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Scenarios for Final CFP Playoff Rankings

if osu plays utah, i would be shocked if atlanta weren't the choice. heck, i think atlanta is the choice if it's oklahoma or baylor. make lsu and clemson travel to the other side of the country. and fortunately for osu, if we drop down to 2nd, then we'll face clemson in arizona. either scenario is advantageous -- or at least not disadvantageous.


I think they are well aware that they can’t get the SEC/Clemson fans out west in any kind of numbers.

Wasn’t the Bama/Clemson game out in SF very lightly attended?
 
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Wasn’t the Bama/Clemson game out in SF very lightly attended?
tickets were going for under $200, so the draw was obviously low. pretty much on par with 2017 clemson-bama when the glendale tickets also went for under $200. that's comically cheap for a title game.

would be nice to see osu stick it to those fanbases. it's what they deserve for getting at least one playoff game in their backyard every damn year. it's a fucking home game for lsu this year if they make it to the championship. heck, atlanta would be a home game for clemson.
 
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If UGA loses and OU or Utah win their CCG is it really possible they leave UGA #4 or move in a 10-2 Bama back up instead of sliding in a 12-1 Conf Champ?

I think Bama is finished. OU or Baylor will also be a 1-loss.
Only way SEC gets 2 is a controversial Georgia win imo. 1 OSU, 2 Clemson, 3 Georgia, 4 LSU

#3 gets home game
We get chance to eliminate LSU away from home.
 
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If UGA loses and OU or Utah win their CCG is it really possible they leave UGA #4 or move in a 10-2 Bama back up instead of sliding in a 12-1 Conf Champ?
I think as long as the top three hold serve and at least 1 of ou/utah win uga is out. The bigger question is what happens if the ducks and baptists win the pac12 and big12. Do they take 12 - 1 baylor or pick the first 2 loss 'playoff' team.
 
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I have updated the original post, eliminating scenarios that are no longer possible, and slightly changing things based on what's occurred.

This attempts to predict how the committee will rank teams at the end of the year. It does NOT try to predict the outcomes of the remaining games or which scenarios will actually occur. But if you have a scenario in mind that includes all the results, scrolling from top down until you find teams that match your results will find what I'm guessing will be the 4 seeds, in order.

01. tOSU beats Wiscy
02. LSU beats UGA
03. Clemson beats Virginia
04. Georgia beats LSU
05. tOSU that loses to Wiscy
06. LSU that loses to Georgia
07. Utah beats Oregon
08. Oklahoma beats Baylor again
09. Clemson loses to Virginia
10. Baylor beats Oklahoma

Any teams not listed above can't get in. That's Wiscy/Penn St/Bama/Florida/Minny and all others.

To summarize, tOSU and LSU are in the final 4, no matter what happens next week.

If Clemson wins, they get a spot.

If Georgia beats LSU, they get a spot.

Utah gets a spot if they beat Oregon, and either Georgia or Clemson loses.

Oklahoma gets a spot if they beat Baylor and 2 out of 3 among Clemson/Georgia/Utah lose.

Baylor gets a spot if they beat Oklahoma and all 3 of Clemson/Georgia/Utah lose.

If Clemson loses, they could sneak in if Georgia/Utah/Oklahoma all lose (Baylor's non-conf schedule is abysmal).
 
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I really hope that the Buckeyes roll in Indy and keep the #1 spot. The #2 team is going to be facing a Clemson team ready to prove something. Dabo has definitely taken a page out of the Saban playbook on having an elite team keep their "us against the world / nobody respects us" mentality going strong.
 
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I really hope that the Buckeyes roll in Indy and keep the #1 spot. The #2 team is going to be facing a Clemson team ready to prove something. Dabo has definitely taken a page out of the Saban playbook on having an elite team keep their "us against the world / nobody respects us" mentality going strong.

I agree. A nice tune up game against Utah while LSU and Clemson bash each other's brains in.
 
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