Ok, I'm going to take a shot at this, so when I inevitably screw up somewhere, please correct me.
Right now we have 13 2010 commitments:
01.
J.T. Moore, DE, Boardman, Ohio; 6' 3", 225 lbs - committed on 9/11/2008
02.
Jamel Turner, DE/OLB, Valley Forge (PA) Military Academy; 6' 3", 206 lbs - committed on 12/16/2008
03.
Andrew Norwell, OL, Cincinnati Anderson; 6' 7", 275 lbs - committed on 02/04/2009
04.
David Durham, LB, Charlotte (North Carolina) Christian; 6' 3", 226 lbs, 4.7 forty - committed on 02/23/2009
05.
Scott McVey, LB, Cleveland St. Ignatius; 6' 1", 215 lbs, 4.5 forty - committed on 04/25/2009
06.
Taylor Graham, QB, Wheaton (Illinois) North; 6' 4", 211 lbs, 4.9 forty - committed on 06/23/2009
07.
Roderick Smith, RB, Fort Wayne (IN) Harding HS; 6' 3", 216 lbs, 4.5 forty - committed on 07/01/09
08.
Drew Basil, K, Chillicothe, Ohio; 6' 0", 180 lbs - committed on 07/02/09
09.
Darryl Baldwin, DL, Solon, Ohio; 6' 6", 245 lbs, 4.7 forty - committed on 07/19/09
10.
James Louis, WR, Delray Beach (FL) Atlantic HS; 5' 11", 178 lbs, 4.4 forty - committed on 07/29/09
11.
Chad Hagan, DB/RB, Canonsburg (PA) Canon-McMillan HS; 6' 1", 210 lbs, 4.29 forty - committed on 08/06/09
12.
Tyrone Williams, WR, East Cleveland (OH) Shaw - 6' 7", 215 lbs, 4.5 forty - committed on 08/29/09
13.
Corey Brown, ATH, Springfield (PA) Cardinal O'Hara - 5' 11", 180 lbs, 4.45 forty - committed on 9/13/09
We had 17 available scholarship spots going in, and so that leaves 4 scholarships that are currently available according to Mili's chart. It sounds like Hyde will be coming in this year, so that takes us to 3 scholarships, unless he or another of the already-commited 2010 recruits grayshirts.
In my opinion, we sign each of the following, and I'm listing them in order of how likely, IMO, they are to do so (pure conjecture fueled primarily by what I've read on this board):
1. Bryant
2. Anderson
3. Reed
4. Floyd
5. Henderson
6. Joyner
If we landed all of those guys, we've got to expect either an attrition of 3 or some grayshirts in there. I personally don't see a lot of grayshirting going on with this year's class (
maybe one) given how stacked 2011 seems to be in Ohio and elsewhere. Additionally, we're still at least in the discussion for (again, these guys are listed in order of how likely I believe they are to sign with tOSU):
1. Hankins
2. James
3. Hicks
4. Linder
though it would seem that, at the very least, Hicks and Linder are increasingly longshots at this point.
Furthermore, we're apparently now back in contact with Brandon Heard after he tore up the state playoffs, and are presumably looking at him as a running back (which just seems crazy with the logjam we already have there). And of course, the name Eric Howard continues to float out there in the background, but the interest in Heard doesn't bode well for him.
The crux of all this is that, unless reports are off, taking another 7 or so for the 2010 class seems like a very real possiblity. With grayshirts unlikely, on its face that would suggest we will see some sort of attrition to the effect of 3 or 4 spots. So questions for you guys:
1. First of all, let's figure out the actual scholarship count. Mili's list still includes Shaq Rowell, which I'm confused by. He's not on scholarship, is he? Wouldn't that give us an extra scholly? If so, does Hyde grab this one? What is the status of Dawaan Whitner? Several months ago, I was under the impression that he was a more likely candidate to come to Columbus than Rowell. Any insight anyone?
2. If we are looking at attrition, who are the most likely candidates? Gibson comes immediately to mind for me. Heyward would be next on that list, though I'm not at all convinced he doesn't want to come back. After that, no one really jumps out at me as a strong candidate for leaving early for the draft. There are rumours about the transfer of two players, but I'll leave that to the rumor mill. No matter what, we're almost certainly looking at 3-4 spots opening by attrition, IMO. I see Gibson leaving and at least one transfer. After that, I really don't know.
3. Do you see anyone that is currently signed not ending up with tOSU? If so, who? Hagan? Louis?
4. Who is the most likely
not to come to tOSU of those 6 listed above that I see signing with us? Joyner? Reed?
5. Who
is the most likely to sign on my list of 4 that we're still in on but I'm skeptical about? James? Hankins?
6. Do you expect more offers to go out? Heard is all of the sudden the one name that seems to be a possibility. There were continuing rumours that Elam may actually still be in play for us, though I have a hard time believing that. If we do send out more offers, does it suggest someone we're otherwise confident on isn't going to end up here afterall, or do we have room somehow? Personally, if we don't see another OL offer go out in the next month or so, I have to think the staff is actually pretty confident about James. I just don't understand how we only take 2 OL in this class if we're actually looking at signing 20-21 kids.
Love to hear everyone's opinions.