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The durecho here in the summer of 2012 only had confirmed wind speeds of 85 mph but I'm pretty confident it surpassed that in my yard. Growing up in Ohio we learned that a tornado sounded like a freight train. I stayed awake until the storm passed and I could feel that shit, and for about 6 minutes it sounded like a train rolled thru my neighborhood at mach 4.

Hurricanes are definitely shitty but I can't imagine the damage an F5 would do if it were to hit a large metro area.
 
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If these wind speed forecasts hold the next 2 days, I do not like the idea of sticking around to find out what it sounds like and if its enough to do anything. I'd be in that alley between the 97 and 90 winds.



Bear in mind that the wind speed estimates are sustained winds, not gusts. (And it doesn't address the possibility of spin-off tornadoes that are generated within hurricanes.)

A lot of factors to consider: what's going to happen in nearby areas that are harder hit that may affect the flow of basic supplies like gas, food, etc.; whether you will lose power and, if so, given that, again, there may be more substantial damage within the state, how long it may be before crews can reach you to restore the system; if there's illness or an injury, the availability of either ER or access to local hospitals--might they be out of power, low on staff; not a pretty thought, but the randomness of looters roaming your neighborhood when police are stretched thin.

It's an unfortunate crap shoot trying to guess exactly where the worst damage is going to be, and whether to leave or stay put. Just remember that the closer the storm gets, the more people will be on the highways. The last thing you want to happen is to wait so long that you end up stuck on an interstate that has become a parking lot. And, accidents happen on highways, too, as the Houston evacuation before Rita demonstrated.

Thinking of people trying to make the decision to go or stay, I keep remembering Maugham's version of Appointment in Samarra. It's a hard call to make.

Here's hoping everyone in the path makes the best decision for themselves and their families.

Hurricanes are definitely [Mark May]ty but I can't imagine the damage an F5 would do if it were to hit a large metro area.

The current sustained wind speed for Irma is equivalent to an EF4, with gusts that are EF5. Except, instead of passing over you for thirty seconds or so, it would sit on top of your house for hours.
 
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I travel often to the islands that have been hit, particularly the USVI and BVI. Keep them in your thoughts please.

This is what is left of Ivan's on Jost Van Dyke. I spent a great day there in June with a group of Buckeye friends.

eg3e0iJh.png
Saw a post on FB that said anything in White Bay that was made of wood is gone. Here's a picture I load when I'm having a shitty day at work. I have another that my father in law took from about the same angle taped to one of the cupboards on my desk that I look at often. White Bay is my Happy Gilmore happy place. This sucks.

Jost-Van-Dyke-DSC2273ps.jpg
 
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Man I love that place. Go there at least once a year.

The Westin on St. John took major damage. Fortunately, all of my friends down there are safe. Some list roofs and obviously the belongings underneath the roof.

The Westin

UakiNZrh.jpg


Cruz Bay

muh1aYKh.jpg
 
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The durecho here in the summer of 2012 only had confirmed wind speeds of 85 mph but I'm pretty confident it surpassed that in my yard. Growing up in Ohio we learned that a tornado sounded like a freight train. I stayed awake until the storm passed and I could feel that [Mark May], and for about 6 minutes it sounded like a train rolled thru my neighborhood at mach 4.

Hurricanes are definitely [Mark May]ty but I can't imagine the damage an F5 would do if it were to hit a large metro area.
Well, check out that time frame on those hurricanes. Nice la Nina effect in play it looks like. Probably a snowy winter coming up too.

Anyway my mom has a house (she's not there) right under the nhc forecast track. Gonna be fun.
 
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