LordJeffBuck;1846236; said:
If Boise State and TCU and Utah and Hawaii can receive BCS bowl invitations from their Mountain-MAC conferences, then I think that Ohio State will do okay in the Big Ten.
Question: Which conference has the most BCS bowl game appearances?
Answer: The Big Ten, with 23 ... SEC has 21 ... Big XII has 18 ... Pac 10 has 16 ... ACC has 13 ... Big East has 13 ... Notre Dame has 3 ... and the non-AQ teams have 7 (Boise State 2, TCU 2, Utah 2, Hawaii 1).
In other words, the Big Ten has received an "at large" BCS bowl bid 10 times in the 13 years that the BCS has been in existence, while the mighty SEC has received only 8 at large bids, and the Big XII just 5 at large bids, and the Pac 10 a mere 3 at large bids; the Big East and the ACC have never had an at large bid.
Pretty much disposes of the "conference perception" argument, IMO....
I agree. In your opinion.
Some of that is the dice of what are the records of the "second tier" teams in any given year. If you have two undefeated teams meeting in the SECCG, then one of them will get an at-large bid. If you have a three loss East team playing the undefeated West team, if the three win team prevails, the auto Sugar tie gets one BCS team in, and the other now-one loss team gets an at large bid. If the undefeated team wins, it likely goes to the BCSCG, and the losing SEC team gets in only if it is has a high BCS ranking. In a year where we beat each other up and
both division winners have several losses (which has not happened the last several years, for whatever reason) only one SEC team would to the Sugar, as the other division winner now has an additional loss, dropping them further down the polls.
So I am saying that some of the poor record of SEC at-large bids may be due to the existence of a Conference CG, which can diminish the chance for an additional BCS at-large bid to an SEC team. I mean, the premise is simple. A CG adds one more opportunity for a highly ranked one or no loss team to acquire two loss or one loss status (or for a highly ranked two loss team to become a three loss team, etc.). That extra loss will likely be the loss that gets you kicked out of the running for at-large bids, as any loss will drop you in the BCS ranking at the end of the year right before bowl selection.
Your past procedure allows for multiple Big 10 Co-champions. A Co-Champion with a 9-2 record is more desirable as an at-large bid than a non-conference champion with a 9-3 record. Your new CG will make it less likely for you (B10)to get additional at large bids, as the "status" of being co-champion has been [Mark May]-canned by the Big-10. The new system has also eliminated the scheduling glitch that made it possible for the best of your conference to be co-champions even though the two teams did not play each other. Now, with a Big-10 CG, at the end of the year you will not have "co-champions", but one Champion and one team with one more loss at the end of the year - a team that suddenly finds itself sliding down the list of one loss teams to join the other two loss teams. And while this new loss will not guarantee that team will not receive an at-large bid, it will sure diminish the possibilities.
BCS at large bids go to the higher rated BCS teams at the end of the season. And while your stats support the proposition that conference affiliation has not hurt the Big-10 in the past, I do not accept that the stats support the conclusion that conference affiliation will not hurt the conference in the future, especially now that you will now, as a conference, have more teams with more losses due to a CG, and you will no longer have the co-champion label and title.
More importantly, the "pass" a Big 10 member* will get over a mid major undefeated will not always continue, given the emergence of BCS bowl victories by the Utah, Boise State and TCUs of the world.
* or any AQ conference member, really.
Edit: Sorry for the rambling nature of the post, which did not address Jeff's major point as much, but I'm hung over and don't want to start over