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Playoff chances?

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Gunlife said:
You might be right, but remember in 2014 OSU got in over TCU because they just won the Big Ten Championship 59-0. This time our last game OSU was beat 28-3 in the second half. Big difference IMO. OSU has been playing pretty bad ball the last 4-5 weeks. I assume mostly due to injury.
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For sure understand that.

My thinking is do you reward a loss because it happened in an extra game or do you punish Ohio State for being in the same division as the #2 team in the country? You can't drop Ohio State 3 spots for losing to #3 while only dropping TCU 1 spot for losing to #10.

I have never heard of a ranked team losing and then only dropping 1 spot. Even Georgia fell 2 spots for losing in the championship game last year to then #3 Alabama.

Another thing I was thinking about... often times teams can redeem themselves for beating a team in the championship game that they previously lost to in the season (Clemson 2020 for example). However if a team loses to a team they should've lost to earlier in the year? Wouldn't that he held against them?

Meaning now their best win really isn't a win anymore. So when comparing Ohio State to TCU, Ohio State has a win vs #8 by double digits on the road while TCUs best win is vs a 3 loss Kansas State team who would've just beat them. Sort of negates their best win I'd think.
 
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Captain Buckeye said:
For sure understand that.

My thinking is do you reward a loss because it happened in an extra game or do you punish Ohio State for being in the same division as the #2 team in the country? You can't drop Ohio State 3 spots for losing to #3 while only dropping TCU 1 spot for losing to #10.

I have never heard of a ranked team losing and then only dropping 1 spot. Even Georgia fell 2 spots for losing in the championship game last year to then #3 Alabama.

Another thing I was thinking about... often times teams can redeem themselves for beating a team in the championship game that they previously lost to in the season (Clemson 2020 for example). However if a team loses to a team they should've lost to earlier in the year? Wouldn't that he held against them?

Meaning now their best win really isn't a win anymore. So when comparing Ohio State to TCU, Ohio State has a win vs #8 by double digits on the road while TCUs best win is vs a 3 loss Kansas State team who would've just beat them. Sort of negates their best win I'd think.
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In 2019 Georgia dropped from #4 to #5 after losing the CCG to LSU. Of course, that’s the LSU team that jumped tOSU for #1 that week, since the question of their pass defense was ‘answered’ by having to face an UGA team that only had 1 good receiver for half of that game.

Teams dropping only 1 spot often happens when they’re playing other teams in the top-4. Your point of TCU probably dropping farther because they’re facing a 3-loss #10 team is valid.
 
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MaxBuck said:
TCU will lose.

Buckeyes will get into the playoffs and play Georgia. We'll win, then play USC who will beat Michigan like a rented mule. Hilarity will ensue in the NC game.

Book it.
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If the Buckeyes do play and beat Georgia, it might, MIGHT be the first time in my life I come close to rooting for SCUM. The NC in all honesty is a consolation prize to me. Priority #1 is the Bucks having another crack at SCUM.
 
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BB73 said:
In 2019 Georgia dropped from #4 to #5 after losing the CCG to LSU. Of course, that’s the LSU team that jumped tOSU for #1 that week, since the question of their pass defense was ‘answered’ by having to face an UGA team that only had 1 good receiver for half of that game.

Teams dropping only 1 spot often happens when they’re playing other teams in the top-4. Your point of TCU probably dropping farther because they’re facing a 3-loss #10 team is valid.
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Yes. The same occurred in 2015 when #4 Iowa lost to #5 Michigan State by 1 score too.

So it took a an undefeated #2 to beat #4 Georgia to drop georgia to #5. It also took a #5 sparty to pass #4 by a last minute score. Meaning it took an undefeated top 2 team and a 1 loss top 4 team to drop their opponents 1 spot.

A 3 loss #10 team though? Ha... no.
 
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Bborg140 said:
Right. If the Bucks actually do get in, I’ll be rooting for as much chaos as possible.
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Bring on the...

chaos.gif
 
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Jaxbuck said:
I would just caution that folks use these scenarios in the context of probabilities.

There are no rules, precedents or certainties with the CFP (outside of S-E-C!)

Those fuckers can do whatever they want when it comes down to it.
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So what you’re saying is… USC and TCU both win. Ohio State drops to 7. Bama has the best losses in the best conference, so they move to four and TCU/USC slide on down to 5/6, respectively?
 
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Telekinesis said:
So what you’re saying is… USC and TCU both win. Ohio State drops to 7. Bama has the best losses in the best conference, so they move to four and TCU/USC slide on down to 5/6, respectively?
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No way that would happen.

They’d slide them up to 3 to keep an all-SEC final alive.
 
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Jaxbuck said:
I would just caution that folks use these scenarios in the context of probabilities.

There are no rules, precedents or certainties with the CFP (outside of S-E-C!)

Those fuckers can do whatever they want when it comes down to it.
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So they be motivated by more than football? Like $$ perhaps.

Those 17MM viewers for THE GAME may be a trump card in a tight race??
 
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I want to see OSU get in just to piss off tsun fans. Think about it. All the times we had the upper hand and The Game ended an otherwise good year for them and now, they win 2 in a row and we might already be to the point in time where it isn't a season killer anymore for us. Imagine if OSU got in and somehow unfucked themselves and won a NC.

It would be hilarious.

I also put that in the probability range of me exchanging Christmas cards with Harbaugh and Cooper but what the hell. I can hope.
 
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Jaxbuck said:
I want to see OSU get in just to piss off tsun fans. Think about it. All the times we had the upper hand and The Game ended an otherwise good year for them and now, they win 2 in a row and we might already be to the point in time where it isn't a season killer anymore for us. Imagine if OSU got in and somehow unfucked themselves and won a NC.

It would be hilarious.

I also put that in the probability range of me exchanging Christmas cards with Harbaugh and Cooper but what the hell. I can hope.
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And they lose in the first game! hahahaha that would be glorious. Beating them for it would also be glorious, so either way.
 
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