I guess that's the question. You hate to take the ball out of the hands of your QB, but do you see more hail mary's or onsides kicks recovered? You also have to factor in getting out of bounds on that hail mary, which makes it even less probable.
Looking for insight. I agree it would seem like an asanine call. I don't know that i would call for a safety as a coach.
One decent gainer makes up for the onside kick starting position. I played in a game once where we recovered 2 or 3 onside kicks in a row to come back, but besides that freak day I haven't seen too many recovered. I would feel better having the QB gun a couple 20 yard gainers to move out to the 40 than to take the safety and hope for the onside kick against the #2 team in the nation. JT wouldn't tell a QB to take the safety just like he didn't tell the defense to let Texas score a TD to save time on the clock.
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