Holiday Bowl can help Ducks best
Wednesday, November 23, 2005
When he was a kid, John Junker, the head of the Fiesta Bowl committee, attended games in Ohio Stadium, where he rooted for the Buckeyes. The Fiesta Bowl's chief financial officer, Stan Laybourne, graduated from Ohio State. And Buckeyes athletic director Gene Smith was, until eight months ago, a Fiesta Bowl board member.
Not that there's anything wrong with that.
Like most of this state, you're probably rooting for Oregon to reach the Fiesta Bowl. And maybe you're hoping the Ducks will be matched up with Notre Dame or Penn State once there. But it wouldn't be the worst thing if Oregon got passed over in favor of the Buckeyes.
In fact, it would be a blessing.
You're going to have to restrain your first impulse as a fan here. You're going to have to see past the green and yellow, if that's what you bleed. Because it's the greater good that postseason football should be about.
And that greater good, for Oregon, lies in San Diego.
Don't let the three thrilling victories to finish the season fool you. Oregon, although 10-1, isn't nearly as potent as it was before Kellen Clemens broke his leg. The Ducks, with Clemens healthy, wouldn't have needed overtime to beat Cal. And Washington State wouldn't have come down to a game-winning field goal. And Oregon State might have needed a running clock in the Civil War.
That broken leg ends up being a crying shame, because Oregon was that close to a magical season with Clemens, the senior leader, under center. And the Ducks playing the Fiesta Bowl with one arm tied behind their backs isn't what's best for the program.
Utah beat Pittsburgh 35-7 in last January's Fiesta Bowl. It marked the 10th time in the past 16 years that the bowl game was decided by 17 points or more. Aside from the thrilling double-overtime 2003 title game between Miami and the Fiesta Bowl committee's favorite childhood team, this game has been a blowout.
The Fiesta match-ups are lousy. One possible opponent, Penn State, is the red-hot champion of a stronger football conference, and will have an emotional Joe Paterno in the locker room. The other, Charlie Weis-coached Notre Dame, was good enough with two weeks of preparation to play USC to the final play.
Oregon lost to USC by 32 points.
In Eugene.
With a healthy Clemens at quarterback.
Oregon co-quarterbacks Dennis Dixon and Brady Leaf haven't played on a big stage. Pullman doesn't count. And they haven't played a single meaningful down against high-level college opposition, yet. Giving them an introduction to Penn State or Notre Dame in a high-profile Fiesta Bowl is risky business.
If you're a real Oregon fan, you should root for the Holiday Bowl. San Diego isn't just the unofficial halter-top capital of the world, it's the right place for the Ducks this winter. With all that's coming back, Oregon might be better prepared for a Fiesta berth next season.
The risk analysis here is simple.
Oregon, ranked No. 7 in the BCS, would easily handle whichever overrated Big 12 opponent was presented in the Holiday Bowl. And Dixon and Leaf would get big-game experience on a semi-big-game stage. With a victory in the Holiday Bowl, the Ducks would finish the season ranked as high as No. 4 or No. 5 in the polls, which ends up being a terrific season when you lose your quarterback in Game No. 8.
And if they reached the Fiesta Bowl?
Well, lose that one if you're Oregon and you're out of the Top 10. And win it, and you're likely still right around No. 4 or No. 5 in the final poll, which sort of explains why you should secretly root for a Fiesta Bowl snub.
Not that there's anything wrong with that.