B1G Thoughts: The Big Ten’s running back renaissance
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The Big Ten is loaded with running backs, plus USC’s ‘welcome to the Big Ten’ moment.
Every week after the Big Ten games, I will bring you some B1G thoughts on everything that happened! This will include analysis, stats, key players, moments, and more. With the Big Ten expanding from 14 teams to 18 teams in 2024 we will have a bunch of storylines to follow.
Ryan Day and Ohio State are all in for the 2024 season. Is Oregon a national championship contender or will they stumble in their first Big Ten season? How do the former members of the Big Ten West fair in the new divisionless format? We track all these storylines and more as the Big Ten hopes to win back-to-back national championships.
Check out the I-80 Football Show for more in-depth analysis and to preview the next week of B1G games.
It’s the Year of the Running Back
The Big Ten has the deepest running back room in the country. Ashton Jeanty is probably the best individual back in the country, but if you were to rank the top five or even the top 10 after him, it would heavily include the Big Ten.
Looking at the national leaderboards, Kaleb Johnson at Iowa and Kyle Monangai at
Rutgers are second and third in yards per game with 171 and 152, respectively. Ohio State doesn’t have the stats, but you could argue that they have the two most talented running backs in Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson.
Judkins had an 80-yard touchdown on Saturday, and had another 60-plus yarder that was called back the game prior. On Saturday, Tre and Quinshon ran for 249 yards and four touchdowns on 20 carries.
Michigan’s Kalel Mullings is breaking out and just beat USC by breaking two tackles en route to a 63-yard run that put Michigan in position to score. I still haven’t mentioned Nick Singleton and Kaytron Allen at Penn State, Woody Marks at USC, or Jordan James at Oregon.
Almost every team in the conference has a draftable running back — and some have two. This conference is going to be won by running the ball. Maybe you prefer stud quarterbacks, but this is the year of the running back!
Welcome to the Big Ten, Lincoln
If you want to know the difference between the Big Ten and the Pac-12, you could see that in USC vs. Michigan this past Saturday.
It is clear that USC is a better team defensively than in year’s past. It’s maybe not a good defense, but better — maybe the best that Riley has had at USC. It’s also clear that USC’s offense is pretty good. Miller Moss is not Caleb Williams, but he is an above-average quarterback who can make almost every throw and has a good mastery of Riley’s offense.
This USC team would be a major contender in last year’s Pac-12 with a defense that could play complimentary football with its offense. In the Big Ten, it lost a game to a Michigan team that threw for 32 yards. USC should not have lost that game, but Riley was not prepared for the Michigan rushing attack, and one offseason with a real defensive coordinator is not enough to rid the program of its defensive deficiencies.
Riley’s offense was vanilla and could’ve learned more from the Texas tape, and while their defense was good for the third and most of the fourth quarter, they could not dictate the game to a limited Michigan offense. Michigan is only one team on USC’s schedule who can do this, and while the Wolverines may have the more top-end talent, Alex Orji is maybe the worst quarterback in the conference.
USC may escape next week with Wisconsin on its back up quarterback, but Michigan just proved that USC can still be beat on the lines and that Moss will make mistakes if pressured. This team is not a legit contender in the Big Ten. They may be in the future, but not this season.
The Tony Alford Problem
Michigan, welcome to the Tony Alford experience. You’ll become accustomed to the frustration that comes with watching a running back get fewer carries despite being better than the starter. You may not have much in common with Ohio State fans, but ask them how they feel about Dallan Hayden transferring despite looking like the best running back on the roster for stretches last season.
This isn’t the first time this has happened either. Alford doesn’t explain his rotation, but it doesn’t make sense. It has been four games, and through the first three games it was clear that Kalel Mullings was the best running back on the team, but Alford insisted on treating Donovan Edwards like the starter.
On Saturday, Mullings had to put the team on his back for a victory that may not have been so hard to get if he was getting all the carries. Against USC, Edwards ran for 74 yards on 14 carries, which is good for 5.3 yards per carry — a solid number and better than his average. But Mullings averaged 9.4 yards per carry, including the game-winning 63-yarder.
Over four games Mullings, has 53 carries for 429 yards, good for eight yards per carry and 107 yards per game. Over the same four games, Edwards has 50 carries for 224 yards, which is 4.48 yards per carry and 56 yards per game. It’s clear to everyone that Mullings is better, but Alford is continuing to split carries and it may cost Michigan a game.
Let’s see if he’s learned from past mistakes, but the trend seems to say otherwise.
Rank Indiana, you cowards!
Indiana is good. I know that they haven’t played anyone, but the mark of a good team is making bad teams look worse, and they’re doing that.
The schedule gets harder in the Big Ten, but not by much. We could be looking at a 9-3 or 10-2 Indiana at the end of the season. They play Ohio State and Michigan, but it’s no longer safe to assume that Michigan is a guaranteed loss anymore with all of the struggles the Wolverines are facing.
While looking at the future is fun and predicting what will happen is impossible, what we know for sure is that Indiana is 4-0, but they are not ranked. Even the Big Ten branding couldn’t get them ranked despite being behind five teams with at least one loss.
This is the problem that I have with the AP ranking. Outside of preconceived notions, how do we know that Oklahoma State, Oklahoma,
Kansas State,
Texas A&M or Boise State are better than Indiana? The only thing separating these teams is that the voters thought those teams would be good, and so they’re clinging to that hope while leaving undefeated teams out.
Is Indiana at Top 25 team in the nation? I don’t know, but I also don’t care. What I know is they’ve played and won four games by an average score of 51-9. This early in the season the top 25 should reward the teams that have won, not the teams who we expected to win but have early season losses.
Bringing back the middle class
The middle class has disappeared both in the economy and the Big Ten. For years the Big Ten was led by two to three top-tier programs nationally, and then a bunch of bottom feeders. It has led to the SEC being deemed the top conference, and a further separation between the two conferences.
Yes, winning all the national championships helped, but it was also the belief that the teams four through 10 in the SEC would beat everyone in the Big Ten outside of maybe Ohio State and Michigan. I would argue and have argued that that was not the case, but without the teams playing on the field and Big Ten teams not challenging for New Years Six bowl games, there was no way to prove whose middle class was better.
In the new era of college football with the 12-team playoff, we will finally have a chance for these teams to play. On queue, the middle class of the Big Ten is stepping up. The conference added USC, Oregon, Washington, and UCLA to increase the number of schools at the top who could compete for national championships. The depth of the conference in the middle was not necessarily the concern, but a rising tide raises all ships.
In the two years we were waiting for USC and UCLA to enter the conference, Nebraska, Indiana, Wisconsin, and
Michigan State all fired coaches and paid huge buyouts. Rutgers and Illinois went to known quantities with Greg Schiano and Bret Bielema before the change, but both schools are now multiple years into their rebuild and it is creating a conference that is strong in the middle.
Heading into Week 5, the only team with a losing record is UCLA, while Illinois, Indiana, and Rutgers are undefeated with big out-of-conference wins. Nebraska’s only loss came in overtime to Illinois, and Michigan State played a close game with Boston College.
For the first time in a long time, there are really good coaches in the conference and it is paying instant dividends. We thought the conference was getting harder because of Oregon and USC, but it actually may be that the conference finally has competent teams in the middle.
This season is going to be fun to watch, starting with undefeated Illinois’s bid to upset Penn State this weekend.
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