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Gatorubet;1657715; said:So you think you'll be winning a non-D1A Championship soon?
Then make your own list.lvbuckeye;1657712; said:it may be fairly obvious to only consider his D1A championship, but it also may be fairly obtuse to do so.
lvbuckeye;1657712; said:it may be fairly obvious to only consider his D1A championship, but it also may be fairly obtuse to do so.
Buckeyeskickbuttocks;1657774; said:Then make your own list.
Yes. But, it has nothing to do with historical trends. I mean, if this was 2003 (ie just 1 year after Tressel's first D-IA championship) OSU's chances of getting to and winning the title aren't effected by LJB's window analysis.MililaniBuckeye;1657988; said:We have a solid chance of playing for the NC this year or/and next year. I'd say the window is still letting in quite a bit of breeze...
Buckeyeskickbuttocks;1658004; said:Yes. But, it has nothing to do with historical trends. I mean, if this was 2003 (ie just 1 year after Tressel's first D-IA championship) OSU's chances of getting to and winning the title aren't effected by LJB's window analysis.
Fair enough. I happen to agree with you that Tressel's window isn't "closing" as I agree with you that he's got the "ship heading in the right direction" still and all that.MililaniBuckeye;1658057; said:I'm simply answering the thread title question.
Yeah, it'd be nice if any of that was helpful considering the egg the Buckeyes laid that night.When we went into the 2006 NC game against Florida, Tressel was 3-0 in BCS bowl games and 1-0 in NC games...so much for that "historical trend" helping us on Jan 8, 2007, eh?
Well, it is tough to do, no? Even if we include Tressel's D-IAA wins, only 19 (including Saban too) coaches out of the hundreds (thousands?) who have coached college football can claim multiple titles. (Although, the numbers - as is - also could be read to say that 54* of 73 titles awarded from 1936 thru 2009 have been won by 18 coaches, suggesting that multiple winning is something of a "normal" occurrence - it happens 74% of the time)LBJ's analysis may suggest it's tough to do, but Tressel isn't the run-of-the-mill head coach with a national title on his resume. It took him six seasons to make it to (and win) his first national title game...he then had six title games in nine seasons--winning four--including four title games in a row (which is still the I-AA/FCS record if I'm not mistaken).
Well, like I said directly above - even if he did (by including his D-IAA titles) there's no real answer to whether or not his "real life window" is open, closed, or anything else. Trends-wise, I would think it's just as hard or harder to win a title 18 years after your 1st than it is to win your 6th title 8 years after your 5th. Indeed, without going back, it's an even smaller handful of coaches who've been able to pull that off, no?Bottom line is that Tressel doesn't fall within LBJ's suggested historical limitations.
Buckeyeskickbuttocks;1658094; said:But even still, using Tressel's D-IAA titles, all that means is Tressel fits in to the category of coaches who win multiple titles in a limited chunk of years (10 years or so, in Tressel's case (1991 - 2002). The question of if that chunk of years is going to be "it" for Tressel could be counseled, then, by the analysis of how many coaches in the set went beyond 10 years from first to last title, or consideration of how long between 2nd to last title and last title, or whatever.
Buckeyeskickbuttocks;1658094; said:I guess I'm just saying people seem to be trying to give meaning to LJBs post which I don't think he intended.
Anyway, like I said - I don't really have a dog in this fight. I just think people were/are giving too much implied meaning to what LJB was saying.
And... at some point, the window closes. LJB just offered an interesting trend when one considers the issue - he wasn't trying to define or reveal some law of nature that must be obeyed.