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Purdue at tOSU, Nov 13th, 3:30 ET, ABC

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Jaxbuck said:
Well, I don't know the according to Hoyle definition of reverse line movement because technically the majority of the money won't be on Purdue but it's like that in all other aspects.

In my head I watch out for these kind of lazy logic/transitive set ups. For example..."OSU's offense has sputtered lately, Purdue has upset two top 5 teams therefore Purdue +19 is way too much..."

I've walked into that brick wall face first way too many times in my day to not notice the self dialogue that leads to such events.

One thing I have learned to do over the years is mentally take the other side of the bet and see how comfortable I feel then. For those who think OSU -19 (it's more now) is too much, then mentally own putting down your usual, comfortable bet amount on Purdue getting the points. It usually cuts through all the self doubt for me.
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True, no RLM here, but close conceptually. Despite the big number and Purdue’s recent history of upsets, I’m still not sure Joe Public is rushing to put their hard earned down on the Boilermakers, yet. But feels like Vegas will make them try to take that side. And they’re comfortable with that, in this instance.
 
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All the money is coming in on the Buckeyes. Up to -20. They should beat the crap out of Purdue but those redzone and self inflicted errors are real. I'm staying away from it if that tells you anything

It's funny, 70% of the bets are on Purdue right now but 60% of the money is on Ohio State. Now, Over 61 points on the other hand....
 
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DaddyBigBucks said:
Earle won his first by 22 (45-33)
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math-1569525694.jpg
 
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Systems_id said:
Lost in all this consternation is that the Buckeyes came pretty effin’ close to blowing the doors off both Penn State and Nebraska. If the Buckeye offense figures out how to convert on the Redzone this weekend? Welp.
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Hm. You aren't wrong. But that's like when a coach says, "Our quarterback is coming along well. All he has to do now is improve on his accuracy." That's kind of a big thing and it may not be an easy thing to fix. I mean, what if Ohio State took a 20-yard loss each time they get a first down inside the 20? Would that improve their chances to score? I'm joking of course, but I'm also sort of not joking.
 
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buckeyemania11 said:
Just stop Bell.

Purdue cannot run the ball at all. They average 2.4 YPC and have not even cracked 700 yards total as a team this team.

They've also allowed 25 sacks which is good for 96th in the country in that category.
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That's the one thing they have. Their big QB can stand in the pocket and get short passes out under duress like you just can't believe.

Even that one thing they have though, the dude is TO prone.

They can't run at all. They have no vertical passing attack or demonstrated any ability to give the QB time to do it if they had the receivers.

Their defense gives up an absurd amount of yards per catch and isn't very good against the run.

If OSU doesn't help with penalties and turnovers the only shot Purdue has is to posses the ball with the short passing attack and hope their QB doesn't turn it over in doing so.

Those aren't great odds if you are Purdue.
 
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TDunk said:
Just to give you worriers some good news, my brother and I will be attending this game. We have been to three games together prior.

OSU v TTUN 2002 (still think I have some turf from that day):



OSU v UW 2011:



And last one was 2016 OSU v TTUN:



Edit: You can blame my brother if we lose.
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If we're losing at half just kick him out of the stadium problem solved
 
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TWO UPSETS OVER TOP-THREE TEAMS

BEAT THE BUCKEYES IN MOST RECENT MATCHUP

NATIONALLY ELITE PASS ATTACK

AMONG NATION'S WORST GROUND GAMES

ANOTHER TOUGH TEST FOR THE BUCKEYE OFF

Purdue can lay claim to one of the tougher schedules in the country through nine games, and that makes its defensive numbers even more impressive.

Despite having three losses this year, Purdue possesses the No. 15 pass defense in the FBS, allowing just 185.3 yards per game to opposing offenses in 2021. The Boilermakers have held six opponents’ starting quarterbacks under 200 yards passing this season.

Purdue’s scoring defense ranks 16th in the country with an average of 18.4 points per game, as the Boilermakers have held three teams to single-digit points so far. Wisconsin, who handed Purdue a 17-point defeat on Oct. 23, is the only team to score 30 points or more against the Boilermakers this year.

In total defense, Purdue ranks 26th in the Football Bowl Subdivision, allowing 328.7 yards per game. Opponents have found a bit more success against the Purdue defense on the ground, averaging 143.3 yards per contest in the run game, which ranks 58th in the nation.

Only 20 teams in the FBS have more forced fumbles than Purdue’s nine, and only 14 have more than its 11 interceptions. Cam Allen has four of those on his own in the Boilermaker secondary, and 2020 second-team All-Big Ten pass rusher George Karlaftis is a disruptor at the line of scrimmage, leading the Boilermakers with 7.5 tackles for loss.



 
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Bestbuck36 said:
All the money is coming in on the Buckeyes. Up to -20. They should beat the crap out of Purdue but those redzone and self inflicted errors are real. I'm staying away from it if that tells you anything

It's funny, 70% of the bets are on Purdue right now but 60% of the money is on Ohio State. Now, Over 61 points on the other hand....
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Do you think Purdue can stop the offense from scoring from the 50 yard line? Because if they can't, the red zone offense will not be an issue. I don't think Purdue is as competent on defense as Penn State or Nebraska.
 
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TDunk said:
Just to give you worriers some good news, my brother and I will be attending this game. We have been to three games together prior.

OSU v TTUN 2002 (still think I have some turf from that day):



OSU v UW 2011:



And last one was 2016 OSU v TTUN:



Edit: You can blame my brother if we lose.
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Jesus. This is supposed to make us feel better? Take the points I guess :lol:
 
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