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Cincinnati Reds 2021 (because we have to, I guess)

Reds actually have a good chance at catching the Padres for the wild card, considering the schedule for both teams. Padres have like 25 games against serious playoff contenders the rest of the season, while the Reds have 6.


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When the Padres go 11-14 in these 25 because they have to play the Dodgers and Giants a lot, and the Reds go 16-9 in their toughest 25, because they really only have two tough series left, you'll see. I may even be overestimating how many wins the Padres will get.
Tatis may be looking down the barrel of shoulder surgery as well.
 
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When the Padres go 11-14 in these 25 because they have to play the Dodgers and Giants a lot, and the Reds go 16-9 in their toughest 25, because they really only have two tough series left, you'll see. I may even be overestimating how many wins the Padres will get.

Tatis may be looking down the barrel of shoulder surgery as well.

:lol:

you guys new to this whole “Reds fan” thing? Want me to tell you what’s about to happen?
 
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One of these days Luis Castillo is gonna charge his own bullpen like Amir charging the Pirates dugout.

Been on fire since June and has five no decisions and a loss in quality starts, and they almost blew another today.
I feel for Castillo. He has been pitching like a Cy Young award winner since the start of June, but his record doesn't show it. He had three straight starts where he gave up 1 run or less - that includes unearned runs - and didn't pick up a win in any of those starts. The Kansas City game in particular was unfair to him, as Castillo threw 7 innings of 1-run ball, left with a good lead and clearly deserved to win, but the bullpen imploded.

The pen seems to give up runs no matter who is starting. The best the starter can do is try and go 7+ innings to limit the chances of the pen to blow it.

Castillo is a strikeout guy, he doesn't pitch to contact, and that actually is a really bad thing in terms of wins and losses for him on this team. A lot of times he is going 5 or 6 innings and leaves a lot of opportunity for the pen to blow it (and also limits the chances for the offense to score for him).

Miley is a little better strategic fit for this particular team because he doesn't strike as many guys out, gets a lot of guys to put the ball in play without driving up the pitch count, and as a result he usually goes a little deeper into games. You want to maximize the chances of the offense helping you and minimize the pen's influence on the game as much as possible.
 
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