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2021 CFB Playoff Discussion

As average as Bama looks to me, their schedule looks more like a gauntlet than the cakewalk it normally is. They travel to Miss St, who beat A&M. Tennessee, Arkansas, Auburn also lurk ahead. Any one of those teams has a legit shot at beating this Bama team. They're lucky Kentucky isn't on the schedule. I am leaning towards two losses for them by the end of the regular season.

2021 SECCG: UGA vs. Old Piss
 
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2017 Auburn was #7 with 3 losses. 4 is the minimum to feel safe.

Maybe fair, but maybe not. I guess it depends on who the top 6 teams were that year. If there is an 8-team playoff, we can be confident that even Grover Cleveland would allow it to be an ESPN's circle jerk to get a bunch of SEC teams in. There'd be certain auto bids for conference champions.

https://www.al.com/sports/2017/12/check_out_the_final_2017_colle.html
1. Clemson
2. Oklahoma
3. Georgia
4. Alabama
5. Ohio State
6. Wisconsin
7. Auburn
8. USC

Clemson gets ACC bid
Oklahoma gets Big 12 bid
Georgia gets SEC bid
Ohio State gets Big Ten bid
USC gets Pac 12 bid
Alabama gets in at large
Wisconsin gets in at large
So I guess it's up to Auburn at 10-3, or Central Florida at 12-0 (#12), depending on if there's a loophole for Group of 5 conferences.

Upon further review, I think the play stands as called on the field. 4 losses is the minimum number of losses to feel safe from having a specific SEC team make it to the playoffs.
 
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Maybe fair, but maybe not. I guess it depends on who the top 6 teams were that year. If there is an 8-team playoff, we can be confident that even Grover Cleveland would allow it to be an ESPN's circle jerk to get a bunch of SEC teams in. There'd be certain auto bids for conference champions.

https://www.al.com/sports/2017/12/check_out_the_final_2017_colle.html
1. Clemson
2. Oklahoma
3. Georgia
4. Alabama
5. Ohio State
6. Wisconsin
7. Auburn
8. USC

Clemson gets ACC bid
Oklahoma gets Big 12 bid
Georgia gets SEC bid
Ohio State gets Big Ten bid
USC gets Pac 12 bid
Alabama gets in at large
Wisconsin gets in at large
So I guess it's up to Auburn at 10-3, or Central Florida at 12-0 (#12), depending on if there's a loophole for Group of 5 conferences.

Upon further review, I think the play stands as called on the field. 4 losses is the minimum number of losses to feel safe from having a specific SEC team make it to the playoffs.

The results of the Peach Bowl that year suggest an undefeated G5 should get into an eight team playoff ahead of a three loss SEC team.
 
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As average as Bama looks to me, their schedule looks more like a gauntlet than the cakewalk it normally is. They travel to Miss St, who beat A&M. Tennessee, Arkansas, Auburn also lurk ahead. Any one of those teams has a legit shot at beating this Bama team. They're lucky Kentucky isn't on the schedule. I am leaning towards two losses for them by the end of the regular season.

2021 SECCG: UGA vs. Old Piss

Eh im not sure id call that a gauntlet. I know Miss State beat A&M but they also lost to a bad LSU team and a 3-3 Memphis team. Tennessee lost to the only 2 teams with a pulse they played. I guess Arkansas is the "best" team there. Auburn isnt beating them. I'd be extremely shocked if Bama lost to any of those teams.
 
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That being said, didn't something like a quarter of uga starters opt out to prepare for the draft?
I think that might have been the case with UC vs Georga last year. I was referring to 2018, when twelfth ranked 12-0 UCF beat seventh ranked 10-3 Auburn.

I don't think a three loss SEC/B1G team should get in ahead of any unbeaten top-25 team in an eight team playoff. I'm not ready to say that about a two-loss SEC/B1G team, which is what Georgia was last year.
 
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