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Reds tidbits (2010 season)

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Welcome back Mr. Kotter!

I have a new Reds plan going forward:

Start Mike Leake the beginning of the season and at the All Star break put Homer Bailey in his rotation spot and move Leake to the bullpen. Use Homer there and build his innings prior to the All Star break.

If you could transformer those two into one pitcher, he'd be awesome. Cant believe how good Homer continues to be later in the season.

Votto's had a chance to really improve his spot in the TC race but missed opportunities today.
 
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Not picking on Scott at all. I am 43 pages behind catching up, so I'll do it this way instead of reading them all....

From August 23..
scott91575;1751788; said:
...I could see the Cards easily going 6-1 in the next 7 days.
Click to expand...

We can all laugh at it now.

So we do. :lol:

Buy those playoff tickets fellas, we're in it this year. :banger:
 
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Not optimism, just some math;

.500 from here out is 13-13. That would put the Reds at 92 wins.

The Cards would have to go 21-7 (.750) over their last 28 games to force a tie.


or

Say the Reds can only pull off 11 wins and 15 losses over their last 26 games. That sets the win number at only 90. The Cards would still have to go 19-9 over their last 28 to tie. That's .680 ball for a month straight.

Bottom line is the Cards have dug themselves into a hole that requires two events to happen now instead of just one. The Reds have to play below .500 and the Cards have to play about .700 ball the rest of the way without a day off. Nothing is impossible but it is HIGHLY improbable.

The official magic number is 21 but to me it's really 13. I just do not believe the Cards have the depth of talent to win 21 of 28 without a day off. That puts just as much pressure on the #4 and #5 starters to win as the big 3 and at 28 games remaining they have a minimum of 4-5 starts each. The big three starters would have to be perfect and win every game, that's 15 wins, and then the Westbrook/Suppan/whoever starts would still have to account for about 6 wins in 10 tries.

Again, that's two events they need instead of one. The team has to win EVERY SINGLE GAME Carpenter, Wainright and Garcia start AND win 6 of the 10 that the scrubs start. No blown games by the bullpen, not a single bad game from Pujols and Holliday, consistent production from their army of futility infielders...all for 28 straight games without a day off.

If I could find a sports book still giving action on the NL Central crown I would not be scared to fade the Cards. It is just a monumental task they have in front of them.
 
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Jaxbuck;1762301; said:
Not optimism, just some math;

.500 from here out is 13-13. That would put the Reds at 92 wins.

The Cards would have to go 21-7 (.750) over their last 28 games to force a tie.


or

Say the Reds can only pull off 11 wins and 15 losses over their last 26 games. That sets the win number at only 90. The Cards would still have to go 19-9 over their last 28 to tie. That's .680 ball for a month straight.

Bottom line is the Cards have dug themselves into a hole that requires two events to happen now instead of just one. The Reds have to play below .500 and the Cards have to play about .700 ball the rest of the way without a day off. Nothing is impossible but it is HIGHLY improbable.

The official magic number is 21 but to me it's really 13. I just do not believe the Cards have the depth of talent to win 21 of 28 without a day off. That puts just as much pressure on the #4 and #5 starters to win as the big 3 and at 28 games remaining they have a minimum of 4-5 starts each. The big three starters would have to be perfect and win every game, that's 15 wins, and then the Westbrook/Suppan/whoever starts would still have to account for about 6 wins in 10 tries.

Again, that's two events they need instead of one. The team has to win EVERY SINGLE GAME Carpenter, Wainright and Garcia start AND win 6 of the 10 that the scrubs start. No blown games by the bullpen, not a single bad game from Pujols and Holliday, consistent production from their army of futility infielders...all for 28 straight games without a day off.

If I could find a sports book still giving action on the NL Central crown I would not be scared to fade the Cards. It is just a monumental task they have in front of them.
Click to expand...

Epic collapse. Reds are out of it ... fading fast.

They're still shitty.
 
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Dryden;1762314; said:
Epic collapse. Reds are out of it ... fading fast.

They're still shitty.
Click to expand...


No doubt.

I was just trying to illustrate how epic the inevitable collapse will be.

I don't know the exact data but from what I have seen on MLB networks coverage of pennant races this will be the greatest(worst) collapse, this late in a season, in baseball history.
 
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