So you say. Any hard evidence? No. Which is what I pointed out earlier. Oversigning has not helped their conference achieve success. So oversigning is not that significant a factor, or the ACC would be a mighty conference that was viewed as far superior than the not oversigning Big-10. It ain't. Which means that overigning may be an advantage, but there is no evidence that it much of one, given the lack of a correlation between oversigning and success between programs, and within programs.
![Lol :lol: :lol:](http://www.buckeyeplanet.com/bp_files/smilies/main/lol.gif)
For the last time, it isn't a magic elixir which transforms programs and players. It helps you undo mistakes in scholarships 2-3 years faster and maximizes your opportunities to bring in talented recruits by signing too many when you aren't actually restrained by that 85 scholarship limit.
If Miami & Georgia Tech do not attract, sell and/or develop prospects well, that won't change much with oversigning. Their extra 20 chances will still be fed largely through the same underperforming machine.
It's a huge difference when Saban and Miles do it, which is why I take such issue with your Iowa State examples. LSU attracts amazing talent with any coach, let alone a great recruiter with a network of boosters, alumni & hs coaches behind him. When LSU abuses the practice of oversigning, they are replacing a benchwarmer (or unneeded frosh forced to grayshirt) with another top notch recruit.
Is it an advantage? Yes, possibly. It depends whether the two years into the program kid has more value than the brand new kid who replaces him. "Bird in hand" is a kid with a demonstrated ability to make the grades and master the college environment.
"Bird in the bush" is a kid who has never been in college who might make the grades, adapt to college life, and be a star.
How come your hypotheticals are overwhelmingly positive for the guy you might cut, yet include none of the reasons that a coach would consider cutting him? I think I know the reason
Outside of scout team or special teams help, raising the APR or mentoring another player, a 3rd year guy who is not improving has a much higher chance of being dead weight than the freshman with untapped potential, particularly since your approach requires retrieving a ton of scholarships each offseason.
"Bird in the bush" is a kid who has never been in college who might make the grades, adapt to college life, and be a star. I guess it is a better idea if you have a good two deep, as launching a kid who is two or more years into a S&C program for a freshman may be chancy if he suddenly has to face life as a starter in the Big-10 or SEC.
They aren't generally eliminating a useful 2nd or 3rd stringer. The guys they are cutting are disappointments who are often getting passed (or will soon be) by underclassmen.
The biggest threat (to a staff with no interest in honoring a 4 year commitment to a "bust") is to spend the next 2-3 years trying to fill that 2-deep with a player without much potential in your eyes.
But since someone like Saban is doing it, you have to think that he thinks he is doing it to better his program. So if it is not an advantage, he sure thinks it is an advantage. I never said that getting better was not the reason for it being done. I have just never seen any data supporting a connection to oversigning and on the field success within programs (or between conferences.)
No, you just used incomparable squads (like USC vs anyone, Texas vs Iowa St, and BIg East vs B10) as your metric, but were unphasd by the only conference with comparable squads to compare due to their similarly elite attraction/success in recruiting (Georgia vs LSU, Bama, UF).