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2024 College Football Playoffs Discussion (12 Team Format)

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An update based on what’s happened so far (Ga over Texas, ASU over ISU, Boise over UNLV):

If Oregon wins: I think Texas stays above ND. ND could end up 6 or 7 and Texas should stay ahead of Penn St. As long as they don’t drop PSU and consider the head-to-head result, #8 tOSU would host #9 Tenn. If ND is at #6, #11 Bama would be at ND, #12 ASU/Clemson is at #5 Texas, and #10 Indiana at #7 Penn St; so they could keep Penn St above ND to have Indiana at #7 ND and #11 Bama/SMU at #6 Penn St.

If Penn St wins: Oregon goes to #5, Texas and ND at #6 and #7 in some order, and #8 tOSU hosts Tenn. If Texas is #6, #11 Bama at Texas is not a rematch and #10 Indiana goes to ND. If ND is #6, they’d host Bama/SMU and Indiana would go to #7 Texas. If Clemson beats SMU in a close one, #11 SMU at #6 Texas is a possibility.

I think Tennessee at tOSU is very probable now.
 
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So I’ve got :

01 Oregon
02 Georgia
03 Boise St
04 Arizona St (don’t think they’ll jump Boise)

05 Texas hosting
12 Clemson (lowest of 5 highest conf champs)

06 Penn St hosting
11 Bama or SMU (name vs deserving)

07 Notre Dame hosting (think with NIU loss they stay behind CCG losers)
10 Indiana

08 Ohio St hosting
09 Tennessee

#1 then plays 8-9 winner
#4 then plays 5-12 winner

#2 then plays 7-10 winner
#3 then plays 6-11 winner
 
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BB73 said:
So I’ve got :

01 Oregon
02 Georgia
03 Boise St
04 Arizona St (don’t think they’ll jump Boise)

05 Texas hosting
12 Clemson (lowest of 5 highest conf champs)

06 Penn St hosting
11 Bama or SMU (name vs deserving)

07 Notre Dame hosting (think with NIU loss they stay behind CCG losers)
10 Indiana

08 Ohio St hosting
09 Tennessee

#1 then plays 8-9 winner
#4 then plays 5-12 winner

#2 then plays 7-10 winner
#3 then plays 6-11 winner
Click to expand...
I think you flip Pedo and OSU. I saw something today that now OSU beat 3 double digit win teams this year. Feels like our schedule is a bit harder than we felt. By contrast pedo has 0 wins over double digit win teams
 
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The committee only needs to answer these questions, in order.

Does Arizona State jump Boise State for #3? I think that’s a no.
Dies Clemson jump Arizona State for #4? That’s a clear no.

So that makes 1-2-3-4 to be Oregon-UGA-Boise St-ASU.

Then, does Texas stay ahead of ND for #5? I think that’s a yes, NIU loss for ND, CCG OT loss for Texas.
Does Penn State stay ahead of ND for #6? I think they’ll say yes, NIU loss vs losses to tOSU and #1 in a CCG. That prevents them from considuring Pedsters vs tOSU and the head-to-head, they already decided ND was ahead of tOSU.

That makes the 4 hosting teams at 5-6-7-8 to be Texas-Pedsters-ND-tOSU. Three 100,000+ seatred and the Domers.

9 is Tennessee and 10 is Indiana, they won’t move.

Then does Clemson, who has to be in, jump Bama? I think the answer is no,
Then the big one, does SMU stay ahead of Bama? Bama’s wins and SMU’s soft schedule allow them to say no.

So Bama is at #11 and Clemson at 12. This makes Tennessee at tOSU, Indiana at ND, Bama at Penn St, and Clemson at Texas.

Which makes the least deserving team, Bama, head north to a huge stadium, and avoids any first round rematches.

Their job is then done, Seeding forecasts second round matchups of Oregon-tOSU, UGA-ND, Boise-Pedsters, and ASU-Texas.

Complaints are from SMU, Cryami, Ole Miss and USCe, so espn suggests a 16-team playoff. Kyle McCord’s uoset of Cryami allowed BOTH Clemson and Bama to make the party, an ACC CCG of 1-loss SMU and 1-loss Mismi and they were probably both in.
 
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BB73 said:
The committee only needs to answer these questions, in order.

Does Arizona State jump Boise State for #3? I think that’s a no.
Dies Clemson jump Arizona State for #4? That’s a clear no.

So that makes 1-2-3-4 to be Oregon-UGA-Boise St-ASU.

Then, does Texas stay ahead of ND for #5? I think that’s a yes, NIU loss for ND, CCG OT loss for Texas.
Does Penn State stay ahead of ND for #6? I think they’ll say yes, NIU loss vs losses to tOSU and #1 in a CCG. That prevents them from considuring Pedsters vs tOSU and the head-to-head, they already decided ND was ahead of tOSU.

That makes the 4 hosting teams at 5-6-7-8 to be Texas-Pedsters-ND-tOSU. Three 100,000+ seatred and the Domers.

9 is Tennessee and 10 is Indiana, they won’t move.

Then does Clemson, who has to be in, jump Bama? I think the answer is no,
Then the big one, does SMU stay ahead of Bama? Bama’s wins and SMU’s soft schedule allow them to say no.

So Bama is at #11 and Clemson at 12. This makes Tennessee at tOSU, Indiana at ND, Bama at Penn St, and Clemson at Texas.

Which makes the least deserving team, Bama, head north to a huge stadium, and avoids any first round rematches.

Their job is then done, Seeding forecasts second round matchups of Oregon-tOSU, UGA-ND, Boise-Pedsters, and ASU-Texas.

Complaints are from SMU, Cryami, Ole Miss and USCe, so espn suggests a 16-team playoff. Kyle McCord’s uoset of Cryami allowed BOTH Clemson and Bama to make the party, an ACC CCG of 1-loss SMU and 1-loss Mismi and they were probably both in.
Click to expand...
You are probably right, of course. But if it were up to me, I’d put Clemson at 11 and SMU at 12. Alabama isn’t even on my list of bubble teams after the Oklahoma loss.
 
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For what it’s worth, here are the USA Today projections:
  1. Oregon (13-0)*
  2. Georgia (11-2)*
  3. Boise State (12-1)*
  4. Arizona State (11-2)*
  5. Notre Dame (11-1)
  6. Texas (11-2)
  7. Ohio State (10-2)
  8. Penn State (11-1)
  9. Tennessee (10-2)
  10. Indiana (11-1)
  11. SMU (11-2)
  12. Clemson (10-3)**
www.usatoday.com

How does CFP work? Explaining 12-team College Football Playoff schedule, predictions

The College Football Playoff expands to a 12-team bracket in 2024. Here's how it works, the schedule, which bowl games are included and more:
www.usatoday.com
 
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CincyInterloper said:
For what it’s worth, here are the USA Today projections:
  1. Oregon (13-0)*
  2. Georgia (11-2)*
  3. Boise State (12-1)*
  4. Arizona State (11-2)*
  5. Notre Dame (11-1)
  6. Texas (11-2)
  7. Ohio State (10-2)
  8. Penn State (11-1)
  9. Tennessee (10-2)
  10. Indiana (11-1)
  11. SMU (11-2)
  12. Clemson (10-3)**
www.usatoday.com

How does CFP work? Explaining 12-team College Football Playoff schedule, predictions

The College Football Playoff expands to a 12-team bracket in 2024. Here's how it works, the schedule, which bowl games are included and more:
www.usatoday.com
Click to expand...
I'd take that. Kill the Hoosiers again and Georgia doesn't scare me at all.
 
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Bill Lucas said:
I'd take that. Kill the Hoosiers again and Georgia doesn't scare me at all.
Click to expand...
But we wouldn’t play them again. Rankings and seeding in the brackets are not the same thing. They will go for matchups that draw eyeballs. OSU/iu 2 will not have the draw of OSU/Tennesse. They will do everything they can to avoid first round rematches
 
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While you always want to beat your rival and win the conference the CCG is nothing more than an early playoff game and, as we saw last night, a chance for a key player to get injured. They don't really get a bye. They just start the playoffs early.
 
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