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2020 ttun Shenanigans, Arguments, and Surrender Cobras (Confirmed COWARDS!)

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I'm using Rivals rankings because: (a) they go back uninterrupted to 2002; and (b) they don't practice as much grade inflation as the other sites.

I stopped at the class of 2018 because the younger recruits have not yet had a chance to demonstrate their talents (or lack thereof).

I am including two-star signees with the three-star signees.

From 2002 to 2018, Ohio State had 141 three-star signees out of 375 total signees (37.6%).

From 2002 to 2018, Michigan had 183 three-star signees out of 375 total signees (48.8%).

Despite having far less three-star signees, Ohio State got much more out of their lower-ranked talent. Each team had many productive three-star players (Ohio State's include Dane Sanzenbacher, Kenny Guiton, and the Boren brothers), but I wanted to list only the best examples of three-star prospects developing into outstanding college players. Here are the most notable examples from each team:

ClassOhio State 3-Star RecruitExceptional College AccoladesDraft Position
2002A.J. Hawk2x All American; Lombardi Award1st round
2002Santonio Holmes1st team All Big Ten1st round
2003Kirk BartonAll American7th round
2005James Laurinaitis3x All American; Butkus Award2nd round
2005Malcolm Jenkins2x All American; Thorpe Award1st round
2005Brian Robiskie...2nd round
2005Brian Hartline...4th round
2005Donald Washington III...4th round
2006Chimdi ChekwaAll American4th round
2009John Simon1st team All Big Ten4th round
2010Bradley RobyAll American1st round
2010Johnathan HankinsAll American2nd round
2011Jeff Heuerman...3rd round
2011Devin Smith...2nd round
2011Cardale Jones...4th round
2012Pat ElfleinAll American; Rimington Trophy3rd round
2013Darron LeeAll American1st round
2013Gareon Conley...1st round
2014Malik HookerAll American1st round
2014Sam Hubbard...3rd round
2015Joey Burrow*All American; Heisman Trophy1st round
2015Denzel WardAll American1st round
2015Damon Arnette...???
2015Davon Hamilton...???
2016Jordan Fuller3x Academic All American???
2016Malik Harrison1st team All Big Ten???
2017Thayer Munford...???
2018Chris Olave...???
ClassMichigan 3-Star RecruitsExceptional College AccoladesDraft Position
2002David Harris1st team All Big Ten2nd round
2004Mike HartUM all-time leading rusher6th round
2005Zoltan Meskó2x 1st team All Big Ten5th round
2007David MolkAll American; Rimington Trophy7th round
2008Patrick Omameh1st team All Big TenUndrafted
2010Jake Ryan1st team All Big Ten4th round
2011Frank Clark...2nd round
2011Graham Glasgow...3rd round
2012Devin Funchess...2nd round
2012Chris Wormley1st team All Big Ten3rd round
2012Willie Henry...4th round
2012Jehu Chesson...4th round
2012Ryan Glasgow...4th round
2013Maurice Hurst, Jr.1st team All Big Ten5th round
2015Jon Runyan, Jr.1st team All Big Ten???
2018Ronnie Bell...???
Comparing first round draft picks: Ohio State 8; Michigan 0

Comparing first team All Americans: Ohio State 15 (11 different players); Michigan 1

*Ohio State also gets at least partial credit for Joey Burrow, who won the Heisman Trophy and will be the #1 pick in tomorrow's NFL draft.
This is remarkable and it points to a very bleak future for tsun.

So, it breaks down as such:
1st Rounders: tOSU- 8.5 || tsun - 0
2nd Rounders: tOSU - 4 || tsun - 3
3rd Rounders: tOSU - 3 || tsun - 2
4th Rounders: tOSU - 5 || tsun - 4
5th Rounders: tOSU - 0 || tsun - 2
6th Rounders: tOSU - 0 || tsun - 1
7th Rounders: tOSU - 1 || tsun - 1

So, of the 22 draftable players listed for tOSU, 93.4 were selected in rounds 1-4 (or when you'd expect them to be a contributing NFL player), and 6.6% were selected in rounds 5-7 or UFA (when they're a coin-toss to make an NFL roster).
For tsun, that number is 64.3% for rounds 1-4, 35.7% for rounds 5-7 or UFA.

I'd subjectively list the following as "contributing" NFL players, or guys who spent at least a couple of years on NFL rosters:
tOSU - 15 (68.2%)
tsun - 8 (57.1%)

So, not only does tOSU do a better job of finding "diamonds in the rough", they do a better job of getting them ready for the pros.

That might not be a big deal if it was a level playing field, but it's not. Tsun relies a lot more heavily on those lower rated guys, because they aren't landing anywhere near the same amount of 4 and 5* kids as tOSU. To make matters worse for them, their development of those higher rated kids is really bad right now. Their 2017 class, which was ranked #5 nationally and had 21 4 and 5* commits has been gutted by transfers and guys who didn't develop anywhere near what their rankings indicated. Of those 21, I'd argue that only 2 of them (Cesar Ruiz and Nico Collins) approached their rankings. The jury is still out on Dylan McCaffrey and Ambry Thomas as both are projected starters this season, but have yet to do enough to say they have approached their rankings.
 
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I'm using Rivals rankings because: (a) they go back uninterrupted to 2002; and (b) they don't practice as much grade inflation as the other sites.

I stopped at the class of 2018 because the younger recruits have not yet had a chance to demonstrate their talents (or lack thereof).

I am including two-star signees with the three-star signees.

From 2002 to 2018, Ohio State had 141 three-star signees out of 375 total signees (37.6%).

From 2002 to 2018, Michigan had 183 three-star signees out of 375 total signees (48.8%).

Comparing first round draft picks: Ohio State 8; Michigan 0

Comparing first team All Americans: Ohio State 15 (11 different players); Michigan 1


Damn, they just got dragged. Thanks for the work here.
 
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This is remarkable and it points to a very bleak future for tsun.


That might not be a big deal if it was a level playing field, but it's not. Tsun relies a lot more heavily on those lower rated guys, because they aren't landing anywhere near the same amount of 4 and 5* kids as tOSU. To make matters worse for them, their development of those higher rated kids is really bad right now. Their 2017 class, which was ranked #5 nationally and had 21 4 and 5* commits has been gutted by transfers and guys who didn't develop anywhere near what their rankings indicated. Of those 21, I'd argue that only 2 of them (Cesar Ruiz and Nico Collins) approached their rankings. The jury is still out on Dylan McCaffrey and Ambry Thomas as both are projected starters this season, but have yet to do enough to say they have approached their rankings.

And their most successful QBs - Ruddock and Paterson, were cast-offs who couldn't make it where they started. But, yeah.
 
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Watched the 2015 Game last night for fun, the 60 minute version from BTN that I recorded. It was glorious. 42-13, and the Buckeye's running game just mauled the hapless skunkbears. Rainman was a deer in the headlights, and there was no shortage of sad fan shots in Ann Arbor. I highly recommend this if you ever have a need for a pick me up.
 
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Watched the 2015 Game last night for fun, the 60 minute version from BTN that I recorded. It was glorious. 42-13, and the Buckeye's running game just mauled the hapless skunkbears. Rainman was a deer in the headlights, and there was no shortage of sad fan shots in Ann Arbor. I highly recommend this if you ever have a need for a pick me up.
Especially since the second half was a 28-3 beatdown. Joey's near-pick-six at the end is just a great bonus.
 
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This is remarkable and it points to a very bleak future for tsun.

So, it breaks down as such:
1st Rounders: tOSU- 8.5 || tsun - 0
2nd Rounders: tOSU - 4 || tsun - 3
3rd Rounders: tOSU - 3 || tsun - 2
4th Rounders: tOSU - 5 || tsun - 4
5th Rounders: tOSU - 0 || tsun - 2
6th Rounders: tOSU - 0 || tsun - 1
7th Rounders: tOSU - 1 || tsun - 1

So, of the 22 draftable players listed for tOSU, 93.4 were selected in rounds 1-4 (or when you'd expect them to be a contributing NFL player), and 6.6% were selected in rounds 5-7 or UFA (when they're a coin-toss to make an NFL roster).
For tsun, that number is 64.3% for rounds 1-4, 35.7% for rounds 5-7 or UFA.

I'd subjectively list the following as "contributing" NFL players, or guys who spent at least a couple of years on NFL rosters:
tOSU - 15 (68.2%)
tsun - 8 (57.1%)

So, not only does tOSU do a better job of finding "diamonds in the rough", they do a better job of getting them ready for the pros.

That might not be a big deal if it was a level playing field, but it's not. Tsun relies a lot more heavily on those lower rated guys, because they aren't landing anywhere near the same amount of 4 and 5* kids as tOSU. To make matters worse for them, their development of those higher rated kids is really bad right now. Their 2017 class, which was ranked #5 nationally and had 21 4 and 5* commits has been gutted by transfers and guys who didn't develop anywhere near what their rankings indicated. Of those 21, I'd argue that only 2 of them (Cesar Ruiz and Nico Collins) approached their rankings. The jury is still out on Dylan McCaffrey and Ambry Thomas as both are projected starters this season, but have yet to do enough to say they have approached their rankings.

Cool story, Bro. However have you given one thought to the "dude factor."
 
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