Steve19;972484; said:
... Nobody has any illusions about it being easy to win in Happy Valley.
Most of us are expecting a defensive battle like we usually have with them, especially there. But there is a small part of me that is ignoring the history of this series and is looking for something more.
Last week, the offensive line played most of the game better than they've played in years. Seriously... years. The last 200+ we had out of a running back was one game by MoC in early 2002. Before that was one game by Wiley in '98. And Beanie did it against a defense that was better than average in differential rushing defense coming into the game.
Then we had a series of plays that are among the worst in living memory. The players have said that they got unfocused.
You saw what happened after that as well as I did. They got their focus back, and when they got the ball with 3 and 1/2 minutes left, they put the game away right down the Spartans' throats.
The offensive line built momentum in that game. They lost it for awhile, but there is a chance that they will learn a valuable lesson from that. They even gave us a reason to believe that they learned that lesson before the game ended.
Taking the OL's momentum into Happy Valley, what can we expect? What if Kirk Barton is as fired up as he seems to exact retribution on PSU for the injury he sustained in the '05 game. What if Alex Boone is as fired up as he seems to gain redemption for the lessons that Tamba Hali taught him when he came in for Kirk in that game?
The game in the trenches is won and lost on emotion. Just ask anyone who's played there. Do we have reason to believe that the Buckeyes are reaching an emotional apogee right now? They've certainly given us reasons to believe it. We certainly have historical reasons to believe it.
What if the offensive line goes out Saturday night and OWNS the Nittany Kittens? What if the running game makes a mockery of Penn State's #9 ranking in Rushing Defense? It's happened to good rushing defenses before. Why not us? Why not now?
What if the offensive line (and TB) prepare like men possessed and pick-up the furious Penn State blitzes. What if TB makes violin strings out of the Nittany Kitten's vulnerable safeties?
And what if the defense finally pitches the shut-out they've earned on several occassions this year?
What if we finally pay them back for '94? We'd never run the score that high, but what if they knew we could've?
I picked 23-13 for this game. After all that I've written here, I'm sticking with that pick. What I've outlined above is something that comes from my feel for the emotional direction of both teams. My 23-13 pick came from an analysis of both teams. I'm a numbers guy, my mind is usually closer to the truth than my gut.
But the last time I analyzed a game based on my feel for the emotional direction of both teams was when I said we'd "brutally pound" Northwestern. Here's hoping that my gut goes 2-for-2 this year.