Buckeyefrankmp;1342095; said:
I would rather not try and say I did not fail. I want to be the best middle of the pack team. Is that what you are saying? How about this, I would rather try for greatness and fail than to strive for mediocre and succeed. How about we go back to the 9-3 Earl days and be happy with a Citrus bowl invite. I want to see the Bucks in a BCS bowl every year. I want recruits to see us in a BCS game every year. What do we want to tell recruits, "Follow us to Orlando"? "Come to Ohio State and you will have a shot at going to San Antonio."
Let's examine that heroic route.
I don't think that anyone has been disputing that this team deserves its ranking at #10. So, let's say we get into the BCS against a top 5 team. Let's say it's Texas. Realistically, on a neutral field, Vegas will give us about 7 points.
We've lost to the #1 and #3 teams in Sagarin's most accurate model. Texas is #1 in the regular Sagarin's and #4 in their predictor model. So, it's not an easy call for the #9 Buckeyes.
On the plus side, we would have Beanie healthy and Pryor with a lot more experience. We have some time, but not too much time, to prepare. On the other hand, we have had line problems all year and Texas leads the nation in sacks. Our passing offense is suspect, they are second in the nation in pass defense. They are the best team in the Big 12 and they have something to prove.
So, the game would not be that easy. The matchup is not compelling for us. They rank above us in almost every category and they are strongest (rushing defense) where it opposes our strengths and I think most unbiased folks would have to give them the nod.
The game could, but probably would not be, an embarrassing outcome. We most probably would win or lose a close one but the probability is that we would lose.
Now, let's consider another bowl game. Let's say it's Alabama. Their defensive statistics are equally impressive to Texas but their offense is much weaker. This would be a game that favors Tresselball. We run Beanie, Pryor, and Boom right at them. We throw enough to keep them off balance and control the clock. We let our defense take advantage of their offense and leverage our special teams advantage (a weakness of theirs) to ensure that we play with the shorter field.
Texas and Alabama are highly ranked. Both teams would be big wins, neither really bringing more prestige than the other. But Alabama is the more likely victory and the more satisfying (SEC) in my opinion.
Nobody is talking about mediocrity and if we lose, we'll have that three loss season you dread. What we're talking about is not getting into a bowl game that stretches this team so far that they cannot help but live down to the ugly expectations of the national press. We need to put this "big game chokers" reputation behind us now, or we'll find it really hard to crack into the top rankings the next two years when we really have a chance to go all the way.