare in Columbus, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we find out eventually...

Other trickle-down effects of Meyer coaching the Buckeyes until 2023 include Jim Harbaugh being fired at Michigan and that program not winning a natty, Chris Holtmann being fired as Ohio State’s men’s basketball coach much sooner (because his program is now even further behind football), and the Jacksonville Jaguars winning Super Bowl LVII (2022 season).

I’m sure that I am right about all of these, Gene. But go ahead and give it your best shot.

Gene’s Take


Full transparency — I am not a huge fan of Urban Meyer. While I respect what he did for Ohio State football and what he did to help build the program to where it is today as a national powerhouse, including winning a national title, his off-field issues as well as his tendency later in his career to suffer inexplicable embarrassing losses to inferior opponents (Iowa in 2017, Purdue in 2018, etc.). I also think he fumbled the bag tremendously with the loss to Michigan State in 2015, but I digress...

Like Josh, I don't think there is any conceivable world where Meyer would still be the headman of the Buckeyes, even if the health issues/scandals didn’t exist. The game is wildly different than when Meyer was at the height of his powers, both on the field and in the recruiting world between the transfer portal and NIL. I don't think a man who started his head coaching career in 2001 would navigate the current waters all that well, and so even if his tenure didn’t end after 2018 when it did, I agree that he would be gone by now regardless.

The one positive had Meyer stayed is that Ohio State likely continued its dominance over Michigan. The Buckeyes enjoyed a 7-0 run against their biggest rival under the previous regime, and while Ryan Day made that 8-0 with a win in 2019, Ohio State has not defeated TTUN since. The Wolverines ducking the game in 2020 during the COVID season played a large part in resetting the rivalry, but Meyer’s understanding of the stakes and focus he instilled in his team in winning The Game was second-to-none.

As Josh laid out, this probably results in the firing of Jim harbaugh at Michigan, and who knows where that program would be now or who would be leading them. Even after winning a national title, the recruiting for the Wolverines heading into its first full season has not exactly been stellar — TTUN currently has the No. 51 ranked class in 2025 with five total commits, four of which are outside the top-200 nationally — although they’d likely trade the next several seasons for that title anyway (as would I), so I doubt their fans care too much right now.

I do, however, think the negatives would outweigh the positives. While Day has had his struggles as the head ball coach, the staff he currently has built in Columbus would be tough to compete with. Another big flaw of Meyer’s later years was his propensity to hire his friends, which is how you wind up with Billy Davis as your linebackers coach. This group comprised of Brian Hartline, Tim Walton, James Laurinaitis, Jim Knowles and others is one of the top staffs in the country, and I don't think Meyer would have anything quite like it.

The on-field coaching would have to change a bit too, and I don't think Meyer would be willing to transition into more of a CEO role that seems to be required in today’s college football landscape. I doubt he would be interested in letting others take the reins of the actual day-to-day football stuff so that he could deal with NIL packages and keeping his players from entering the transfer portal, on top of all the other duties. Maybe I’m wrong and maybe he would adapt with the sport, but these are all huge changes from when Meyer was in charge.

I have been outspoken that I am not a huge fan of Day. I think he’s probably a really good dude and his recruiting is tough to argue against, but I need to see the results on the field. Especially heading into 2024, this team is far too talented to suffer from the same mistakes that have plagued the last several seasons. Still, I think he puts Ohio State in a better position to win right now than someone like Urban Meyer would.

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LGHL B1G Thoughts: What if a Big Ten school wins the National Championship?

B1G Thoughts: What if a Big Ten school wins the National Championship?
JordanW330
via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here


Ohio State fans cheer

Photo by Elsa/Getty Images

The College Football Playoff has been dominated by the SEC for decades. What if that is starting to change?

Every week after the Big Ten games, I will bring you some B1G thoughts on everything that happened! This will include analysis, stats, key players, moments, and more. With the Big Ten expanding from 14 teams to 18 teams in 2024, will includes the newest members: Oregon, UCLA, USC, and Washington. Check out the I-80 Football Show for more in-depth analysis and to preview the next week of B1G games.

From now until preseason camp starts in August, Land-Grant Holy Land will write articles around a different theme every week. This week is all about our imagination. You can catch up on the Theme Week content here and all of our What If columns here.

The SEC has dominated the national title picture for the last two decades. For those people born after the year 2000, almost every national champion of their lifetime has come from the Southeastern Conference.

Starting in 1995, the year I was born, to 2003 when LSU won a national championship, the SEC had only won two out of eight national titles. Florida won in 1996 and Tennessee won the first championship of the BCS era. A non-SEC won the title for four-straight years in 1999, 2000, 2001 and 2002.

Since the LSU title in 2003, the SEC hasn’t gone more than two years without winning a title, with there being two two-year stretches when USC and Texas won in 2004 and 2005. The other was when Florida State and Ohio State won in 2013 and 2014. If a non-SEC school wins a title this season it would be only the third time since 2003 that the SEC hasn’t at least won a title every other year, including a stretch where the conference won seven-straight.

So, what if the Big Ten wins a title this season? This would be the first time since the 1960s that the Big Ten has won back-to-back national championships, and in the 1960s the championship was voted by the media. The Big Ten has never won back-to-back championships since the BCS era began, and was subsequently dominated by Urban Meyer and then Nick Saban.

It has been hard to argue that the SEC isn’t the best conference in college football when they’re winning all of the national championships, but thanks to conference realignment, media deals and Nick Saban retiring, the Big Ten may be able to flip the tables, or at least win at a more consistent pace.

Michigan broke through as the first non-Ohio State Big Ten team to win a national title since they shared with Nebraska in 1997. Heading into this season, two of the best teams in the country reside in the Big Ten, with Oregon and Ohio State having national championship aspirations led by highly-rated recruiting classes and a roster bolstered by key transfers — including at the quarterback position with Dillion Gabriel for Oregon and Will Howard for Ohio State.

Washington is also in the Big Ten, and they were Michigan’s opponent in last season’s national championship game. While Washington and Michigan lost their coaches and may take a step back in 2024, they both can succeed at this level if they have the right replacements in the building. Washington is the only former Pac-12 school to make the four-team playoff more than once. With the right coach and an influx of cash, they could be right back.

The new Big Ten also consists of Lincoln Riley at USC and a Penn State team that has been close to one of the best and most consistent programs in the country, but struggled with Ohio State and Michigan on their schedule every year. Then you have Wisconsin, Nebraska, Iowa and UCLA, who are hoping that they could have a 2010 Auburn or 2013 FSU run to the title where everything clicks at once. With 12 teams in the playoffs and home games on campus, they would just need to hit a heater at the right time.

This is not a prediction. It’s unlikely that any of the last four teams I mentioned will ever win a championship, but Ohio State, Oregon, Penn State, Michigan and USC should be in the running every year.

With 12 teams in the College Football Playoff, there is a chance that the SEC continues its dominance, because more spots don’t just help the Big Ten. But with Saban gone, that at least opens up a window for the Big Ten to step through and change their fortunes.

So what if the Big Ten wins back-to-back championships? It could be the start of a new era in college football. One where at best the Big Ten is the dominant conference, and at worst they’re equal with the SEC, with more teams reaching the pinnacle and bringing home the trophy.



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