Anyone who thinks the Covid shit is going to get better come November/December is likely setting himself up for disappointment. Typically the beginning of flu season, now you have people who haven't seen grandma in months. Are they really not going to get together for Thanksgiving and Christmas?
There's already Covid fatigue. Another couple months and people will be set on having their holidays as usual - indoors, in groups. Good luck.
This is a good point.
Looking at the numbers around the world and in the US, there are several interesting trends, one of which bolsters Jake's point.
- Places that got used to wearing masks during previous epidemics were much less affected
- Places with high population density that were not protected by #1 were more affected
- Places with a lot of swamp land were much more affected (sort US states by # of cases per 1M pop)
- Places where a significant amount of the populous lives at high elevation seemed to be more affected, but less so than swamp land
- To Jake's point: The Southern Hemisphere, whose winter is in its final month, is well represented among places with a lot of cases, especially when you consider the fact that just over 10% of the world's population lives south of the equator, and most of those live close enough to the equator that their winter is not harsh.
Are we really supposed to believe that people who are smart enough to become the presidents of universities really think they're going to have a season that starts in January? The decision makers, who give every appearance of being more cautious than everyone else, are not going to look at the rebounding numbers and put players on the field. If it's not started before Thanksgiving, it's highly doubtful it will start at all.
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