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LGHL MC&J: Ohio State will try and cover a massive spread against Marshall in Week 4
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MC&J: Ohio State will try and cover a massive spread against Marshall in Week 4
Brett Ludwiczak via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here
Adam Cairns-Imagn Images
Plus, USC and Washington play in their first Big Ten conference games on Saturday.
Last week ATS: 8-12 (3-4 National, 5-8 B1G)
Season ATS: 31-30 (9-9 National, 22-21 B1G)
Hopefully this week is my Improvement Week since last week was brutal. I missed wildly on Wisconsin, Oregon State, and lost by the hook on the Michigan State game. At least we were able to keep the season record just above .500.
Now to learn from some of the mistakes made last week and start stacking some more wins...
No. 24 Illinois v. No. 22 Nebraska (-8.5) - Friday 8:00 p.m. ET - FOX
This is what Nebraska was hoping it would be when it hired Scott Frost. Under Matt Rhule, the Cornhuskers have started the season 3-0 for the first time since 2016. True freshman quarterback Dylan Raiola is doing his best Patrick Mahomes impression, throwing for 670 yards and five touchdowns through the first three games of his college career. Even more important for Nebraska, their defense is playing at a high level, allowing just 20 points so far this season.
The start of the season for Illinois has mirrored what Nebraska has done. Two wins over cupcakes sandwiched in between a win at home over a Big 12 team. What the Fighting Illini are going to need to do in this one is run the football with Kaden Feagin to control the clock and keep the football out of Raiola’s hands. If Bret Bielema’s squad can establish the run, it can tire out and chip away at the defense of the Huskers.
I’m not ready to state that Nebraska is back, but they certainly are on the right track. Unfortunately for Rhule, there are going to be some growing pains. I could see this being one of those games where a young quarterback makes some mistakes, which will keep this game tight. The Fighting Illini give Nebraska all they can handle in a game that isn’t decided until late in the fourth quarter.
Nebraska 24, Illinois 21
Charlotte v. Indiana (-28.5) - 12:00 p.m. ET - Big Ten Network
Charlotte took on Curt Cignetti’s current team to start the season, losing to James Madison 30-7. Now the 49ers will take on Cignetti’s current employer. Following the loss to the Dukes, Charlotte at least hung around North Carolina, and last week they earned their first win of the season, beating Gardner-Webb 27-26.
Indiana has been outstanding to start the season, spoiling UCLA’s Big Ten debut last week by smashing the Bruins 42-13 in Pasadena. Ohio transfer Kurtis Rourke has given the Hoosiers stability at quarterback, while the defense has been a force through the first three games.
This has the feeling of a bit of a letdown game, though. Indiana coming back from a huge win out west to take on their final non-conference game before Big Ten play begins next week against Maryland. The Hoosiers aren’t on upset alert, but I don’t think they win by more than four touchdowns on Saturday.
Indiana 41, Charlotte 17
Villanova v. Maryland (-19.5) - 12:00 p.m. ET - Big Ten Network
Villanova has carved out a spot as one of the best FCS programs in the country. making the playoff nine times since 2008. The Wildcats look to be headed for another playoff appearance this year, starting the season 3-0, including a 24-17 win over Youngstown State to open the season in a rematch of a playoff game from last year.
Maryland was able to shake off a loss to Michigan State a couple weeks ago with a 27-13 win on the road over Virginia. The Terrapins shut down the Cavaliers in the second half, not allowing a repeat of the loss to the Spartans where they blew a fourth quarter lead. Billy Edwards Jr. has looked comfortable at quarterback in replacing Taulia Tagovailoa, throwing for 827 yards and six touchdowns in the first three games of the season.
Over the last couple years when Villanova has played FBS teams, they have struggled, losing 48-14 to UCF last year, and 49-10 to Army in 2022. The Wildcats have struggled to put points on the board this year, so I could see this game getting out of hand early since we know the Terrapins have numerous weapons on offense with wide receiver Tai Felton and running back Roman Hemby.
Maryland 45, Villanova 14
No. 11 USC (-5.5) v. No. 18 Michigan - 3:30 p.m. ET - CBS
If USC’s defense continues to play at the level they have shown through the first two games of the season, you’re likely going to be hearing defensive coordinator D’Anton Lynn’s name linked with head coaching vacancies in the coaching carousel this year. In a short amount of time, Lynn has turned around a defense that former defensive coordinator Alex Grinch destroyed. Last time out the Trojans shut out Utah State, 48-0, giving up less than 200 yards to the Aggies.
I’m not exactly sure what Sherrone Moore was trying to accomplish by starting Davis Warren the first three games of the season. Warren tossed six interceptions, including three last week against Arkansas State. Earlier this week, Moore knew it was time to make a change, naming Alex Orji as the starter.
Despite questions about Orji’s ability to throw the football, he at least brought a running element to the table. Maybe starting Orji at quarterback will open things up for running back Donovan Edwards, who has had a very mediocre start to the season so far.
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25628703/2170769331.jpg "Utah State v USC")
Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images
Unlike UCLA, I think USC’s first game in the Big Ten has a happy ending. The defense of the Trojans is playing with a lot of confidence, while the Michigan offense looks lost. Finally naming Orji as the starter is the right call for the Wolverines, the issue is they lost so much talent from last year’s team.
Prior to the start of the season I had Michigan losing at least four games this year, and after Saturday they’ll be halfway there.
USC 31, Michigan 21
UCLA v. No. 16 LSU (-24.5) - 3:30 p.m. ET - ABC
Not that I was expecting a lot from UCLA on the football field when it was announced the Bruins were moving to the Big Ten, but I was expecting a little bit more than what they have shown so far this season. I’m probably being a little harsh since their head coach Chip Kelly resigned to come to Ohio State as the offensive coordinator, while top quarterback prospect Dante Moore hit the transfer portal in the offseason.
I can’t imagine being an LSU fan. The Tigers lost in a wild opener to USC in Las Vegas, and last week they were taken to the limit by South Carolina before winning late 36-33. LSU has found a great replacement to Jayden Daniels in Garrett Nussmeier, who already has 10 touchdown passes this year. If the Tigers were able to find any consistency on defense, they would be undefeated and in the top-10 right now.
Luckily for LSU they’ll be going against a UCLA team that hasn’t looked threatening on offense this season. Through two games, UCLA’s leading rusher is Ethan Garbers, with the quarterback gaining 68 yards. If the Bruins can’t slow down Indiana at home, what hope do they have in Baton Rouge against Nussmeier and the Tigers? This is going to get ugly for new head coach Deshaun Foster.
LSU 48, UCLA 17
Rutgers v. Virginia Tech (-3.5) - 3:30 p.m. ET - ACC Network
I’m still trying to figure out why Virginia Tech is favored in this one. Did we turn the calendar back to 2004? Lane Stadium isn’t quite the fortress that it was under Frank Beamer. The Hokies seem to be treading water in the ACC these days, while Greg Schiano has Rutgers trending upwards.
Quarterback Athan Kaliakmanis has been so much better in his first two games at Rutgers than he was at Minnesota. Add in workhorse running back Kyle Monangai and the Scarlet Knights have a rock solid offense.
Don’t get me wrong, Virginia Tech has some players that can make some noise in quarterback Kyren Drones and running back Bhayshul Tuten. I’m just not convinced they can crack a tough Rutgers defense. This has the feel of a game where Schiano is going to coach circles around Virginia Tech head coach Brent Pry.
The wrong team is favored in this one and the Scarlet Knights are going to win outright.
Rutgers 27, Virginia Tech 20
Kent State v. No. 10 Penn State (-48.5) - 3:30 p.m. ET - Big Ten Network
Normally I’m not a fan of laying so many points in a game. Ohio State was a similar favorite over Akron in their opener and I figured the Zips could put a few points on the board to cover the massive spread.
This is a little different scenario, since the Golden Flashes are coming off a 71-0 drubbing to Tennessee. Also, we have seen in the past that James Franklin won’t call off the dogs if the Nittany Lions are close to covering.
I hope Kent State is getting a big paycheck for being Penn State’s punching bag this week.
Penn State 59, Kent State 6
Northwestern v. Washington (-10.5) - 7:00 p.m. ET - FS1
Washington is going to come into this game angry after having a golden opportunity to beat rival Washington State and failing to get a couple yards to hand the Cougars a loss in the Apple Cup last Saturday. Despite the loss, I like the direction of the Huskies. Will Rogers gives Washington veteran leadership at quarterback, running back Jonah Coleman is familiar with new head coach Jedd Fisch from their time at Arizona, and Giles Jackson has the potential to be one of the most explosive receivers in the country.
If the Huskies are hitting on all cylinders, Northwestern has no shot in this game. This will be quarterback Jack Lausch’s second start and he’ll have to take the snaps in one of the toughest environments in college football. So far this season Northwestern have played three teams that didn’t come close to threatening them offensively like Washington will.
The Huskies should be able to win this game by more than 10 points on their home turf.
Washington 31, Northwestern 13
Iowa (-2.5) v. Minnesota - 7:30 p.m. ET - NBC
If you like offense, this isn’t the game for you. The last two battles for the bronze pig have seen a total of 45 points scored, with the Hawkeyes and Golden Gophers splitting the rivalry games. Minnesota has shut out their last two opponents to start the season, while Iowa didn’t allow Illinois State to score a point in the opener.
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25628705/2171249375.jpg "Troy v Iowa")
Photo by Matthew Holst/Getty Images
For some reason I just don’t like backing P.J. Fleck. I know Kirk Ferentz is equally as frustrating, I just feel like Iowa is a little more of a complete team this year. At least the Hawkeyes have running back Kaleb Johnson, who has been one of the best backs in the country early in the season, rushing for 479 yards and six touchdowns.
The Golden Gophers feel like the Big Lots version of Iowa, so I’ll take the OG to take back Floyd of Rosedale.
Iowa 20, Minnesota 10
Michigan State v. Boston College (-6.5) - 8:00 p.m. ET - ACC Network
I still have absolutely no idea about what Michigan State is this year. The Spartans won ugly against Florida Atlantic, impressed with a comeback at Maryland, and then acted accordingly last week against Prairie View A&M. In the end, all new head coach Jonathan Smith cares about is they enter this game 3-0. Quarterback Aidan Chiles is dynamic, but he also has a problem with turnovers this year, throwing four interceptions in the first three games.
On the other side, Bill O’Brien already has Boston College headed in the right direction. Even with their loss last week, the Golden Eagles were impressive, jumping out to a lead at Missouri. Along with a win to start the season against Florida State, confidence is high in Chestnut Hill. Quarterback Thomas Castellanos already has nine touchdown passes through the first three games for Boston College.
So far this season I have lost every Michigan State game, while covering the two Boston College games I’ve picked. Since Bill O’Brien was a Buckeye for about four minutes, I’ll give him the MC&J rub and side with the Golden Eagles for a third time, so the smart bet for everyone else is going to be to back the Spartans under the lights on Saturday night.
Boston College 34, Michigan State 23
Purdue v. Oregon State (-5.5) - 8:30 p.m. ET - The CW Network
Both Purdue and Oregon State are looking to forget last week ever happened, as they lost by a combined score of 115-21. So which team is more likely to rebound from being embarrassed by in-state foes? The Beavers feel like they are a little more complete on both sides of the football, and actually were competitive with Oregon last week for 30 minutes before the Ducks left no doubt in the result in the second half.
Aside from their game against Notre Dame last week, the only other performance this year for Purdue we have to go off of is the 49-0 shutout of overmatched Indiana State. At this point we know what we are getting out of Hudson Card since he is in what feels like his third decade of college football. What irks me about the Boilermakers is it feels like they refuse to use running back Devin Mockobee, who is their best offensive player.
Give me the team that didn’t have to travel across the country after losing by 59 points last week. The Oregon State defense regroups after the second half debacle against Oregon last Saturday.
Oregon State 28, Purdue 17
Marshall v. No. 3 Ohio State (-39.5) - 12:00 p.m. ET - FOX
Another week, another massive point spread for Ohio State to try and navigate. The Buckeyes are one of just three teams in the country this year that haven’t allowed a touchdown, with Georgia and Ole Miss being the other two who haven’t let their opponents into the end zone. In fact, Ohio State still hasn’t allowed the first two teams they faced in 2024 to take a snap inside the red zone.
After struggling to run the football against Akron, the Buckeyes didn’t have any problems finding holes on the ground against Western Michigan, totaling 273 yards rushing and six touchdowns against the Broncos. Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson each found the end zone twice against Western Michigan, while James Peoples scored his second touchdown in the first two games of 2024.
Marshall should provide a little more resistance than Akron and Western Michigan, but that’s not saying much. One area where Ohio State has to be cautious is with Marshall’s ability to hit the big play on the ground. Running back A.J. Turner has had runs of 69 yards and 80 yards in the first two games. Another player to watch out for is wide receiver Christian Fitzpatrick, who is a Michigan State transfer, so he does have a little experience matching up with the Buckeyes.
Ohio State took a little time to get going against Akron, which resulted in falling just short of covering the nearly 50-point spread. I could see a scenario where the Buckeyes scuffle a bit in their first couple drives as they shake some rust off after a bye week. Plus, noon kickoffs seem to have sluggish starts. The Buckeyes should build a 4-5 touchdown lead and coast the rest of the way with a road game at Michigan State on deck next week in their Big Ten opener.
Ohio State 45, Marshall 10
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Brett Ludwiczak via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here
Adam Cairns-Imagn Images
Plus, USC and Washington play in their first Big Ten conference games on Saturday.
Last week ATS: 8-12 (3-4 National, 5-8 B1G)
Season ATS: 31-30 (9-9 National, 22-21 B1G)
Hopefully this week is my Improvement Week since last week was brutal. I missed wildly on Wisconsin, Oregon State, and lost by the hook on the Michigan State game. At least we were able to keep the season record just above .500.
Now to learn from some of the mistakes made last week and start stacking some more wins...
B1G games (All games Saturday unless otherwise noted)
No. 24 Illinois v. No. 22 Nebraska (-8.5) - Friday 8:00 p.m. ET - FOX
This is what Nebraska was hoping it would be when it hired Scott Frost. Under Matt Rhule, the Cornhuskers have started the season 3-0 for the first time since 2016. True freshman quarterback Dylan Raiola is doing his best Patrick Mahomes impression, throwing for 670 yards and five touchdowns through the first three games of his college career. Even more important for Nebraska, their defense is playing at a high level, allowing just 20 points so far this season.
The start of the season for Illinois has mirrored what Nebraska has done. Two wins over cupcakes sandwiched in between a win at home over a Big 12 team. What the Fighting Illini are going to need to do in this one is run the football with Kaden Feagin to control the clock and keep the football out of Raiola’s hands. If Bret Bielema’s squad can establish the run, it can tire out and chip away at the defense of the Huskers.
I’m not ready to state that Nebraska is back, but they certainly are on the right track. Unfortunately for Rhule, there are going to be some growing pains. I could see this being one of those games where a young quarterback makes some mistakes, which will keep this game tight. The Fighting Illini give Nebraska all they can handle in a game that isn’t decided until late in the fourth quarter.
Nebraska 24, Illinois 21
Charlotte v. Indiana (-28.5) - 12:00 p.m. ET - Big Ten Network
Charlotte took on Curt Cignetti’s current team to start the season, losing to James Madison 30-7. Now the 49ers will take on Cignetti’s current employer. Following the loss to the Dukes, Charlotte at least hung around North Carolina, and last week they earned their first win of the season, beating Gardner-Webb 27-26.
Indiana has been outstanding to start the season, spoiling UCLA’s Big Ten debut last week by smashing the Bruins 42-13 in Pasadena. Ohio transfer Kurtis Rourke has given the Hoosiers stability at quarterback, while the defense has been a force through the first three games.
This has the feeling of a bit of a letdown game, though. Indiana coming back from a huge win out west to take on their final non-conference game before Big Ten play begins next week against Maryland. The Hoosiers aren’t on upset alert, but I don’t think they win by more than four touchdowns on Saturday.
Indiana 41, Charlotte 17
Villanova v. Maryland (-19.5) - 12:00 p.m. ET - Big Ten Network
Villanova has carved out a spot as one of the best FCS programs in the country. making the playoff nine times since 2008. The Wildcats look to be headed for another playoff appearance this year, starting the season 3-0, including a 24-17 win over Youngstown State to open the season in a rematch of a playoff game from last year.
Maryland was able to shake off a loss to Michigan State a couple weeks ago with a 27-13 win on the road over Virginia. The Terrapins shut down the Cavaliers in the second half, not allowing a repeat of the loss to the Spartans where they blew a fourth quarter lead. Billy Edwards Jr. has looked comfortable at quarterback in replacing Taulia Tagovailoa, throwing for 827 yards and six touchdowns in the first three games of the season.
Over the last couple years when Villanova has played FBS teams, they have struggled, losing 48-14 to UCF last year, and 49-10 to Army in 2022. The Wildcats have struggled to put points on the board this year, so I could see this game getting out of hand early since we know the Terrapins have numerous weapons on offense with wide receiver Tai Felton and running back Roman Hemby.
Maryland 45, Villanova 14
No. 11 USC (-5.5) v. No. 18 Michigan - 3:30 p.m. ET - CBS
If USC’s defense continues to play at the level they have shown through the first two games of the season, you’re likely going to be hearing defensive coordinator D’Anton Lynn’s name linked with head coaching vacancies in the coaching carousel this year. In a short amount of time, Lynn has turned around a defense that former defensive coordinator Alex Grinch destroyed. Last time out the Trojans shut out Utah State, 48-0, giving up less than 200 yards to the Aggies.
I’m not exactly sure what Sherrone Moore was trying to accomplish by starting Davis Warren the first three games of the season. Warren tossed six interceptions, including three last week against Arkansas State. Earlier this week, Moore knew it was time to make a change, naming Alex Orji as the starter.
Despite questions about Orji’s ability to throw the football, he at least brought a running element to the table. Maybe starting Orji at quarterback will open things up for running back Donovan Edwards, who has had a very mediocre start to the season so far.
Unlike UCLA, I think USC’s first game in the Big Ten has a happy ending. The defense of the Trojans is playing with a lot of confidence, while the Michigan offense looks lost. Finally naming Orji as the starter is the right call for the Wolverines, the issue is they lost so much talent from last year’s team.
Prior to the start of the season I had Michigan losing at least four games this year, and after Saturday they’ll be halfway there.
USC 31, Michigan 21
UCLA v. No. 16 LSU (-24.5) - 3:30 p.m. ET - ABC
Not that I was expecting a lot from UCLA on the football field when it was announced the Bruins were moving to the Big Ten, but I was expecting a little bit more than what they have shown so far this season. I’m probably being a little harsh since their head coach Chip Kelly resigned to come to Ohio State as the offensive coordinator, while top quarterback prospect Dante Moore hit the transfer portal in the offseason.
I can’t imagine being an LSU fan. The Tigers lost in a wild opener to USC in Las Vegas, and last week they were taken to the limit by South Carolina before winning late 36-33. LSU has found a great replacement to Jayden Daniels in Garrett Nussmeier, who already has 10 touchdown passes this year. If the Tigers were able to find any consistency on defense, they would be undefeated and in the top-10 right now.
Luckily for LSU they’ll be going against a UCLA team that hasn’t looked threatening on offense this season. Through two games, UCLA’s leading rusher is Ethan Garbers, with the quarterback gaining 68 yards. If the Bruins can’t slow down Indiana at home, what hope do they have in Baton Rouge against Nussmeier and the Tigers? This is going to get ugly for new head coach Deshaun Foster.
LSU 48, UCLA 17
Rutgers v. Virginia Tech (-3.5) - 3:30 p.m. ET - ACC Network
I’m still trying to figure out why Virginia Tech is favored in this one. Did we turn the calendar back to 2004? Lane Stadium isn’t quite the fortress that it was under Frank Beamer. The Hokies seem to be treading water in the ACC these days, while Greg Schiano has Rutgers trending upwards.
Quarterback Athan Kaliakmanis has been so much better in his first two games at Rutgers than he was at Minnesota. Add in workhorse running back Kyle Monangai and the Scarlet Knights have a rock solid offense.
Don’t get me wrong, Virginia Tech has some players that can make some noise in quarterback Kyren Drones and running back Bhayshul Tuten. I’m just not convinced they can crack a tough Rutgers defense. This has the feel of a game where Schiano is going to coach circles around Virginia Tech head coach Brent Pry.
The wrong team is favored in this one and the Scarlet Knights are going to win outright.
Rutgers 27, Virginia Tech 20
Kent State v. No. 10 Penn State (-48.5) - 3:30 p.m. ET - Big Ten Network
Normally I’m not a fan of laying so many points in a game. Ohio State was a similar favorite over Akron in their opener and I figured the Zips could put a few points on the board to cover the massive spread.
This is a little different scenario, since the Golden Flashes are coming off a 71-0 drubbing to Tennessee. Also, we have seen in the past that James Franklin won’t call off the dogs if the Nittany Lions are close to covering.
I hope Kent State is getting a big paycheck for being Penn State’s punching bag this week.
Penn State 59, Kent State 6
Northwestern v. Washington (-10.5) - 7:00 p.m. ET - FS1
Washington is going to come into this game angry after having a golden opportunity to beat rival Washington State and failing to get a couple yards to hand the Cougars a loss in the Apple Cup last Saturday. Despite the loss, I like the direction of the Huskies. Will Rogers gives Washington veteran leadership at quarterback, running back Jonah Coleman is familiar with new head coach Jedd Fisch from their time at Arizona, and Giles Jackson has the potential to be one of the most explosive receivers in the country.
If the Huskies are hitting on all cylinders, Northwestern has no shot in this game. This will be quarterback Jack Lausch’s second start and he’ll have to take the snaps in one of the toughest environments in college football. So far this season Northwestern have played three teams that didn’t come close to threatening them offensively like Washington will.
The Huskies should be able to win this game by more than 10 points on their home turf.
Washington 31, Northwestern 13
Iowa (-2.5) v. Minnesota - 7:30 p.m. ET - NBC
If you like offense, this isn’t the game for you. The last two battles for the bronze pig have seen a total of 45 points scored, with the Hawkeyes and Golden Gophers splitting the rivalry games. Minnesota has shut out their last two opponents to start the season, while Iowa didn’t allow Illinois State to score a point in the opener.
For some reason I just don’t like backing P.J. Fleck. I know Kirk Ferentz is equally as frustrating, I just feel like Iowa is a little more of a complete team this year. At least the Hawkeyes have running back Kaleb Johnson, who has been one of the best backs in the country early in the season, rushing for 479 yards and six touchdowns.
The Golden Gophers feel like the Big Lots version of Iowa, so I’ll take the OG to take back Floyd of Rosedale.
Iowa 20, Minnesota 10
Michigan State v. Boston College (-6.5) - 8:00 p.m. ET - ACC Network
I still have absolutely no idea about what Michigan State is this year. The Spartans won ugly against Florida Atlantic, impressed with a comeback at Maryland, and then acted accordingly last week against Prairie View A&M. In the end, all new head coach Jonathan Smith cares about is they enter this game 3-0. Quarterback Aidan Chiles is dynamic, but he also has a problem with turnovers this year, throwing four interceptions in the first three games.
On the other side, Bill O’Brien already has Boston College headed in the right direction. Even with their loss last week, the Golden Eagles were impressive, jumping out to a lead at Missouri. Along with a win to start the season against Florida State, confidence is high in Chestnut Hill. Quarterback Thomas Castellanos already has nine touchdown passes through the first three games for Boston College.
So far this season I have lost every Michigan State game, while covering the two Boston College games I’ve picked. Since Bill O’Brien was a Buckeye for about four minutes, I’ll give him the MC&J rub and side with the Golden Eagles for a third time, so the smart bet for everyone else is going to be to back the Spartans under the lights on Saturday night.
Boston College 34, Michigan State 23
Purdue v. Oregon State (-5.5) - 8:30 p.m. ET - The CW Network
Both Purdue and Oregon State are looking to forget last week ever happened, as they lost by a combined score of 115-21. So which team is more likely to rebound from being embarrassed by in-state foes? The Beavers feel like they are a little more complete on both sides of the football, and actually were competitive with Oregon last week for 30 minutes before the Ducks left no doubt in the result in the second half.
Aside from their game against Notre Dame last week, the only other performance this year for Purdue we have to go off of is the 49-0 shutout of overmatched Indiana State. At this point we know what we are getting out of Hudson Card since he is in what feels like his third decade of college football. What irks me about the Boilermakers is it feels like they refuse to use running back Devin Mockobee, who is their best offensive player.
Give me the team that didn’t have to travel across the country after losing by 59 points last week. The Oregon State defense regroups after the second half debacle against Oregon last Saturday.
Oregon State 28, Purdue 17
Marshall v. No. 3 Ohio State (-39.5) - 12:00 p.m. ET - FOX
Another week, another massive point spread for Ohio State to try and navigate. The Buckeyes are one of just three teams in the country this year that haven’t allowed a touchdown, with Georgia and Ole Miss being the other two who haven’t let their opponents into the end zone. In fact, Ohio State still hasn’t allowed the first two teams they faced in 2024 to take a snap inside the red zone.
After struggling to run the football against Akron, the Buckeyes didn’t have any problems finding holes on the ground against Western Michigan, totaling 273 yards rushing and six touchdowns against the Broncos. Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson each found the end zone twice against Western Michigan, while James Peoples scored his second touchdown in the first two games of 2024.
Marshall should provide a little more resistance than Akron and Western Michigan, but that’s not saying much. One area where Ohio State has to be cautious is with Marshall’s ability to hit the big play on the ground. Running back A.J. Turner has had runs of 69 yards and 80 yards in the first two games. Another player to watch out for is wide receiver Christian Fitzpatrick, who is a Michigan State transfer, so he does have a little experience matching up with the Buckeyes.
Ohio State took a little time to get going against Akron, which resulted in falling just short of covering the nearly 50-point spread. I could see a scenario where the Buckeyes scuffle a bit in their first couple drives as they shake some rust off after a bye week. Plus, noon kickoffs seem to have sluggish starts. The Buckeyes should build a 4-5 touchdown lead and coast the rest of the way with a road game at Michigan State on deck next week in their Big Ten opener.
Ohio State 45, Marshall 10
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LGHL Ohio State offensive line has ‘confidence being built’ with Donovan Jackson back
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Ohio State offensive line has ‘confidence being built’ with Donovan Jackson back
Matt Tamanini via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
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Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK
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What was that again about Ohio State not being able to produce good NFL quarterbacks?
Men’s Swim & Dive: Armstrong and Clark Named to U.S. National Team
Ohio State Athletics
Men’s Ice Hockey: Ohio State goalie Logan Terness combines passions for hockey and art
D.C. Dailey, The Lantern
That first episode was straight-up
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Matt Tamanini via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
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Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK
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On the Gridiron
‘I feel much more involved with it.’ Takeaways from Ryan Day’s pre-Marshall press conference
Patrick Murphy, Bucknuts
Lightning Round: Ryan Day Sees “Confidence Being Built” on Ohio State’s Offensive Line, Says He’s “Not at Liberty to Speak” About Denzel Burke’s Ejection Against Western Michigan
Chase Brown, Eleven Warriors
Will Ohio State make change at kick returner?
Spencer Holbrook, Lettermen Row
(Wednes)Day: Ohio State head coach confirms Jackson is back | Howard, McLaughlin make quite the battery
Dave Biddle, Bucknuts
Denzel Burke Thought Targeting Penalty in Western Michigan Game Was “Bullcrap Call”
Dan Hope, Eleven Warriors
Quick Hits: Denzel Burke Says Ohio State’s Defense is “Chasing Eliteness” and Austin Siereveld Says He’ll Play “Wherever They Need Me”
Dan Hope, Andy Anders, Chase Brown, and Garrick Hodge, Eleven Warriors
Marshall coach Charles Huff: OSU ‘best team I’ve seen on film, ever’
Craig Meyer, USA Today Network
Ohio State flexing tight end depth with 13, 14 personnel packages (paywall)
Andy Backstrom, Lettermen Row
Three Buckeye offensive players who deserve more playing time this season
Jami Jurich, Land-Grant Holy Land
Ohio State’s defense using ‘good competition’ in practice to prepare for upcoming offensive situations
Patrick Murphy, Bucknuts
You’re Nuts: What are you hoping to learn about Ohio State before conference play?
Matt Tamanini and Jami Jurich, Land-Grant Holy Land
What was that again about Ohio State not being able to produce good NFL quarterbacks?
On the Hardwood
Outside the Shoe and Schott
Men’s Swim & Dive: Armstrong and Clark Named to U.S. National Team
Ohio State Athletics
Men’s Ice Hockey: Ohio State goalie Logan Terness combines passions for hockey and art
D.C. Dailey, The Lantern
And now for something completely different...
That first episode was straight-up
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LGHL The next three games are a perfect ramp-up for Ohio State’s trip to Oregon
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The next three games are a perfect ramp-up for Ohio State’s trip to Oregon
Matt Tamanini via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here
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The Buckeye offense will have three opportunities to get better against increasingly challenging competition.
Much to Danny Kanell’s delight, the Ohio State football team is about to experience an increase in competition levels as it works its way toward a top-10 matchup with the Oregon Ducks on Oct. 12. Through the first two games of the season, the Buckeyes have played MAC also-rans Akron and Western Michigan, giving the No. 3 Buckeyes a strength of schedule ranking of 90th in the FBS.
However, with three games to play before that highly anticipated, cross-country contest in Eugene, OSU has the opportunity to work itself into mid-season form. The Buckeyes’ three opponents between now and Oregon appear to present increasingly daunting challenges to Ohio State’s offense. Starting first with a competent pass rush from Marshall; following it up with a solid run defense from Michigan State; and then wrapping up this three-game ramp-up with the total package from Iowa.
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That escalation period begins on Saturday when the Buckeyes host the Marshall Thundering Herd. After what was essentially an NFL-like preseason schedule in Weeks 1 and 2, Ohio State gets back to action following the first off-week of its season by taking a moderate step up in competition. While Akron and WMU currently rank 128th and 113th in SP+ — no doubt hindered by their performances in The Horseshoe — the Thundering Herd comes into Saturday’s game at a slightly more respectable 91st.
While Marshall’s analytical ranking is only marginally better than the Zips and Bronos’, they do have one fairly formidable unit that could present a worthwhile test for the Buckeyes. According to Pro Football Focus’ grades, Marshall currently has the fourth-highest pressure score of any team in FBS. Given all of the legitimate concerns around Ohio State’s offensive line, this should be a well-timed test to see how the hogmollies look with two-time first-team All-Big Ten guard Donovan Jackson back in the lineup.
What’s nice about this modest improvement in opponent quality is that OSU is not in any real danger of losing the game to Marshall, but if their pass rush of Mike Green, JJ Hawkins, Jason Shuford, Chris Thomas Jr., Deeve Harris, and even cornerback Jadarius Green-McKnight can give Justin Frye, Chip Kelly, and Ryan Day an idea of how this starting five — and quarterback Will Howard — reacts to a little bit of pressure, that can only be a good thing.
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After the matchup with the Herd, OSU will turn its attention to the Big Ten portion of its schedule. Coming into the season, the Michigan State Spartans were picked to finish 16th in the 18-team league according to the cleveland.com B1G Media Poll. However, through three games, new head coach Jonathan Smith’s squad has looked surprisingly competent.
Sparty is 3-0 with a solid 27-24 road win over the Maryland Terrapins last weekend. Now, they will head to Chestnut Hill to take on a Boston College Eagles team that has turned in fairly impressive performances in the early days of Ohio State coaching icon Bill O’Brien’s tenure.
So even if Michigan State loses to BC and comes into the primetime Peacock matchup in East Lansing at 3-1, you know that Day and company will have the team focused on ramping up the intensity, focus, and execution for a competent Big Ten opponent. However, MSU also could present a very different test for the offensive line than Marshall might.
The Spartans have the 19th-best rush defense according to according to PFF’s grades. This, in my estimation, is a much bigger concern for the Buckeye o-line than pass protection. Michigan State is allowing just 78.33 yards per game on the ground, roughly one-third of the 221.5 ypg that OSU is picking up via the running game.
Ohio State’s numbers are a bit skewed because of the Akron and WMU of it all, but carrying over last year’s performance, and including the first half against the Zips, I do think there is reason to be concerned about OSU’s ability to open up holes for TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins — arguably the best tandem of running backs. However, during the last six quarters of action, the Buckeye front five have done a much better job in that respect. So, if they can keep that up against a seemingly above-average Spartan front, then that should bode well moving into the beef of the Big Ten schedule.
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Alrighty, this is where business really starts to pick up. The first four games of the Ohio State season weren’t exhibition games (as Notre Dame and Mississippi State can attest) but they were hors d’oeuvres, — an amuse-bouche, if you will — at best; the snacks you eat before you leave home just in case the food at the party is weird or overly fancy at worst.
However, the competition gets serious on Oct. 5 as the Buckeyes will welcome the Iowa Hawkeyes to Ohio Stadium. Admittedly, Herky’s defeat in the Cy-Hawk rivalry game might rob the game of a little bit of juice, but I don’t think anyone inside the Woody Hayes Athletic Center — or across Buckeye Nation — is going to underestimate the Iowa defense.
Kirk Ferentz’s squad currently ranks as the fifth-best rush defense in the country, allowing a paltry 56.33 ypg. Iowa has the second-rated defense according to SP+, behind only the Buckeyes. Beyond that, the Hawkeyes are a known commodity; while the offense has been embarrassingly bad in recent seasons, there is no doubting the team’s defense. Last season, they allowed just 14.8 points per game and this year — with a far smaller sample size — that number is down at 13.7.
To make matters just a little bit more complicated for Kelly and Day, Iowa will have its first open date the week before heading to Columbus. So not only will they be fresh, but Ferentz and defensive coordinator Phil Parker will have two full weeks to prepare for OSU’s multi-dimensional offense.
While I might have hoped for incremental steps up in competition against Marshall and Michigan State, this is a giant leap forward — at least for the offense. Unfortunately, none of OSU’s three opponents before Oregon will likely show much that challenges Jim Knowles' defense. So, any opportunity the Buckeyes have to sharpen their offensive attack before heading to Eugene, the better, and this will be their toughest test yet — and potentially all season.
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Before the season began, many thought that this would be the biggest game of the college football season. An undoubtedly top-five matchup between new conference foes who have met in the regular and postseason multiple times over the past decade with Big Ten supremacy hanging in the balance.
While the hype and anticipation are still there, some of the grandeur has worn off a bit following Oregon’s back-to-back struggles with schools from the great state of Idaho. SP+ still likes the Ducks — ranked eighth overall — neither their offense nor defense has yet to feel totally congealed. Transfer quarterback Dillon Gabriel found his footing against rival Oregon State, throwing for 290 yards on 20-for-24 passing and two touchdowns. However, the offense felt out of sync against Idaho and Boise State.
But with Ohio State’s steady ascent up the competition mountain, we have reason to hope that the Buckeye offense will be well-tested and thoroughly vetted by the time they get to Eugene. But Marshall, MSU, and Iowa aren’t particularly likely to put up much of an offensive fight of their own, so the OSU defense could be in for its first real challenge.
If the Gabriel we saw in last week’s Civil War is the one that shows up on Oct. 12, then the Buckeyes’ star-studded secondary will be in for its first test of the season, and honestly, I hope it is. There have been far too many seasons in recent memory in which OSU was able to coast through nearly its entire schedule only to be smacked in the face by equivalent, or even superior, talent in the rivalry game or College Football Playoff.
Now, I’m not going to be heartbroken if Oregon somehow loses to UCLA and/or Michigan State before the Buckeyes come to town, but I’d like to see what OSU looks like against a well-rounded, top-tier opponent midseason. In this new era of a 12-team playoff, one loss at that point of the year isn’t going to kill you — especially with the chance to avenge the theoretical defeat in a conference title game.
And win or lose, the Buckeyes have their second off week of the season following the trip to Oregon, so you want there to be good-on-good film to break down with matchups against Nebraska and Penn State waiting on the other side of the bye.
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The trek to the top of the college football mountain is a dangerous and arduous one. However, if you are able to break the journey down into multiple, smaller challenges, you will discover the ability to learn along the way and bet yourself for the even more daunting tests that lie ahead.
While Ohio State will undoubtedly be heavily favored against Marshall, Michigan State, and even Iowa, each one of those games presents an opportunity for the Buckeye offense to show what it is capable of against increasingly formidable foes.
If Ryan Day and his staff are able to recognize and absorb the lessons learned along the way, then the Ohio State Buckeyes should be in peak fighting condition for their battle against Oregon on Saturday, Oct. 12.
Continue reading...
Matt Tamanini via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here
Made with Google AI
The Buckeye offense will have three opportunities to get better against increasingly challenging competition.
Much to Danny Kanell’s delight, the Ohio State football team is about to experience an increase in competition levels as it works its way toward a top-10 matchup with the Oregon Ducks on Oct. 12. Through the first two games of the season, the Buckeyes have played MAC also-rans Akron and Western Michigan, giving the No. 3 Buckeyes a strength of schedule ranking of 90th in the FBS.
However, with three games to play before that highly anticipated, cross-country contest in Eugene, OSU has the opportunity to work itself into mid-season form. The Buckeyes’ three opponents between now and Oregon appear to present increasingly daunting challenges to Ohio State’s offense. Starting first with a competent pass rush from Marshall; following it up with a solid run defense from Michigan State; and then wrapping up this three-game ramp-up with the total package from Iowa.
Saturday, Sept. 21: Marshall Thundering Herd
That escalation period begins on Saturday when the Buckeyes host the Marshall Thundering Herd. After what was essentially an NFL-like preseason schedule in Weeks 1 and 2, Ohio State gets back to action following the first off-week of its season by taking a moderate step up in competition. While Akron and WMU currently rank 128th and 113th in SP+ — no doubt hindered by their performances in The Horseshoe — the Thundering Herd comes into Saturday’s game at a slightly more respectable 91st.
While Marshall’s analytical ranking is only marginally better than the Zips and Bronos’, they do have one fairly formidable unit that could present a worthwhile test for the Buckeyes. According to Pro Football Focus’ grades, Marshall currently has the fourth-highest pressure score of any team in FBS. Given all of the legitimate concerns around Ohio State’s offensive line, this should be a well-timed test to see how the hogmollies look with two-time first-team All-Big Ten guard Donovan Jackson back in the lineup.
What’s nice about this modest improvement in opponent quality is that OSU is not in any real danger of losing the game to Marshall, but if their pass rush of Mike Green, JJ Hawkins, Jason Shuford, Chris Thomas Jr., Deeve Harris, and even cornerback Jadarius Green-McKnight can give Justin Frye, Chip Kelly, and Ryan Day an idea of how this starting five — and quarterback Will Howard — reacts to a little bit of pressure, that can only be a good thing.
Saturday, Sept. 28: Michigan State Spartans
After the matchup with the Herd, OSU will turn its attention to the Big Ten portion of its schedule. Coming into the season, the Michigan State Spartans were picked to finish 16th in the 18-team league according to the cleveland.com B1G Media Poll. However, through three games, new head coach Jonathan Smith’s squad has looked surprisingly competent.
Sparty is 3-0 with a solid 27-24 road win over the Maryland Terrapins last weekend. Now, they will head to Chestnut Hill to take on a Boston College Eagles team that has turned in fairly impressive performances in the early days of Ohio State coaching icon Bill O’Brien’s tenure.
So even if Michigan State loses to BC and comes into the primetime Peacock matchup in East Lansing at 3-1, you know that Day and company will have the team focused on ramping up the intensity, focus, and execution for a competent Big Ten opponent. However, MSU also could present a very different test for the offensive line than Marshall might.
The Spartans have the 19th-best rush defense according to according to PFF’s grades. This, in my estimation, is a much bigger concern for the Buckeye o-line than pass protection. Michigan State is allowing just 78.33 yards per game on the ground, roughly one-third of the 221.5 ypg that OSU is picking up via the running game.
Ohio State’s numbers are a bit skewed because of the Akron and WMU of it all, but carrying over last year’s performance, and including the first half against the Zips, I do think there is reason to be concerned about OSU’s ability to open up holes for TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins — arguably the best tandem of running backs. However, during the last six quarters of action, the Buckeye front five have done a much better job in that respect. So, if they can keep that up against a seemingly above-average Spartan front, then that should bode well moving into the beef of the Big Ten schedule.
Saturday, Oct. 5: Iowa Hawkeyes
Alrighty, this is where business really starts to pick up. The first four games of the Ohio State season weren’t exhibition games (as Notre Dame and Mississippi State can attest) but they were hors d’oeuvres, — an amuse-bouche, if you will — at best; the snacks you eat before you leave home just in case the food at the party is weird or overly fancy at worst.
However, the competition gets serious on Oct. 5 as the Buckeyes will welcome the Iowa Hawkeyes to Ohio Stadium. Admittedly, Herky’s defeat in the Cy-Hawk rivalry game might rob the game of a little bit of juice, but I don’t think anyone inside the Woody Hayes Athletic Center — or across Buckeye Nation — is going to underestimate the Iowa defense.
Kirk Ferentz’s squad currently ranks as the fifth-best rush defense in the country, allowing a paltry 56.33 ypg. Iowa has the second-rated defense according to SP+, behind only the Buckeyes. Beyond that, the Hawkeyes are a known commodity; while the offense has been embarrassingly bad in recent seasons, there is no doubting the team’s defense. Last season, they allowed just 14.8 points per game and this year — with a far smaller sample size — that number is down at 13.7.
To make matters just a little bit more complicated for Kelly and Day, Iowa will have its first open date the week before heading to Columbus. So not only will they be fresh, but Ferentz and defensive coordinator Phil Parker will have two full weeks to prepare for OSU’s multi-dimensional offense.
While I might have hoped for incremental steps up in competition against Marshall and Michigan State, this is a giant leap forward — at least for the offense. Unfortunately, none of OSU’s three opponents before Oregon will likely show much that challenges Jim Knowles' defense. So, any opportunity the Buckeyes have to sharpen their offensive attack before heading to Eugene, the better, and this will be their toughest test yet — and potentially all season.
Saturday, Oct. 12: Oregon Ducks
Before the season began, many thought that this would be the biggest game of the college football season. An undoubtedly top-five matchup between new conference foes who have met in the regular and postseason multiple times over the past decade with Big Ten supremacy hanging in the balance.
While the hype and anticipation are still there, some of the grandeur has worn off a bit following Oregon’s back-to-back struggles with schools from the great state of Idaho. SP+ still likes the Ducks — ranked eighth overall — neither their offense nor defense has yet to feel totally congealed. Transfer quarterback Dillon Gabriel found his footing against rival Oregon State, throwing for 290 yards on 20-for-24 passing and two touchdowns. However, the offense felt out of sync against Idaho and Boise State.
But with Ohio State’s steady ascent up the competition mountain, we have reason to hope that the Buckeye offense will be well-tested and thoroughly vetted by the time they get to Eugene. But Marshall, MSU, and Iowa aren’t particularly likely to put up much of an offensive fight of their own, so the OSU defense could be in for its first real challenge.
If the Gabriel we saw in last week’s Civil War is the one that shows up on Oct. 12, then the Buckeyes’ star-studded secondary will be in for its first test of the season, and honestly, I hope it is. There have been far too many seasons in recent memory in which OSU was able to coast through nearly its entire schedule only to be smacked in the face by equivalent, or even superior, talent in the rivalry game or College Football Playoff.
Now, I’m not going to be heartbroken if Oregon somehow loses to UCLA and/or Michigan State before the Buckeyes come to town, but I’d like to see what OSU looks like against a well-rounded, top-tier opponent midseason. In this new era of a 12-team playoff, one loss at that point of the year isn’t going to kill you — especially with the chance to avenge the theoretical defeat in a conference title game.
And win or lose, the Buckeyes have their second off week of the season following the trip to Oregon, so you want there to be good-on-good film to break down with matchups against Nebraska and Penn State waiting on the other side of the bye.
In Conclusion
The trek to the top of the college football mountain is a dangerous and arduous one. However, if you are able to break the journey down into multiple, smaller challenges, you will discover the ability to learn along the way and bet yourself for the even more daunting tests that lie ahead.
While Ohio State will undoubtedly be heavily favored against Marshall, Michigan State, and even Iowa, each one of those games presents an opportunity for the Buckeye offense to show what it is capable of against increasingly formidable foes.
If Ryan Day and his staff are able to recognize and absorb the lessons learned along the way, then the Ohio State Buckeyes should be in peak fighting condition for their battle against Oregon on Saturday, Oct. 12.
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