OSU_D/;1690618; said:
I noted the following:
The computers do the rankings
Mississippi is the last OOC opponent
Number 17 Illinois is the 2nd highest ranked Big 10 school
What is the likelihood of earning the 2 or 3 spot in the rankings so as to not have to play Viriginia until a potential finals match? It seems with the low rankings of the teams OSU has left that the computers would not ultimately rank OSU at #2 or #3.
On the one hand if the computers were consistent, then based on the last ITA rankings released, and on the remaining tOSU schedule, its not looking good that tOSU receives a #2 or 3 seed in the NCAA tourney right now.
As OSU/D notes, there are not many ranked teams left on the schedule (#17 Illinois, #32 Wisconsin) for tOSU to potentially gain good wins and accumulate enough points to improve their computer ranking.
Unless two of Tennessee, Texas or USC loses, tOSU will not likely move to the 3 seed, according to the most recent rankings and trends of the ITA computers. :(
These are the ITA rankings from April 6 (includes matches through 4/4):
Rank. School . . . avg. points. . . . l w rank.
1. . . Virginia . . . . . 82.24 . . . . . . . .1
2. . . Ohio State . . 74.39 . . . . . . . . 2
3. . . USC . . . . . . . 73.60 . . . . . . . 4
4. . . U. Tenn. . . . . 72.68. . . . . . . . 3
5. . . Texas . . . . . . 71.96. . . . . . . . 5
6. . . Florida. . . . . . 66.2. . . . . . . . . 6
7. . . Stanford . . . . 58.03 . . . . . . . .7
8. . . Georgia. . . . . 57.19 . . . . . . . . 8
9. . . Baylor . . . . . .56.62. . . . . . . . 11
10. . UCLA . . . . . . 55.72. . . . . . . . . 9
During the week of 4/5-11, according to the
ITA results site
tOSU had wins vs. #25 Michigan, #36 Notre Dame, unranked Mich St. and Toledo.
Tennessee had wins vs. #6 Florida and #49 South Carolina.
Texas had wins vs. #34 Tulsa and #11 Baylor.
USC had a win vs. #28 Arizona.
And here are the rankings from April 13 with team records as of 4/14:
Rank. School (rec). . . . . avg. points. . . last week rank.
1. . . Virginia (31-1). . . . . 80.72 . . . . . . . . 1
2, . . Tennessee (22-1). . . 76.81 . . . . . . . .4
3. . . Texas (21-2). . . . . . 74.76 . . . . . . . . 5
4. . . U. S. C (19-2). . . . . .73.81. . . . . . . . 3
5. . . Ohio State (26-1). . . 71.01. . . . . . . . 2
6. . . Florida (16-3). . . . . . 69.52. . . . . . . . 6
7. . . Stanford (17-5) . . . . 59.26 . . . . . . . .7
8. . . Kentucky (19-7). . . . 56.88 . . . . . . . 11
9. . . Texas A&M (20-4). . . 56.16. . . . . . . .12
10. . Georgia (17-5) . . . . . 55.85. . . . . . . . 8
So on the one hand if the top 5 win out it would appear based on a "consistency expected from computer rankings" that tOSU would be assigned the 5 seed.
On the other hand, based on the demonstrated inconsistency of the ITA computer scheme, we may be in for a wild ride!