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Sparty at tOSU, Nov 20th, 12 pm ET, ABC

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I was looking back at the Sparty game last year. Fields ran for the 1st two TDs of the game. Finished with 104 yards on the ground that afternoon. That's also the game CJ came in and ran one to the house. Hopefully the Sparty pass defense is as bad as advertised and we don't need the QB run threat.
 
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bukIpower said:
Their offense is much more traditional that Purdue and I think we will have success vs them.

I'm going to say 42-21.
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I feel you there. I think Walker is legit, but the offense as a whole is more one dimensional than Purdue. I think we can expose that. I don't think it'll be a blowout at all, but somewhere in the range you said where we end up pulling away for a somewhat comfortable win.
 
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Jaxbuck said:
Here is an under the radar thing to watch: We all know the first two games were a shit show for the defense but even after the change in playcaller some teams have had healthy yards per carry numbers from their running backs. I think this gets lost in the team numbers because of QB sacks and because teams are down so far they have to abandon the run but here is what I found.

I took the box score and anyone who had more than 1 carry and wasn't a QB I called them the "RB".
Tulsa: 24/97 4.04 ypc
Rutgers: 23/105 4.57 ypc
Maryland: 18/112 6.22 ypc
Purdue: 18/84 4.67 ypc

Now they did shut down some teams like IU and Penn State but they can't run at all.

If there is weakness there, it's going to get exposed as long as Sparty (and tsun) are in a close enough game to keep running the ball.

Walker III is the best back they've seen since Ibrahim in week 1 but some teams have managed to contain him. It will be interesting to see how it plays out but if it ends up a lot closer than we want, keep this in mind.
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Yeah, u hit on something. These next two (and potentially 3 with Wisconsin in CCG) will be won or lost in the trenches and be huge tests for this defense. We talk about all the passing success competent teams have had vs this defense but who has actually been in a game and stuck to their run game in the last 6 weeks?

OSU hasn't had to prove that they can stop the run game for 4 quarters recently. MSU and scUM are not going to get away from it, that's who they are this year. Buckle your chin straps boys. If they shut these run games down, I think OSU can run away with both of these last 2 regular season games.
 
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mendensa said:
Yeah, u hit on something. These next two (and potentially 3 with Wisconsin in CCG) will be won or lost in the trenches and be huge tests for this defense. We talk about all the passing success competent teams have had vs this defense but who has actually been in a game and stuck to their run game in the last 6 weeks?

OSU hasn't had to prove that they can stop the run game for 4 quarters recently. MSU and scUM are not going to get away from it, that's who they are this year. Buckle your chin straps boys. If they shut these run games down, I think OSU can run away with both of these last 2 regular season games.
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They'll have to get away from it if the offense is doing it's thing but they aren't going to get away from it early, that's for sure.

The ability to stop a dedicated run game, without getting torched on play action, will be huge the next 3 weeks but, the other team has to stop the OSU offense so...typical clash of styles type games.
 
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5 STAR U-G-A said:
I can help translate as a fan of The Premiere SEC team in the Nation. When an SEC team (besides UGA) is ranked below #10, you only look at the second digit of their ranking to determine what their equivalent ranking would be in another conference to adjust to "SEC difficulty".

So according to ESPN, a #17 ranked SEC team translates to a #7 ranked team in another conference, and a #25 ranked team translates to a #5 ranked team in another conference.

Thus, Bama is REALLY playing the #7 and #5 teams in the country as opposed to the #6 and #7 ranked teams in the country...because, you know, S-E-C.
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images
^^^^^^


Like he said!
 
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MD Buckeye said:


Model: OSU wins 41-31
Their Picks: OSU 44-30 & OSU 52-34
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One thing they didn't touch on is we are hurt by efficiency based offenses going all down the field on us a chunk at time. They mentioned their explosive so effiency doesn't matter as much to them. However inefficient explosive offenses can get some 3 and outs and if their D can't hold us it can become a big lead real quick.
 
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Jaxbuck said:
Here is an under the radar thing to watch: We all know the first two games were a shit show for the defense but even after the change in playcaller some teams have had healthy yards per carry numbers from their running backs. I think this gets lost in the team numbers because of QB sacks and because teams are down so far they have to abandon the run but here is what I found.

I took the box score and anyone who had more than 1 carry and wasn't a QB I called them the "RB".
Tulsa: 24/97 4.04 ypc
Rutgers: 23/105 4.57 ypc
Maryland: 18/112 6.22 ypc
Purdue: 18/84 4.67 ypc

Now they did shut down some teams like IU and Penn State but they can't run at all.

If there is weakness there, it's going to get exposed as long as Sparty (and tsun) are in a close enough game to keep running the ball.

Walker III is the best back they've seen since Ibrahim in week 1 but some teams have managed to contain him. It will be interesting to see how it plays out but if it ends up a lot closer than we want, keep this in mind.
Click to expand...


You almost can't even use numbers against Rutgers or Maryland because the team was so far ahead so quick that you're basically just playing to avoid long pass touchdowns and playing large stretches of those games with backups.

It's going to come down to the safeties and their ability to be in position to help and finish tackles. KW is a stud and he's going to have those plays where he breaks the first tackle. It comes down to how well positioned Hickman and Shaw are and if they can make the tackles. I'm fairly confident in Hickman. I have very little confidence in Shaw. They're going to do what they've seen the other teams do on tape, which is put people in motion to force linebackers outside of the tackles pre-play and hope that Shaw continues to play hesitant football and leave Walker huge gaps up the center of the field.

All that said, I think this ends up being the Steele Chambers break out show and he ends up being all over KW for most of the afternoon.
 
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