And Ben Roethlisberger, Tony Romo, Randy Moss, Terrell Owens, etc... very long list of guys from no-name schools in the college football universe that are or were the absolute top tier of NFL talent. Heck, at one point in the mid 2000's, there were something like 7 starting QB's in the NFL who were MAC alumni.
Regardless, I think it boils down to: the kid is a talent. He is getting 5* hype, and he probably believes he is worthy of it (who wouldn't?). He isn't sitting there saying "well in the event that I'm mediocre, it would be better if I went to...", he's saying "where will I have the best college experience?" And that's something only he can answer. If he's as good as billed, he could go to Tiffin University for all we care and make it to the League. (see: Nate Washington)