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Scenarios for Final CFP Playoff Rankings

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I have updated the original post, eliminating scenarios that are no longer possible, and slightly changing things based on what's occurred.

This attempts to predict how the committee will rank teams at the end of the year. It does NOT try to predict the outcomes of the remaining games or which scenarios will actually occur. But if you have a scenario in mind that includes all the results, scrolling from top down until you find teams that match your results will find what I'm guessing will be the 4 seeds, in order.

I had to avoid scenarios which are extremely unlikely in order to keep from having a huge number of possible outcomes.

NOTE - most scenarios cannot co-exist, so the first 8 lines listed are for teams believed to control their own destiny. And if I'm correct, #05 (heaven forbid) would result in a Buckeye playoff appearance since only the SEC Champ, Clemson, and 1-loss LSU could reasonably be above tOSU in that scenario.

01. LSU undefeated thru CCG
02. tOSU undefeated thru CCG (If tOSU wins out impressively, they could jump LSU)
03. Clemson undefeated thru CCG
04. Georgia wins out thru CCG, has 1 loss to USCe
05. tOSU 1-loss to TTUN, wins CCG over Minn/Wiscy
06. LSU 1-loss to aTM, wins CCG over Georgia
07. LSU 1-loss to UGA in CCG (non-champion)
08. tOSU 1-loss in CCG to Minn/Wiscy
09. Utah wins out thru CCG, 1-loss was at USC with Huntley and Moss hurt
10. Bama beats Auburn, 1-loss was to LSU
11. Oklahoma wins out, CCG is second win over Baylor
12. Minnesota beats Wiscy, beats tOSU in CCG
13. Clemson loses to either S. Carolina, or to Va/Va Tech winner in CCG
14. Baylor beats Kansas, beats Oklahoma in 'CCG'

The remaining scenarios only come into play if there is a lot of chaos in the next two weeks. No 3-loss scenarios are listed, those teams can't get enough chaos to have a chance.

15. tOSU loses next two games
16. Georgia loses to Ga Tech, wins CCG over LSU
17. Georgia beats Ga Tech, loses to LSU in CCG
18. LSU loses next two games
19. Wiscy beats Minny, beats tOSU in CCG
20. Bama loses to Auburn
21. Florida beats Florida State
22. Oklahoma loses to Okla St, beats Baylor in CCG
23. Oregon wins Civil War and beats Utah/USC in CCG
24. Utah loses to Colorado, beats Oregon in CCG
25. Baylor loses at Kansas, beats Oklahoma in CCG
26. Penn St beats Rutgers
27. Utah beats Colorado, loses to Oregon in CCG
28. Oklahoma beats Okla St, loses to Baylor in 'CCG'
29. Minny beats Wiscy, loses to tOSU in CCG
30. Baylor beats Kansas, loses to Oklahoma in 'CCG'
31. Clemson loses next two games
32. Minny loses to Wiscy
 
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Well that didn't take long lol...

This clearly is telling everyone that regardless of what happens this week we are in the playoffs as long as we win the big ten title.

I mean clearly we still would be best to just win this week too but at least we have a little more margin for error.
 
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Ohio State loses to Michigan and Wisconsin: No Big Ten team with less than two losses.
Okie Lite beats Okie who then beats bible aggy: no B12 team with less than two losses.
Colorado beats Utah: no PAC team with less than two losses.
Clemson loses to Pitt: 4 loss ACC champ and a one loss Clemson with no meaningful victories.

Meanwhile....
Alabama rolls Auburn
Georgia narrowly beats LSU

  1. Georgia
  2. LSU
  3. Alabama
  4. Whichever SEC! team passes the eye test
giphy.gif
 
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kujirakira said:
If we happen to finish 1, and Utah 4 ... do we pick Atlanta and make ESPN play in 'Zona?
Click to expand...
if osu plays utah, i would be shocked if atlanta weren't the choice. heck, i think atlanta is the choice if it's oklahoma or baylor. make lsu and clemson travel to the other side of the country. and fortunately for osu, if we drop down to 2nd, then we'll face clemson in arizona. either scenario is advantageous -- or at least not disadvantageous.
 
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