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Coronavirus (COVID-19) is too exciting for adults to discuss (CLOSED)

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So, as I expected, the death rate SDMA (7-day moving average) for today jumped to 993, from 378 yesterday. At first glance, this seems like a significant jump, but Tuesdays have always had a huge jump from the Sunday numbers. Also, although today's numbers were higher than the previous three Tuesdays, four Tuesdays ago the SDMA was quite higher (1,105), meaning the death rate is lower than what it was just a month ago despite the current case rate being almost double from then.
 
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As Coronavirus Cases Top 3 Million, Fauci Warns Against Misreading a Falling Death Rate

"expert, cautioned on Tuesday that it was a “false narrative to take comfort in a lower rate of death,” which President Trump, top White House officials and several governors have stressed in recent days."
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/07/world/coronavirus-updates.html

"There's so many other things that are very dangerous and bad about this virus, don't get yourself into false complacency."
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/07/politics/fauci-coronavirus-pandemic-us-response/index.html
 
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So, as I expected, the death rate SDMA (7-day moving average) for today jumped to 993, from 378 yesterday. At first glance, this seems like a significant jump, but Tuesdays have always had a huge jump from the Sunday numbers. Also, although today's numbers were higher than the previous three Tuesdays, four Tuesdays ago the SDMA was quite higher (1,105), meaning the death rate is lower than what it was just a month ago despite the current case rate being almost double from then.

Pick all Tuesdays over the past four weeks and average if you know there is a reporting spike on Tuesdays. That will stabilize historical Tuesdays and give you context for this week’s numbers.
 
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Thousands Who Got Covid in March Still Struggling After months

When I spoke with LeClerc on day 66, she was still experiencing waves of symptoms. “Before this, I was a fit, healthy 32-year-old,” she said. “Now I’ve been reduced to not being able to stand up in the shower without feeling fatigued. I’ve tried going to the supermarket and I’m in bed for days afterwards. It’s like nothing I’ve ever experienced before.” Despite her best efforts, LeClerc has not been able to get a test, but “every doctor I’ve spoken to says there’s no shadow of a doubt that this has been COVID,” she said.
Today is day 80.
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/...-coronavirus-longterm-symptoms-months/612679/
 
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COVID-19 hospitalizations will have long-term impact on patients, health-care system

According to Bime, the most obvious impact is that patients become very deconditioned because they are essentially paralyzed while on the ventilator. It takes weeks, months and sometimes up to a year for critically ill patients to regain their strength, and it’s possible that they may never get back to where they were before.

In addition to the physical obstacles, Bime emphasized that long ICU stays can cause a variety of psychological and cognitive issues as well.
https://tucson.com/news/local/covid...cle_6b2d0926-cdf9-5bd8-ad9d-f8c16233ecbb.html
 
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COVID-19 hospitalizations will have long-term impact on patients, health-care system

According to Bime, the most obvious impact is that patients become very deconditioned because they are essentially paralyzed while on the ventilator. It takes weeks, months and sometimes up to a year for critically ill patients to regain their strength, and it’s possible that they may never get back to where they were before.

In addition to the physical obstacles, Bime emphasized that long ICU stays can cause a variety of psychological and cognitive issues as well.
https://tucson.com/news/local/covid...cle_6b2d0926-cdf9-5bd8-ad9d-f8c16233ecbb.html

Fortunately, less than 15% of people who contract Covid 19 require a ventilator.

80% recover at home with no assistance.

https://www.who.int/indonesia/news/detail/08-03-2020-knowing-the-risk-for-covid-19#:~:text=Most people (about 80,are at greater risk.

https://www.physiciansweekly.com/update-mortality-rate-of-covid-19-patients-on-ventilators/
 
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Pick all Tuesdays over the past four weeks and average if you know there is a reporting spike on Tuesdays. That will stabilize historical Tuesdays and give you context for this week’s numbers.
If you go to Worldometer's United States Coronavirus page and scroll down to the Daily Deaths graph, you can clearly see the spikes on Tuesdays happening over the last several months (the only exception is that the weekly spike after the Memorial Day weekend happened on Wednesday, since Monday was the holiday and thus Wednesday was two days after the 3-day weekend).

Here are the numbers for the last six Tuesdays and the post-Memorial Day Wednesday:

May 27: 1563 (Wed after Memorial Day)
Jun 02: 1147
Jun 09: 1105
Jun 16: 859
Jun 23: 871
Jun 30: 727
Jul 07: 993

You can see there was steady decline in deaths until yesterday, and the increase for yesterday can be attributed to coming after a 3-day, instead of the normal 2-say, weekend which started on Friday.
 
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To date there have been 3,119,821 confirmed cases in the USA. The population of the USA is 331,002,651.

So far, despite all of the hysteria, less than 1% of the American population have contracted this virus.




Some of you may now resume your regularly scheduled hysteria.
 
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Thousands Who Got Covid in March Still Struggling After months

When I spoke with LeClerc on day 66, she was still experiencing waves of symptoms. “Before this, I was a fit, healthy 32-year-old,” she said. “Now I’ve been reduced to not being able to stand up in the shower without feeling fatigued. I’ve tried going to the supermarket and I’m in bed for days afterwards. It’s like nothing I’ve ever experienced before.” Despite her best efforts, LeClerc has not been able to get a test, but “every doctor I’ve spoken to says there’s no shadow of a doubt that this has been COVID,” she said.
Today is day 80.
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/...-coronavirus-longterm-symptoms-months/612679/

It appears to be alot like pneumonia in that regard. It was almost 3 months after I recovered before I was back to 100%.
 
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If you go to Worldometer's United States Coronavirus page and scroll down to the Daily Deaths graph, you can clearly see the spikes on Tuesdays happening over the last several months (the only exception is that the weekly spike after the Memorial Day weekend happened on Wednesday, since Monday was the holiday and thus Wednesday was two days after the 3-day weekend).

Here are the numbers for the last six Tuesdays and the post-Memorial Day Wednesday:

May 27: 1563 (Wed after Memorial Day)
Jun 02: 1147
Jun 09: 1105
Jun 16: 859
Jun 23: 871
Jun 30: 727
Jul 07: 993

You can see there was steady decline in deaths until yesterday, and the increase for yesterday can be attributed to coming after a 3-day, instead of the normal 2-say, weekend which started on Friday.

It will be interesting to watch this and the 7DMA numbers over time. Considering what's happening right now, there's a lot to be said for looking at these numbers at a state level or at a minimum separated between FACT and the balance of the country because those states are acting differently.
 
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Warning against complacency is one thing

But if a lower rate of death isn’t comforting to you then you have dogshit where your soul should be
Warning against the death of nuance and listening should be the thing.

Not single issue ballots (on both extremes) to shutdown the opposite camp on a disease we won't understand for 6-12 months.
To date there have been 3,119,821 confirmed cases in the USA. The population of the USA is 331,002,651.

So far, despite all of the hysteria, less than 1% of the American population have contracted this virus.

Some of you may now resume your regularly scheduled hysteria.
I only get out of bed for 50 million infected in a few months. Everything else is a lie.
 
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