SI
Too close to call
Torn over OSU-Texas, affect of new clock rules, more
Posted: Wednesday September 6, 2006 1:01PM; Updated: Wednesday September 6, 2006 1:01PM
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As you well know by now, the biggest, most colossal event in the history of organized sports takes place Saturday night in Austin, Texas, and I have a dilemma: I can't decide who to pick. I have flip-flopped between Ohio State and Texas about 287 times over the past four days and have yet to reach any discernible resolution. A mini-diary of my recent inner monologue follows:
Saturday, 4:09 p.m., in front of the TV: Troy Smith has just thrown his third touchdown pass in about 15 seconds in the Ohio State's opener against Northern Illinois. Yep, this is why I've been leaning heavily toward the Buckeyes all summer -- OSU will have the most dangerous quarterback in the country under center while Texas will have a guy making his second start. What a no-brainer.
Saturday, 5:37 p.m., still in front of the TV: Uh oh.
Garrett Wolfe is running all over these guys -- and he's been lethal as a receiver, too. I know he's really good, but this can't bode well for those nine new starters on the Buckeyes' defense. Suddenly I'm having visions of
Jamaal Charles -- when not busting screen passes like last year -- going right up the Buckeyes' gut, over and over and over ...
Monday, 6:30 p.m., in the Orange Bowl press box: Talk about your bad omens. I've just been informed that Texas CB
Tarell Brown, the guy expected to defend
Ted Ginn Jr. on Saturday, was found passed out in the backseat of a car at 3 in the morning with a loaded pistol six days before the game. And there was marijuana in the car. Now he's suspended. Suddenly I'm having visions of Ginn running wide open down the sideline (perhaps because he just did that last Saturday).
Tuesday, 9:35 a.m., driving to the Miami airport: Wait a minute. If I know
Jim Tressel like I think I do, it really doesn't matter who Texas' cornerback is because the Buckeyes aren't going to be throwing too many bombs. In a big game against a respected defense, you can usually count on OSU running the counter trap to set up the field goal and throwing a 4-yard out to give the punter more leg room.
Tuesday, 2:46 p.m., cab back to my apartment: Who am I kidding? Tressel's a smart man. He knows he can't rely on his defense right now any more than I can rely on my ESP abilities. And even if the 'Horns manage to contain Smith and the passing game, I can't imagine they'll be able to completely shut down
Antonio Pittman and
Chris Wells.
Tuesday, 5:49 p.m., staring at my computer screen: What if it turns out that
Mack Brown has been actively hiding the fact all this time that
Colt McCoy actually runs a 4.2 40 and can throw like
Peyton Manning? Or what if he's just much, much better than a redshirt freshman really should be and winds up throwing for like 350 yards?
Tuesday, 7:02 p.m., running around the corner to Subway: What if Tressel, cognizant of the new NCAA clock-keeping methods, spent the summer teaching his kicker how to kick the ball so high on a kickoff that it hangs in the air long enough to ensure the game ends as soon as the Buckeyes score their first touchdown?
Tuesday, 9:53 p.m., still staring: Have they, by any chance, reinstituted the tie in college football?
As you can see, I'm stumped (and a little bit loopy from lack of sleep), so I'm soliciting your help. When submitting a question for next week's Mailbag, please include your prediction (please, keep 'em short) for Saturday night's showdown so I can get a sense of what the masses are thinking. One caveat: The only people I want to hear from on this are those who are NOT fans of Ohio State or Texas. This is not to say Buckeyes or 'Horns faithful shouldn't e-mail me; they'll just have to ask about something else that's on their mind this week.
What that could possibly be, I have no idea.
Do you think the new game clock rules have hurt college football? After watching the Miami-FSU game, it seems to me that the NCAA has turned the two-minute offense into the 40-second offense if you don't have three timeouts. This takes the fun out of the last few moments of a close football game if the team that is behind doesn't have enough time for a comeback.
--Brett Aaron, Jasper, Ala.
I guess I should have listened to
Steve Spurrier when he warned that the new rules would dramatically impact games. Who knew (besides the Ball Coach) just how much time elapses on kickoffs and change of possessions? According to
USA Today, the average length of games over the first weekend of the season dropped by
17 minutes from last year, with 13 fewer plays and
101 fewer yards. That's incredible!
However, unlike most people, I've not yet formed a judgment on whether the changes "hurt" college football. Like you, I certainly noticed the impact it had during Florida State's last possession on Monday night, when the 'Canes called timeout to stop the clock before the 'Noles even ran their first play. Whereas in the past, if you stuffed a team on first and second down and forced on incompletion on third, you'd only have to burn two timeouts to get the ball back. Now you have to use all three. But while that certainly hurts the team that's behind, I'd counter that such teams already have one built-in advantage late in the game with the clock stopping after every first down.
What I'm more concerned about is how the changes are going to affect player statistics. I'd love to see some mathematician figure out just how much harder it will be for, say, a running back to reach 2,000 yards? How many fewer carries will
Adrian Peterson get this season than he would have under the old rules just because his team will run significantly fewer plays? So far, I'd say that's the most unfortunate byproduct.