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Reds Tidbits (2011 Season)

Bucknut24;1944799; said:
we are now tied with the pittsburgh fucking pirates for 3rd

but there's nothing wrong with this team! /management


Part of me gets pissed every time I think of all the talent they could trade.

The other part remembers they have to have something worth while to trade for and there really isn't anything out there right now.

Reyes (and maybe Beltran) would cost too much for a rental and it doesn't fix the fact we have no top shelf pitching.

Guthrie and Hardy, you can just fucking shoot me. They do not need another mid rotation at best pitcher, they have 6 of them already and on top of that Guthrie is a fly ball pitcher. He'll get fucking shelled in GABP. Eric Milton v2.0

So what do they do? There are no big time starters for sale this year and the shelf life of the "prospect" status of all that talent down in AAA is ticking.

Only the fucking Reds could find themselves in a position to have the worlds supply of talent to trade and jack shit to trade it for.
 
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Bucknut24;1944799; said:
we are now tied with the pittsburgh fucking pirates for 3rd

but there's nothing wrong with this team! /management

The silver lining is that the Reds still have the 2nd best RS/RA differential in all the NL, behind only the Phillies. Their Pythag suggests they should be 42-35, one game ahead of the Cards and two games ahead of the Brewers.

This stuff has a way of evening itself out over the course of the season.
 
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Dryden;1944862; said:
The silver lining is that the Reds still have the 2nd best RS/RA differential in all the NL, behind only the Phillies. Their Pythag suggests they should be 42-35, one game ahead of the Cards and two games ahead of the Brewers.

This stuff has a way of evening itself out over the course of the season.

Thats because they lose 3 games in a row 2-0 or 3-1, then score 12 runs in one game to bring the stats back up.

"There are 3 kinds of lies. Lies. Damn Lies and Statistics." -Mark Twain (and others)
 
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Bestbuck36;1944867; said:
Thats because they lose 3 games in a row 2-0 or 3-1, then score 12 runs in one game to bring the stats back up.

"There are 3 kinds of lies. Lies. Damn Lies and Statistics." -Mark Twain (and others)

No team scores its average every night.

If someone wanted to do the work they should find the std deviation of Reds runs per game. I'm willing to bet into it blind that 70% of the time they are within 1 standard deviation of their average.
 
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I get that but its rare they get on a roll with 3 or 4 runs per game for, lets say a week. They've been top or bottom most of the time it seems lately. The most consistent period this month was way back at the beginning with the Dodgers and Cubs home series'. I'd just like to see 3 or more runs for 3 or more games in a row before I believe in this offense whatsoever.
 
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RE the standing pat issue;

What if they know Alonzo can't play LF for shit (even by what passes for LF playing around these parts the past 10 years or so) and that Cozart really isn't as good a hitter as his BABIP inflated numbers this year say he is? Calling them up risks exposing them and loss of value.

I don't know but Walts track record shows he's capable of pulling off some big time moves, lets hope he's got some more in him because something needs to happen.
 
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Jaxbuck;1944893; said:
RE the standing pat issue;

What if they know Alonzo can't play LF for shit (even by what passes for LF playing around these parts the past 10 years or so) and that Cozart really isn't as good a hitter as his BABIP inflated numbers this year say he is? Calling them up risks exposing them and loss of value.

I don't know but Walts track record shows he's capable of pulling off some big time moves, lets hope he's got some more in him because something needs to happen.

While Cozart's BABIP is .357, he has more pop than either shortstop and his strikeout rate is down over 4% vs. last year. He is also solid defensively. So you could look to last year, increase his BABIP a little (it was on the low side) and include more balls in play. All that means he would still be a .280+ hitter in AAA with 15+ home runs. Those are still much better offensive numbers than Janish put up in the higher minors levels. In the end, I have no doubt Cozart is a better option than Renteria, who right now is worst than Janish is every area. Yet like I stated before, the Reds fear if Janish or Cozart gets hurt then there is no going back once they DFA Renteria. It's not that they fear Cozart won't truly perform (come on, how hard is it to beat Renteria's performance). It's the fear one gets hurt, and now they have next to nothing for a backup at SS. That scares the hell out of Dusty and Walt. They don't want Valaika as the backup option at SS if someone gets hurt.

Plain and simple, Dusty and Walt see Cozart as a desperation move, and they refuse to make them. So they will sit back and hope Renteria gets better. The more they wait, the closer September gets, and the more they can say "we don't want to get rid of Renteria for an extra month or so of Cozart who will only play part time."

As for Alonso, that one is simple. The 3 headed monster out in LF is actually starting to hit, and the defense (even Gomes) has been pretty good while Alonso has not been lighting the world on fire in the field. Alonso is a definite September call up, but nothing more. I don't think it's fear of exposure. Smoak didn't hit worth a crap in 275 PA's before being traded, showed he can't really play anywhere but first, and he was still coveted by every major league team before being sent to Seattle. It takes a lot of time in the majors to kill value for a player rated highly in the minors.
 
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scott91575;1944909; said:
It takes a lot of time in the majors to kill value for a player rated highly in the minors.


Very true but I'm just going to prepare myself mentally for them fucking this whole thing up beyond recognition then if they do better than that I can be pleasantly surprised.
 
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