The way I see it, beat Michigan and OSU ends the season no worse than 5th, even with no upsets. Kansas and Mizzou play, and then that winner plays Oklahoma (presuming they all win their other games). Any upsets mean one more ranking spot each (presuming no leapfrog by Georgia). So we're looking for a minimum of three upsets. While possible, that's a real stretch. I can see Cincy giving WVU a game this week, since the Bearcats are on a tear and WVU is coming off of a less than impressive win. Otherwise, the rest of this week's needed upsets look like locks for the favored teams. I am not sure I see where the other two upsets would happen in the coming weeks, either.
Again, presuming a win in AA, I think that the final BCS standings will look something like:
1 Oregon/LSU
2 LSU/Oregon
3 B12 winner
4 OSU
Of course, it's been a wacky season, so anything can happen. I'm not going to put much more thought or energy into this until the Bucks ruin yet another season for the Weasels, however. An 11-1 season, a Big Ten title, a top 5 regular season finish and a Rose Bowl berth will be better than anyone expected from this squad, so I'll be more than content with that result. Anything else is a bonus, especially at this point.