Couple of points:
1. and 2. are conflicting issues. This team plays infinitely better when they go uptempo and attack. Problem is, they lack the athletes and shooters to properly neutralize a good zone defense.
3. When the whole team goes cold, as they too often do, this is their best offensive play, unfortunately...
4. This is also an issue and has been all season. When they try to run designed plays/set offense, they run into a brick wall and end up chucking the ball around the perimeter for 30-32 seconds then settle for a contested/ill-advised jump shot. Or somebody goes flying into the lane out of control. We just don't have the athletes/scorers to get open and create their own shots.
As for the confidence and tournament...well, I thought they were certainly NIT bound earlier this month when they went into that swoon. But, they bounced back pretty well. It's a resilient bunch...just not overly good. The tourney, as usual, will totally depend on the matchups. There are guys...LaQ, Sam, Smith, even Craft, that can get hot on any given night. Problem is, there are nights when it seems the whole team goes cold for extended periods. If they can get some guys going, they could make a small run and get to another sweet-16. But, I think that's their ceiling this year.