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Reds tidbits (2010 season)

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As of the end of games played 8/29/10:

Reds 75-55
32 games to play
.500 the rest of the way = 91-71 record

Whiny bitches 69-59
34 games to play
need to go 22-12 (.650) over last 34 games to force tie at 91 wins

So barring a complete collapse from the Reds or a solid month of near .700 ball the WB's are in trouble.
 
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Can't remember where I've read it, but isn't there some formula like GB^2 > games remaining = you're really screwed without a lot of help? E.g., If the Reds could push it to 6 the Cards are in panic mode. Regardless, the Cards now slide to 4 back in the loss column, so sweeping the Reds still leaves them 1 out. Thus, they need help and no longer control their own destiny.
 
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Dryden;1755405; said:
Can't remember where I've read it, but isn't there some formula like GB^2 > games remaining = you're really screwed without a lot of help? E.g., If the Reds could push it to 6 the Cards are in panic mode. Regardless, the Cards now slide to 4 back in the loss column, so sweeping the Reds still leaves them 1 out. Thus, they need help and no longer control their own destiny.
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Not sure but at this point any way you do the math it gets really tough for them. If the Reds play .500 or better the rest of the way the Cards are in a lot of trouble.
 
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