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Tropical Weather

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Irene may be weakening slightly.

The storm has ingested some drier air from somewhere (likely Hispaniola due to down-sloping winds from the mountains), and that is causing the system to stay roughly the same intensity for right now. However, the inner core of the Hurricane is collapsing somewhat so there might be some weakening until it pulls away from Hispaniola.

While this may be a good thing for the Bahamas, this may not work out as well for the East Coast of the US. A weaker storm won't pull as far north given the pattern in the upper levels. The weakness is there now - if Irene were stronger it would be moving more to the Northwest or even closer to due north. However, since it is weaker and not getting any stronger at this time, it's staying along and near the 290 degree WNW path.
 
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IreneWeakening.png
 
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Now that Irene has cleared Hispaniola, we are going to see it rapidly intensify over the next 24 hours or so. The water near the Bahamas is 90 degrees, the shear isn't perfect but it's not going to stop this thing AND this is more or less the first storm to traverse this area of the Atlantic, so the warm waters are deeper than average.

I wouldn't be going anywhere near the SE coast for this weekend, but that's just me.
 
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My law partner's cousin lives on San Salvador (Watling) Island in the Bahamas. Just (last four months) sold everything in Mississippi and bought a house there. Irene is going right over her ass. I hope she thought about storm surge height when she bought. Beachfront property is nice in calm weather, but has this annoying habit of being underwater come Hurricane strikes.
 
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[ame="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUStIT5aX7c"]Hurricane Irene Satellite Loop August 18-24, 2011 - YouTube[/ame]

Pretty cool to see her develop
 
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Gatorubet;1974358; said:
My law partner's cousin lives on San Salvador (Watling) Island in the Bahamas. Just (last four months) sold everything in Mississippi and bought a house there..
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:lol: Good news is, there were no houses for sale so she is renting. Bad news is, her rental home is about to be pummeled by Irene, as the storm will track about fifteen-twenty miles west of her. She will get the full eastern eye wall. :shudder: Aaaaaaaaand...the good news, she should have some houses to buy very soon at a reduced price.
 
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BuckeyeMike80;1973902; said:
Irene may be weakening slightly.

The storm has ingested some drier air from somewhere (likely Hispaniola due to down-sloping winds from the mountains), and that is causing the system to stay roughly the same intensity for right now. However, the inner core of the Hurricane is collapsing somewhat so there might be some weakening until it pulls away from Hispaniola.

While this may be a good thing for the Bahamas, this may not work out as well for the East Coast of the US. A weaker storm won't pull as far north given the pattern in the upper levels. The weakness is there now - if Irene were stronger it would be moving more to the Northwest or even closer to due north. However, since it is weaker and not getting any stronger at this time, it's staying along and near the 290 degree WNW path.
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Thanks, Willard.
 
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at201109_model.gif


Well this blows. Looks like the forecast track has been pushed west a bit. With these ridiculous high temps the country has been having, we really do not need high winds taking out electricity for days in high population areas.
 
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Gatorubet;1975282; said:
at201109_model.gif


Well this blows. Looks like the forecast track has been pushed west a bit. With these ridiculous high temps the country has been having, we really do not need high winds taking out electricity for days in high population areas.
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ummm gator july called. the heat wave has been over for a while.
 
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BuckeyeMike80;1975469; said:
ummm gator july called. the heat wave has been over for a while.
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Yeah. But 90's & no power > 101 with your AC working.

Edit: Just looked up recent highs and the north east is in the 80s. Its been high 90s and heat warnings in NO. I did not know it had cooled down so much. Still, the folks in the Carolinas will not enjoy the no AC, even if it is only a humid 84-87 degrees.
 
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Okay, what the hell. I have been out of the loop and people are freaking out here. I am in "zone 1" or the worst evacuation zone. I can only assume that this is just the media loving to talk about NY, but everyone is stalking up on water and stuff. I bet floridians are laughing at us.

Edit: wanted to correct "stalking," but too funny to fix.
 
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