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2024 College Football Playoffs Discussion (12 Team Format)

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ORD_Buckeye said:
That's an interesting one. 2-loss Ohio State versus 1-loss pedsters and IU who we will have beaten in the last half of the season. All four should get in, but will they do that at the expense of a 5th SEC team and/or a second academy? So how do they play that?

As for espn, the B1G, B12 and G6 are really going to need to be on the same team when the playoff media deal expires and make sure that FOX, CBS and NBC get in on it. You can't leave the playoff as essentially the in-house property of one network.
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Indiana is absolutely getting left out for another SEC team in that scenario. It's shitty but you can bet it's not even a debate for the committee. For Ohio State & Ped State it depends on how the SEC plays out

There's a nightmare scenario where you have 6 SEC teams with 1 or 2 losses. You know the propaganda about it being the greatest season ever for a single conference would be in full force leading up to selection time.
 
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buckeyemania11 said:
Indiana is absolutely getting left out for another SEC team in that scenario. It's shitty but you can bet it's not even a debate for the committee. For Ohio State & Ped State it depends on how the SEC plays out

There's a nightmare scenario where you have 6 SEC teams with 1 or 2 losses. You know the propaganda about it being the greatest season ever for a single conference would be in full force leading up to selection time.
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It could happen in the B1G with Oregon, Ohio State, pedsters, IU, Bert and Wiscy all ending up with no more than two losses. Of course, then the espn narrative is how mediocre the B1G is.
 
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ORD_Buckeye said:
It could happen in the B1G with Oregon, Ohio State, pedsters, IU, Bert and Wiscy all ending up with no more than two losses. Of course, then the espn narrative is how mediocre the B1G is.
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Lol yep "see it's not because the big 10 is strong, its just because the bottom half is that bad!"

Meanwhile you got ESPN trying to hype up garbage teams like Florida, Auburn and Arkansas with their FPI crap that's always been slanted toward the SEC.
 
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Now more than ever they really need to get rid of preseason rankings. With rosters even more drastically changing with the transfer portal year to year. Don't have any rankings until like week 7 or 8 when you have a real picture of how good or not good teams really are. Of course this will never actually happen, but it should. It would really help filter out the bullshit some.
 
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Important to remember that it’s teams 5 - 8 who get to host the round one games in their own sand box. then, back to bowl system. As long as the bowl committees have a voice you can count on very few SEC teams having to travel north to play.
 
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cincibuck said:
Important to remember that it’s teams 5 - 8 who get to host the round one games in their own sand box. then, back to bowl system. As long as the bowl committees have a voice you can count on very few SEC teams having to travel north to play.
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That's what I've been saying all along. There might be a token SEC team that has to go north, but it will be a team that probably shouldn't have made the playoffs, anyway. Either that or they'll have a team that everyone knows is overrated in the north ranked about 8th, and 9th will be an SEC team everyone knows is underrated. Then that #9 team goes to play #8 and wins, so people can say, "See? Playing in the cold isn't so awesome. Nerds."
 
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Boise fans actually think that Army needs to not only finish undefeated but blow out Notre Dame to have any chance of jumping a one-loss Boise. They're also saying that Army won't be ranked anywhere near them on Tuesday. I know we like to throw around the dfbia acronym, but nobody tops these people for just delusional cluelessness of where their poverty program sits in the college football pecking order.
 
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ORD_Buckeye said:
Boise fans actually think that Army needs to not only finish undefeated but blow out Notre Dame to have any chance of jumping a one-loss Boise. They're also saying that Army won't be ranked anywhere near them on Tuesday. I know we like to throw around the dfbia acronym, but nobody tops these people for just delusional cluelessness of where their poverty program sits in the college football pecking order.
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James Franklin has a job, still, because of a blocked punt 8 years ago.
People only know of Boise in 2024 because of an upset win over Oklahoma in 2006-2007.
 
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Here’s a look at where the 12 teams could come from, it’s a little early to figure out the seeding.

The highest-rated non-P4 conference champ is now down to very few contenders.

Boise St has a 3-point loss to #1 Oregon, and has home games against Nevada and Oregon St, and road trips to San Jose St and Wyoming, plus a CCG probably against Colorado St or UNLV. They will probably win out.

Army is undefeated, has road trips to North Texas and Notre Dame (their only ranked opponent), a home game against UTSA and a CCG that’s probably against 2-loss Tulane. Their year-end rivalry game against 2-loss Navy is on Dec 14th, AFTER the playoffs are set.

Sun Belt leader La-Lafayette has a loss to Tulane, but their best win is probably Wake Forest so they likely won’t jump Army or Boise St unless those teams get 2 more losses.

Conference USA and the MAC have nobody will fewer than 2 losses so they won’t be a factor.

I think Army needs to win out to jump Boise State in the standings unless somebody beats Boise St, so if ND beats Army, Boise State would control their playoff fate.

If ND beats FSU, Virginia, and Army (all at home), and wins their road finale at USC, they will seemingly end up in the top-11/12 and, despite their loss to a 4-loss NIU, lock up a spot without playing a CCG; if they lose a game they’re out.

Assuming ND and Boise St make it, that leaves 6 spots available besides the 4 CCG winners from the SEC-B1G-ACC-Big XII.

In the ACC, Miami is undefeated, while Pitt and Clemson have 1 conference loss each and play on Nov. 16th. Miami only has games left at Ga Tech, home against Wake, and at Syracuse. Seemingly the only way for the ACC to get 2 bids is for Miami to win those 3 and then lose the CCG, where as a 1-loss team they’d be in a beauty contest to stay in the Top-11/12.

In the Big XII, BYU is 8-0 with games left at Utah and ASU, and home against Kansas and Houston. The teams with 1 conference loss are Iowa St and Colorado. Similar to the ACC, the only realistic path to 2 bids is BYU getting their first loss in the CCG and surviving a beauty contest against a bunch of SEC and B1G teams.

So it’s very possible the remaining 6 spots will all come from the SEC and the B1G. Get ready for a bunch of ESPN propaganda on how 2-loss aTm/Tenn/LSU/Bama/Ole Miss are more deserving than 1-loss Indiana or 1-loss Penn St.

SEC Contenders and games remaining:

UGA (7-1) plays at Ole Miss, hosts Tenn, UMass, and Ga Tech, plus a probable CCG
Tenn (7-1) hosts Miss St and UTEP, plays at UGA and Vandy
Texas (7-1) hosts Fla and Ky, plays at Ark and aTm
LSU (6-2, 3-1 in conf) hosts Bama, Vandy, and Oklahoma, plays at Florida
aTm (7-2, 5-1 in conf) hosts New Mexico St and Texas, plays at Auburn
Bama (6-2) hosts Mercer and Auburn, plays at LSU and Oklahoma
Ole Miss (7-2) hosts Georgia and Miss St, plays at Florida
Mizzou (6-2) hosts Oklahoma and Ark, plays at S Car and Miss St
Vandy (6-3, 3-2 in conf) hosts S Car and Tenn, plays at LSU

Projecting UGA over Ole Miss and Tenn, and Texas over aTm, I’m thinking UGA, Texas, the LSU-Bama winner and 2-loss Tennessee get 4 SEC spots. I don‘t think they’ll drop the SEC CCG loser out, even if that’s a third loss. If the CCG is a rematch with 1-loss UGA and 1-loss Texas, that’s not an issue.

B1G Contenders and games remaining:

Oregon (9-0) hosts Md and Wash, plays at Wiscy and probable CCG
Indiana (9-0) hosts tCun and Purdue, plays at tOSU
Ohio St (7-1) hosts Purdue, Indiana, and tCun, plays NW’ern at Wrigley
Penn St (7-1) hosts Wash and Md, plays at Purdue and Minny

Without any upsets, I think all 4 of these teams get in as they’d all have no more than 1 loss. If tOSU gets a second loss to Oregon in the CCG, I think they’d still be in the CFP.
 
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Zurp said:
James Franklin has a job, still, because of a blocked punt 8 years ago.
People only know of Boise in 2024 because of an upset win over Oklahoma in 2006-2007.
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And the statue of liberty play and the proposal and the blue turf. They were always a gimmicky poverty program that happened to capture the national attention for a couple of years. They're too stupid to realize that the gimmick ran out long ago. Just need Army to beat or lose close to ND while winning out the rest, and they'll find out how much of a national brand they are.
 
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